Annals of Mathematics

The Year Math Changed Forever

数学永远改变的那一年
A.I. is solving problems that stumped the field for decades. Mathematicians look to Terence Tao for guidance on their altered world.
人工智能正在解决困扰数学界数十年的难题。数学家们向陶哲轩寻求指引,以应对这个已然改变的世界。
A person at a chalkboard.
Photograph by Brian Van Lau for The New Yorker

A mathematician is a machine for turning coffee into theorems. This was a line often invoked by the Hungarian mathematician Paul Erdős, who was fuelled by coffee and amphetamines, slept little, travelled near-constantly, never married or had children, and published almost fifteen hundred papers in his lifetime, in collaboration with hundreds of other mathematicians. But Erdős was, in most ways, not machinelike. He called lecturing in mathematics “preaching,” woke friends at odd hours by asking, “Is your brain open?,” wore only silk underclothing on account of his sensitive skin, and claimed not to have learned how to butter toast until he was twenty-one. He gave away most of his earnings to charitable causes and to young mathematicians in need of funds for their education, and he offered bounties (sometimes ten dollars, sometimes a thousand) for solutions to mathematical problems he’d proposed. Mathematics was his life. Mathematicians were his family. It has been said that, even above his remarkable contributions to the mathematical literature, he helped the discipline most profoundly by turning people who might otherwise have become hedge-fund managers or F.B.I. agents or lost souls into mathematicians. When he died, in 1996, at the age of eighty-three, he left behind about a thousand problems. Solving an Erdős problem is a great honor, as is having a low “Erdős number,” a term that describes how many degrees of separation one is from having published work with him.

数学家是一台把咖啡变成定理的机器。这是匈牙利数学家保罗·埃尔德什(Paul Erdős)常挂在嘴边的一句话。他靠咖啡和安非他命维持精力,睡得极少,几乎马不停蹄地旅行,终身未婚,没有子女,一生发表近一千五百篇论文,与数百位数学家合作。但埃尔德什在大多数方面并不像机器。他把讲授数学称为“布道”,会在深夜把朋友叫醒,问一句“你的大脑开着吗?”因为皮肤敏感只穿丝绸内衣,还声称自己直到二十一岁才学会往吐司上抹黄油。他把大部分收入捐给慈善事业和需要学费资助的年轻数学家,并为他提出的数学问题悬赏(有时十美元,有时一千美元)。数学就是他的生命,数学家就是他的家人。有人说,比起他对数学文献的卓越贡献,他对这门学科最深刻的帮助在于,他把许多原本可能成为对冲基金经理、联邦调查局探员或迷失灵魂的人变成了数学家。1996年他去世时,享年八十三岁,留下了大约一千个问题。解决一个埃尔德什问题是无上的荣耀,拥有一个低的“埃尔德什数”同样如此——这个术语描述的是一个人与埃尔德什合作发表论文之间相隔多少层关系。

Terence Tao was ten years old when Erdős visited his home town of Adelaide, Australia, in 1985. Erdős loved children and called them epsilons. Tao, a mathematics prodigy, had started taking college-level courses at age nine. Erdős posed a problem for him and Tao to work on together. A photograph of their meeting, taken by Tao’s mother (who had been a math teacher before having kids), shows the young mathematician and the old one deep in thought, hands at chins, looking at the notepad before them. “I wish I remembered more about the encounter,” Tao recently said. Erdős later sent the Tao family a note, handwritten on Bell Labs stationery, that, after brief wishes of a good New Year, reiterated the problem they had discussed: “Let 1 ≤ a1 < a2 < . . . atn ≤ n be a sequence of integers . . .”

