Open Questions

What’s the Value of an Hour?

一小时的价值几何?
If the world seems to waste our time, it’s partly because we view time itself as a resource to be extracted and optimized.
如果说这个世界似乎在浪费我们的时间,部分原因在于,我们本身就把时间视为一种有待开采和优化的资源。
Illustration of a metronome with a coin weight.
Illustration by Josie Norton

In Detroit, during the Great Recession of the late two-thousands, about a third of families experienced unemployment. One in three properties entered foreclosure. The State of Michigan offered financial assistance, but to get it people needed to fill out a form called the DHS-1171. This was the longest form of its kind in the country, the journalist Annie Lowrey writes, in her new book, “The Time Tax: How the Government Wastes Our Time—and How to Fix It,” and its questions were often unrelated to the provision of financial assistance. “The state queried applicants on their weight and hair color,” Lowrey reports. Many questions focussed on preventing fraud, treating “Michiganders in distress” as “potential criminals.” It all added up to a forty-page form with around a thousand questions printed in tiny type. Roughly a quarter of those who tackled the DHS-1171 failed to complete it.

在底特律,两千年代末的大衰退期间,约三分之一的家庭经历了失业。三分之一的房产进入止赎程序。密歇根州提供了财政援助,但要拿到这笔钱,人们需要填写一份名为DHS-1171的表格。记者安妮·洛瑞(Annie Lowrey)在她的新书《时间税:政府如何浪费我们的时间——以及如何解决》(The Time Tax: How the Government Wastes Our Time—and How to Fix It)中写道,这是全美同类表格中最长的一份,其中的问题往往与提供财政援助毫无关系。“州政府询问申请人的体重和发色,”洛瑞写道。许多问题聚焦于防范欺诈,把“困境中的密歇根人”当作“潜在罪犯”来对待。这一切加起来,是一份四十页的表格,约一千个问题,用极小的字号印刷。在着手填写DHS-1171的人中,大约四分之一未能完成。

In “The Time Tax,” Lowrey explores the disastrous consequences of the government’s complete disregard for citizens’ time. Few agencies or programs track how long it takes people to navigate their bureaucratic mazes. Instead, they prioritize “procedural” goals, such as the proper completion of forms. The result isn’t just inconvenience. If a bureaucratic process exhausts whatever time a citizen has available, then benefits are lost or rights are denied. In 2018, Lowrey writes, the State of Louisiana “disenrolled 15,689 children—children!—from its public health insurance program” because of “failure to comply” with paperwork requirements. She describes an entrepreneur who gave up on starting a business, and bereaved relatives unable to access their inheritances, because bureaucracies refuse to discipline themselves.

在《时间税》中,洛瑞探讨了政府对公民时间的彻底漠视所带来的灾难性后果。很少有机构或项目会追踪人们需要花多长时间才能穿越它们的官僚迷宫。相反,它们优先考虑“程序性”目标,比如表格是否填写规范。结果不仅仅是麻烦。如果一套官僚流程耗尽了公民所有可用的时间,那么福利就会丧失,权利就会被剥夺。洛瑞写道,2018年,路易斯安那州“将15689名儿童——儿童!——从其公共健康保险计划中除名”,原因是“未能遵守”文书要求。她描述了一位放弃创业的企业家,以及无法领取遗产的悲痛亲属,因为官僚机构拒绝自我约束。

The point of Lowrey’s excellent book is to urge reform—and to show that reform is possible. (In 2018, the DHS-1171 “contained 80 percent fewer words.”) But government is only one participant in a much larger conspiracy to waste our time. Co-workers e-mail us with trivial requests. H.R. insists on endless online “training.” Insurance companies screw up our claims, then demand that we tell them what went wrong. Cashiers pester us to enroll in loyalty programs (unless we scan our own purchases). Traffic is bad, and housing is scarce, so we work far from home.