1985年,埃尔德什造访陶哲轩的家乡澳大利亚阿德莱德时,陶哲轩十岁。埃尔德什喜欢孩子,管他们叫“艾普西隆”。陶哲轩是个数学神童,九岁就开始修读大学课程。埃尔德什给他和陶哲轩出了一个可以一起研究的问题。陶哲轩的母亲(生儿育女前曾是数学老师)拍下了他们会面的照片,照片中,年少的数学家和年迈的数学家都陷入沉思,手托着下巴,注视着面前的笔记本。“我真希望能记得更多那次见面的细节,”陶哲轩最近说。埃尔德什后来给陶家寄了一张便条,手写在贝尔实验室的信笺上,在简短的新年祝福之后,重申了他们讨论过的那个问题:“设 1 ≤ a1 < a2 < . . . atn ≤ n 是一个整数序列……”

In May of 2023, the mathematician Thomas Bloom began gathering the known remaining unsolved Erdős problems on a website, erdosproblems.com. Their depth and difficulty vary, deliberately. Erdős described some of them as “marshmallows” and others as “acorns.” In a talk in February of this year, titled “Machine Assistance and the Future of Research Mathematics,” Tao quoted Erdős’s characterization of a marshmallow as “a tasty tidbit supplying a few moments of fleeting enjoyment,” and of an acorn as “requiring deep and subtle new insights from which a mighty oak can develop.”

2023年5月,数学家托马斯·布鲁姆(Thomas Bloom)开始在一个网站erdosproblems.com上汇集已知的尚未解决的埃尔德什问题。这些问题的深度和难度各不相同,这是有意为之。埃尔德什把其中一些称为“棉花糖”,另一些称为“橡子”。在今年2月一场题为“机器辅助与数学研究的未来”的演讲中,陶哲轩引用了埃尔德什对棉花糖的描述——“一口美味的小点心,提供片刻转瞬即逝的愉悦”,以及对橡子的描述——“需要深刻而微妙的新洞见,从中可以长出一棵参天橡树”。

The role that artificial intelligence will play in research mathematics has been talked about a fair amount in the past five years, and a fearsome, unbounded amount in the past five months. Tao—a professor of mathematics at the University of California, Los Angeles, and a founder, in 2025, of the Foundation for Science and AI Research—has been one of the most prominent voices in this discussion. This is in part because he is a venerated mathematician who won a Fields Medal, the highest honor in the discipline, at age thirty-one; in part because, like Erdős, he is especially collaborative and community-oriented; and in part because he was already thinking seriously and publicly about A.I. when many of his peers still thought, as Tao put it, “Oh, it’s a toy, it makes so many mistakes, it’s never going to be useful.” A.I. labs such as Google DeepMind, OpenAI, and Anthropic were trying to demonstrate otherwise. From their perspective, math problems are practical benchmarks to measure the capabilities of their products. Mathematical proofs can be digitized and objectively verified, and the field of mathematics is highly respected. Early on, A.I. tools were conspicuously bad at basic math. When OpenAI’s GPT-4 Turbo was asked to count the number of “L”s in “lollapalooza,” it answered “Five.” The tools have since improved dramatically, but even now L.L.M.s find difficult some tasks that we find easy, and vice versa. “The means by which an A.I. solves a problem is just so orthogonal to the way a human solves a problem,” Tao said, in a recent lecture. A.I. proofs often devote pages to what would be obvious to an undergraduate, then offer only a few lines on what to a human mathematician is a large, cloudy move.