洛瑞这本出色的著作旨在推动改革——并证明改革是可能的。(2018年,DHS-1171“字数减少了80%”。)但政府只是这场更大规模浪费我们时间的共谋中的一个参与者。同事发来琐碎的请求邮件。人力资源部门坚持无休止的在线“培训”。保险公司搞砸了我们的理赔,然后要求我们告诉它们哪里出了问题。收银员缠着我们加入会员计划(除非我们自己扫码结账)。交通拥堵,住房稀缺,所以我们不得不在离家很远的地方工作。

We’re part of the conspiracy, too. We fritter away our own time with social media, doomscrolling, video-gaming, and binge-watching, and we procrastinate and over-parent, making commitments that we can’t sustain. Surveys about how Americans experience their time basically show that there isn’t enough of it. Supposedly, we live in an age of convenience. “With a few swipes of my thumb,” Lowrey observes, she can order an Uber, or even “a closet’s worth of clothes for overnight delivery.” But many conveniences also have hidden time-wasting downsides. Instead of simply buying things, we often subscribe to them, and so we must manage our subscriptions. We wait while our smoke detectors or cars download their software updates. The other day, I bought movie tickets online, with reserved seats, and that was nice—but then I had to sit through twenty-five minutes of previews and commercials before the movie began. Those who giveth convenience taketh it, too.

我们也是这场共谋的一部分。我们把自己的时间挥霍在社交媒体、末日刷屏、电子游戏和追剧上,我们拖延、过度育儿,做出自己无法维持的承诺。关于美国人如何体验时间的调查基本上表明,时间不够用。按理说,我们生活在一个便利的时代。“拇指划几下,”洛瑞写道,她就能叫到一辆优步,甚至“一柜子的衣服次日送达”。但许多便利也有隐藏的浪费时间的一面。我们不再简单地买东西,而是常常订阅它们,于是我们必须管理自己的订阅。我们等待烟雾报警器或汽车下载软件更新。前几天,我在网上买了电影票,选了座,这很好——但随后我不得不坐等二十五分钟的预告片和广告,电影才开始。给予便利者,亦取走便利。

A further irony is that we live in an analytical, financialized age. All around us, systems calculate, markets churn, and clever people find ways to monetize seemingly everything, from Pokémon cards to the likelihood of a U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027. (As of this writing, Polymarket has the odds at eighteen per cent.) You can look up the cost of real estate per square foot on a particular street half a world away; you can price a sentence of A.I.-generated thought. But your hours are thrown away and used up randomly. Time, our scarcest resource, feels beyond our reckoning.

另一个讽刺是,我们生活在一个分析性的、金融化的时代。在我们周围,系统在计算,市场在翻腾,聪明人在想方设法把几乎一切变现,从宝可梦卡牌到2027年前美国入侵伊朗的概率。(截至本文撰写时,Polymarket给出的赔率是18%。)你可以查到半个地球之外某条街上每平方英尺的房价;你可以给一句人工智能生成的思想定价。但你的时间却被随意丢弃和消耗。时间,我们最稀缺的资源,似乎超出了我们的计算能力。

We grapple with time, of course, finding ways to domesticate it. Professionals with hourly rates, for instance, value their time precisely. A typical hourly rate has a floor, determined by what clients will pay. If a would-be client makes a lowball offer—forty-five dollars an hour, say, instead of the usual sixty—it can be rejected in the certain knowledge that more can be made working for someone else. Economists describe this dynamic using a concept called opportunity cost. They say that, whatever you happen to be doing right now, you’re paying an opportunity cost equal to the best alternative thing you could be doing instead. The opportunity cost of working for forty-five dollars when you could be making sixty is fifteen dollars. The lowball offer is, quite literally, not worth your time.