人工智能将在数学研究中扮演什么角色,这个话题在过去五年里被讨论得相当多,而在过去五个月里,讨论量更是达到了令人恐惧的、无上限的程度。陶哲轩——加州大学洛杉矶分校数学教授,2025年科学与人工智能研究基金会的创始人之一——一直是这场讨论中最引人注目的声音之一。部分原因在于他是一位备受尊崇的数学家,三十一岁时就获得了数学界最高荣誉菲尔兹奖;部分原因在于,和埃尔德什一样,他特别注重合作与社群;还有部分原因在于,当许多同行还认为人工智能“哦,那只是个玩具,它犯那么多错,永远不会有用”——用陶哲轩的话说——的时候,他已经在认真而公开地思考人工智能了。谷歌DeepMind、OpenAI和Anthropic等人工智能实验室正在试图证明事实并非如此。从它们的角度看,数学问题是衡量其产品能力的实用基准。数学证明可以被数字化并客观验证,而且数学领域备受尊敬。早期,人工智能工具在基础数学上表现得异常糟糕。当OpenAI的GPT-4 Turbo被要求数出“lollapalooza”中有几个“L”时,它回答“五个”。此后这些工具进步神速,但即便现在,大语言模型仍然觉得有些对我们来说很容易的任务很难,反之亦然。“人工智能解决问题的方式与人类解决问题的方式简直是正交的,”陶哲轩在最近一次讲座中说。人工智能的证明常常花好几页篇幅去写一个本科生都觉得显而易见的内容,然后只用几行字带过对人类数学家来说是一个巨大而模糊的跨越。

In 2024, A.I. tools began performing well at the International Mathematical Olympiad, scoring at the silver-medal level and, in 2025, at the gold level. Only top high-school students and a handful of prodigies participate in the I.M.O. (Tao won a bronze at age ten, a silver at age eleven, and a gold the next year. His longtime friend and mathematical collaborator Allen Knutson recalled how an ex-girlfriend who had been on Mexico’s I.M.O. team told him about an annoying little kid with a stuffed animal who would come out of the exams saying, “Too easy”—it was Tao.) Then, in early 2026, mathematicians and math hobbyists using A.I. tools started solving some of the more marshmallowy Erdős problems. In January, GPT-5.2 Pro appeared to have solved Erdős Problem #728 largely on its own; Tao and others took on the necessary task of verifying the proof. Then more Erdős problems began to fall. Tao explained that some of these problems had remained unsolved on account of “an attention bottleneck,” meaning that no one had given much thought to them; others were problems that had already been solved, but the solutions were not widely known, and the A.I. had effectively retrieved them. But, on May 20th, OpenAI published a proof of Erdős Problem #90, the unit-distance problem, a combinatorics problem that involves arranging points on a plane so that as many pairs as possible are spaced an equal distance apart. This was not a marshmallow. Top-level mathematicians had spent time on it, nudging it forward.

2024年,人工智能工具开始在国际数学奥林匹克竞赛中表现出色,达到银牌水平,2025年又达到金牌水平。参加国际数学奥林匹克竞赛的只有顶尖高中生和少数神童。(陶哲轩十岁获铜牌,十一岁获银牌,次年获金牌。他的老朋友兼数学合作者艾伦·克努森(Allen Knutson)回忆说,他的一位曾入选墨西哥国际数学奥林匹克代表队的前女友告诉他,有个抱着毛绒玩具的讨厌小孩每次考完试出来都说“太简单了”——那就是陶哲轩。)然后,在2026年初,使用人工智能工具的数学家和数学爱好者开始解决一些比较“棉花糖”级别的埃尔德什问题。1月,GPT-5.2 Pro似乎基本独立解决了埃尔德什第728号问题;陶哲轩和其他人承担了验证证明的必要工作。随后,更多的埃尔德什问题开始被攻克。陶哲轩解释说,其中一些问题之所以一直悬而未决,是因为“注意力瓶颈”,也就是说没有人认真思考过它们;另一些则是已经被解决了的问题,但解法并不广为人知,人工智能实际上只是检索到了它们。但是,5月20日,OpenAI发表了埃尔德什第90号问题的证明——单位距离问题,这是一个组合数学问题,涉及在平面上排列点,使尽可能多的点对之间距离相等。这不是棉花糖。顶尖数学家曾花时间研究过它,一点一点地推进。
Mother responding to daughter showing off her drawing.
“It’s O.K., but next time I’d like to see you wrestle with a little more self-doubt.”
“还行,不过下次我希望看到你跟更多的自我怀疑较较劲。”
Cartoon by Bruce Eric Kaplan
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Then, there was the Navier-Stokes existence-and-smoothness problem. The problem has to do with how a set of equations that model the movement of fluids seems to imply solutions with infinite speed, which should be impossible. In 2000, the Clay Mathematics Institute, in Cambridge, Massachusetts, had announced seven Millennium Prize Problems, chosen and formulated by the institute’s Scientific Advisory Board, each with a million-dollar award for solving it. The Millennium Prize Problems are acorn problems, and Navier-Stokes was one of them. On September 8th, OpenAI announced that it had solved it. Much of the mathematical community, which was already distressed, tipped over into existential crisis.

然后是纳维-斯托克斯存在性与光滑性问题。这个问题关乎一组模拟流体运动的方程,它们似乎暗示着存在无限速度的解,而这在物理上应该是不可能的。2000年,位于马萨诸塞州剑桥市的克雷数学研究所公布了七个千禧年大奖难题,由该研究所的科学顾问委员会选定并表述,每个问题的解决者可获得一百万美元奖金。千禧年大奖难题都是“橡子”级别的问题,纳维-斯托克斯就是其中之一。9月8日,OpenAI宣布它解决了这个问题。本已焦虑不安的数学界,大部分人的情绪就此跌入了存在主义危机。

“I have had the strangest week ever in my life,” Tao declared at the start of a talk he gave three days later, at Caltech. Usually, when lecturing, he appears in a collared shirt, tucked in. At this talk, he wore jeans and a black T-shirt. The shirt featured the Edo-era woodblock print “Under the Wave Off Kanagawa,” a famed art work noted for its fractal-like patterning—the wave comprises smaller, similarly shaped waves, which themselves comprise yet smaller ones. “Ordinarily, I would use A.I. and create some fancy version of this,” Tao said, gesturing at the bare-bones graphic on the screen behind him. “I used PowerPoint,” he admitted, to laughter. He then described the current state of the field. Solutions were being published, often with little explanation or detail, relying on the good will and free labor of mathematicians to verify and illuminate them. A.I.-generated submissions were overwhelming mathematics journals and databases, and the field’s genteel ecosystem of people volunteering their time to referee submissions was collapsing under the weight of slop. Sometimes even the person submitting the paper did not understand it. Answers were being found, but, in math, answers are often not very important; the insights and inventions that arise while working toward an answer matter much more. “We have to slow down,” Tao said. “It’s insane, the pace.” During the Q. & A. portion of the talk, an audience member observed that A.I. has thus far been solving problems that already exist. Where did Tao think new problems would come from? New problems, Tao said, emerge from “the slow, deliberative process” of working toward a solution, “and this is what’s being destroyed.”

“我度过了我一生中最奇怪的一周,”三天后,陶哲轩在加州理工学院的一场演讲开场时这样说道。通常,他讲课时穿有领衬衫,下摆塞进裤腰。但这次演讲,他穿着牛仔裤和一件黑色T恤。T恤上是江户时代木版画《神奈川冲浪里》,这幅名作以其分形般的图案著称——巨浪由更小的、形状相似的浪组成,而那些小浪又由更小的浪组成。“通常我会用人工智能做一个花哨的版本,”陶哲轩说着,指了指身后屏幕上简陋的图形。“我用了PowerPoint,”他承认道,引来一片笑声。接着他描述了数学领域的现状。解法正在被发表,往往几乎没有解释或细节,依赖数学家的善意和免费劳动来验证和阐明。人工智能生成的投稿正在淹没数学期刊和数据库,这个领域由志愿者抽出时间审稿的优雅生态正在垃圾投稿的重压下崩溃。有时甚至连提交论文的人自己都不理解它。答案正在被找到,但在数学中,答案往往并不那么重要;在追寻答案的过程中产生的洞见和发明才重要得多。“我们必须慢下来,”陶哲轩说。“这个速度太疯狂了。”在问答环节,一位听众指出,人工智能迄今解决的都是已经存在的问题。陶哲轩认为新问题会从哪里来?新问题,陶哲轩说,产生于朝着解法努力的“缓慢而深思熟虑的过程”,“而这正是正在被摧毁的东西。”