当然,我们也在与时间搏斗,寻找驯服它的方法。比如,按小时收费的专业人士会精确地评估自己的时间。一个典型的小时费率有一个下限,由客户愿意支付的价格决定。如果一个潜在客户报出低价——比如每小时四十五美元,而不是通常的六十美元——就可以拒绝,因为确定无疑的是,为别人工作能赚更多。经济学家用一个叫做机会成本的概念来描述这种动态。他们说,无论你现在正在做什么,你都在支付一个机会成本,等于你本可以做的最佳替代选择的价值。当你本可以赚六十美元时,为四十五美元工作的机会成本是十五美元。低价报价,毫不夸张地说,不值得你花时间。

Opportunity costs can be measured in dollars, but don’t have to be. You can decide on the “best” alternative use of your time however you’d like, and consider all sorts of candidates. Instead of reading this column, for example, you could be napping, working, strolling through the park, or browsing Hinge. Is one of those alternatives better? That depends on your goals. You might decide, given those goals, that a walk in the park would be preferable. Now another concept, switching cost, comes into play. Your opportunity cost (the value of a walk in the park) is lowered by your switching cost (the work of getting there). Bundling is a good way to diminish switching costs: if you read in the park, you get the best of both worlds.

机会成本可以用美元来衡量,但并非必须如此。你可以按照自己的意愿来决定时间的“最佳”替代用途,并考虑各种各样的候选方案。例如,与其读这篇专栏,你可以小睡、工作、在公园散步,或者刷Hinge。那些替代方案中有更好的吗?这取决于你的目标。你可能会判断,鉴于这些目标,去公园散步更可取。这时另一个概念——转换成本——就登场了。你的机会成本(散步的价值)被你的转换成本(到达那里所需的功夫)所降低。捆绑是降低转换成本的好办法:如果你在公园里读书,就能两全其美。

Could we use opportunity cost as a general-purpose tool for valuing our time? Unfortunately, it’s most useful in context. At work, it’s easy to see that hours spent in meetings could be better deployed elsewhere. At the gym, you can reasonably conclude that you’re doing too much lifting and not enough stretching. But life, as a whole, is made of apples and oranges. The Sunday afternoon you spend filling out important forms might also be devoted to tending your garden. Two seasons of “Severance” account for nearly sixteen hours—enough time for you to learn how to play the piano at a rudimentary level. If you give up hours at work to spend time with your kids, you contribute less to their college fund. In these sorts of comparisons, opportunity cost is of little help. You have to make decisions intuitively, and are likely to end up distributing your time in an ad-hoc way.

我们能否把机会成本当作评估时间价值的通用工具?不幸的是,它在具体情境中最有用。在工作中,很容易看出开会的时间本可以更好地用在别处。在健身房,你可以合理地得出结论:你举铁太多,拉伸太少。但生活整体是由苹果和橙子组成的。你用来填写重要表格的周日下午,本也可以用来打理花园。《人生切割术》两季加起来将近十六个小时——足够你学会弹奏入门级的钢琴。如果你放弃工作时间去陪孩子,你为他们大学基金贡献的就少了。在这类比较中,机会成本帮不上什么忙。你必须凭直觉做决定,而且很可能最终以一种临时拼凑的方式分配你的时间。

You might respond by ascending in altitude, and seeking the broadest possible context—an existential, long-term view of the value of your time. In the book “Four Thousand Weeks: Time Management for Mortals,” the writer Oliver Burkeman looks at our use of time from this perspective. Typically, people who do this argue for focussing on what really matters—leading “purpose-driven” lives. Yet Burkeman reaches a surprising conclusion, observing instead that life is finite, plans fail, and few endeavors are ever truly complete. “There’s no reason to believe you’ll ever feel ‘on top of things,’ or make time for everything that matters,” Burkeman writes. Accordingly, “the core challenge of managing our limited time” is figuring out “how to decide most wisely what not to do, and how to feel at peace about not doing it.” This approach almost inverts the logic of opportunity cost. Suppose there’s something else you think you ought to be doing. Why not simply decide not to do it? Enjoy “Severance.” Forget the piano! How good were you going to get, anyway? (Alternatively, you might plonk on the keyboard without worrying about whether you’ll ever achieve your musical goals.)

你可能会选择提升视角,寻求最广阔的语境——一种存在主义的、长远的眼光来看待你时间的价值。在《四千周:凡人的时间管理》(Four Thousand Weeks: Time Management for Mortals)一书中,作家奥利弗·伯克曼(Oliver Burkeman)从这个角度审视我们对时间的使用。通常,这样做的人会主张专注于真正重要的事——过“目标驱动”的生活。然而伯克曼得出了一个令人意外的结论,他观察到,生命是有限的,计划会失败,很少有事业能真正完成。“没有理由相信你会有‘一切尽在掌握’的感觉,或者能为所有重要的事腾出时间,”伯克曼写道。因此,“管理我们有限时间的核心挑战”是弄清楚“如何最明智地决定不做什么,以及如何对不做这件事感到心安”。这种方法几乎颠倒了机会成本的逻辑。假设你觉得有另一件事你应该去做。为什么不干脆决定不做呢?享受《人生切割术》吧。忘了钢琴!反正你能弹到什么水平呢?(或者,你也可以在键盘上随便敲敲,不必担心自己能否实现音乐目标。)

The fact that both of these approaches can be persuasive reflects how flexible we can be in valuing our own time. And, in fact, a lot of evidence suggests that we’re outrageously suggestible when it comes to our temporal attitudes. Decades ago, psychologists showed that we often judge the value of an experience by our impressions of two moments: the peak and the end. This suggests that a wasted day might be “rescued” if you can engineer a great final hour. Two business-school professors, Sanford DeVoe and Jeffrey Pfeffer, have explored how the more we are primed to keep track of our time, the more we become “stingy” with it. (The habit of tracking your hours at work can make you less likely to volunteer outside of it.) Maybe it’s partly for this reason that we’re most temporally satisfied when we lose track of time. There’s not always a good answer to the question of whether we’re using time well—and so, ideally, we forget to ask.

这两种方法都能令人信服,这一事实反映了我们在评估自己时间价值时可以有多么灵活。事实上,大量证据表明,在对待时间的态度上,我们极易受到暗示。几十年前,心理学家就证明,我们常常通过两个时刻的印象来判断一段经历的价值:峰值和结尾。这意味着,一个被浪费掉的日子,如果你能安排一个精彩的最后一小时,就可能被“拯救”。两位商学院教授桑福德·德沃(Sanford DeVoe)和杰弗里·普费弗(Jeffrey Pfeffer)探讨了这样一个现象:我们越是被引导着去记录自己的时间,就越会对时间变得“吝啬”。(在工作中养成记录工时的习惯,可能让你更不愿意在工作之外做志愿活动。)也许部分正因如此,我们在忘记时间流逝的时候,对时间的满意度最高。关于我们是否善用了时间,并不总有一个好的答案——所以,理想情况下,我们会忘记去问。

A truly effective conspiracy involves not just people, but a climate of thought, a vibe. In a book called “The Harried Leisure Class,” from 1970, Staffan Burenstam Linder, a Swedish economist, proposed a theory of time-vibes. Why, Linder asked, despite a proliferation of convenience that promised to create “an increasing amount of ‘free time,’ ” did there appear to be an “increasing scarcity of time”? The problem, he argued, was simply that “time, unlike other resources, cannot be accumulated.” It was true that labor-saving devices, such as washing machines, made work easier, and that new technologies let us do more, more quickly. But all these gains in convenience and productivity had an unexpected effect: they endowed each hour with greater potential. They increased the opportunity cost of time.

一场真正有效的共谋,不仅涉及人,还涉及一种思想氛围,一种气场。在一本1970年出版的名为《忙碌的休闲阶级》(The Harried Leisure Class)的书中,瑞典经济学家斯塔凡·布伦斯塔姆·林德(Staffan Burenstam Linder)提出了一套关于时间气场的理论。林德问道,尽管便利设施的激增承诺创造“越来越多的‘自由时间’”,为什么却出现了“时间日益稀缺”的现象?他认为,问题很简单:“时间不同于其他资源,无法积累。”诚然,洗衣机等省力设备让工作变得轻松,新技术让我们做得更多、更快。但所有这些便利和生产率的提升产生了一个意想不到的效果:它们赋予了每个小时更大的潜力。它们提高了时间的机会成本。

In Linder’s view, modern life is characterized by a desire to bring “the yield on time in all other activities” into “parity with the yield on working time.” Suppose that you’re a professional who earns a healthy wage at work. What will you do when you’re at leisure? You’ll want your off time to be as valuable as your on time. One way to raise the value of your off time is “to increase the amount of consumer goods to be enjoyed per time unit.” So, instead of drinking a domestic beer on your deck after work, you might drink an imported beer. Instead of playing video games on your phone, you might play them on a state-of-the-art gaming console. Instead of cooking with your old pans, you might decide that you need new ones. An “acceleration of consumption” begins, in which your goal is to more fully realize the potential of each hour. And yet the overarching problem remains: there are only so many hours in a day. Increasing the value of any one hour increases the opportunity cost for all the rest.

在林德看来,现代生活的特征是一种欲望,即让“所有其他活动的时间产出”与“工作时间的产出”达到“同等水平”。假设你是一名专业人士,在工作中赚取可观的薪水。休闲时你会做什么?你会希望自己的闲暇时间与工作时间一样有价值。提高闲暇时间价值的一种方式是“增加每单位时间内享受的消费品数量”。于是,下班后你不再在露台上喝国产啤酒,而是喝进口啤酒。你不再在手机上玩电子游戏,而是在最先进的游戏主机上玩。你不再用旧锅做饭,而是决定需要新锅。一场“消费加速”开始了,你的目标是更充分地实现每个小时的潜力。然而根本问题依然存在:一天只有那么多小时。提高任何一个小时的价值,就会提高所有其他小时的机会成本。

In this sort of time regime, pointless, aimless time becomes a rarity, even a luxury—and an object of nostalgia. We recall with fondness the unjudged hours of our childhoods. And yet, oddly, the source of our time poverty is that, now, we have too many useful and rewarding ways to spend our time. The most valuable hours in our lives came when we couldn’t do anything with them.

在这种时间体制下,无目的的、漫无目标的时间变得稀有,甚至成为一种奢侈——以及怀旧的对象。我们满怀温情地回忆起童年那些不被评判的时光。然而奇怪的是,我们时间贫困的根源在于,如今我们有太多有用且有回报的方式来度过时间。我们生命中最宝贵的时光,恰恰出现在我们什么也做不了的时候。

Is there any connection between the “time tax” that Lowrey describes and the one we levy on ourselves, when we muddle through our use of time? The linking thread might be a horror of waste. A bureaucracy can overload its forms with questions meant to prevent fraud and abuse; in its determination not to get duped, it loses sight of its goals. A person, similarly, can obsess over not wasting time, cultivating a suspicion that every hour could be better spent. But this is its own form of waste. Real efficiency prizes momentum over perfection. It understands that acceptance is the price of progress. ♦

洛瑞所描述的“时间税”与我们对自己征收的时间税——当我们浑浑噩噩地使用时间时——之间有什么联系吗?连接两者的线索或许是对浪费的恐惧。一个官僚机构可以在表格中塞满旨在防止欺诈和滥用的问题;在决意不被欺骗的过程中,它迷失了自己的目标。同样,一个人可以执着于不浪费时间,培养出一种怀疑,觉得每个小时本可以过得更好。但这本身就是一种浪费。真正的效率看重势头甚于完美。它明白,接受是进步的代价。♦

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