In another era of mathematics, which is to say, in April, I visited Tao at his office in the Mathematical Sciences Building at U.C.L.A. The building was connected through a mazelike series of corridors and stairs to Boelter Hall, where, in 1969, the first message was sent on ARPANET, the precursor to the internet. One of the hallways had a telephone booth. Tao’s office was spacious and mostly unadorned, with beige carpeting and a beige sofa, six blackboards mounted onto two long walls, and stacks and shelves with hundreds of books bearing titles such as “Advances in Analysis: The Legacy of Elias M. Stein,” “Number Theory Volume I: Tools and Diophantine Equations,” and “The Arithmetic of Elliptic Curves.” Near the light switch, there was a drawing of a toothy monster in a black suit and tie, next to a message in code (“LWKIRLCS,” part of it read) written on a sheet of paper. His oldest child had made it for him years ago. “I don’t think I remember how to decode it,” Tao said. None of his many prizes and honors were on display, but there was a wall hanging—made by the Mathematics Genealogy Project, of North Dakota State University—recording generations upon generations of who had studied under whom.

在数学的另一个时代——也就是说,在四月份——我去加州大学洛杉矶分校数学科学楼陶哲轩的办公室拜访了他。这栋楼通过迷宫般的走廊和楼梯与博尔特楼相连,1969年,互联网的前身阿帕网的第一条信息就是从博尔特楼发出的。其中一条走廊里有一个电话亭。陶哲轩的办公室宽敞而几乎不加装饰,米色地毯,米色沙发,六块黑板安装在两面长墙上,成堆的书架上摆着数百本书,书名诸如《分析学进展:伊莱亚斯·M·斯坦的遗产》《数论第一卷:工具与丢番图方程》《椭圆曲线的算术》。电灯开关附近有一幅画,画着一个穿黑色西装打领带、长着满口尖牙的怪物,旁边一张纸上写着一串密码(其中一部分是“LWKIRLCS”)。这是他最大的孩子多年前为他做的。“我想我不记得怎么解码了,”陶哲轩说。他的众多奖项和荣誉都没有展示出来,但墙上挂着一幅由北达科他州立大学数学谱系项目制作的挂图,记录着一代又一代谁师从于谁的谱系。

Tao is slim, wears his dark hair boyishly grown out, and has a gentle and calm demeanor. He is fifty-one but looks a decade younger. He rides a bike to work, and he has several tennis racquets in the corner of his office, though he said that he hasn’t really had time to play tennis in years, owing to his proliferating duties. “If you want to profile a mathematician, I’m maybe not a good example,” he told me. “I get to do math on Tuesdays and Thursdays. And sometimes on airplanes.” He lives with his wife, Laura, their two children, four cats, a dog, and three rabbits. The family had intended to give the oldest rabbit, Spumpkin, away to a friend, because Spumpkin was “traumatized by the traffic” outside their house, Tao said. But that didn’t work out, so Spumpkin is still with them, which is O.K.; Spumpkin and the oldest cat are close friends.

陶哲轩身材瘦削,深色头发少年气地留长,举止温和而从容。他五十一岁,但看起来年轻十岁。他骑自行车上班,办公室角落里放着几把网球拍,不过他说由于职责越来越多,他已经好几年没时间打网球了。“如果你想写一个数学家的特写,我可能不是个好例子,”他对我说。“我只有周二和周四能做数学。有时候在飞机上。”他和妻子劳拉、两个孩子、四只猫、一条狗和三只兔子住在一起。一家人原本打算把最老的兔子斯庞普金送给朋友,因为斯庞普金被他们家外面的“车流吓到了”,陶哲轩说。但这事没成,所以斯庞普金还和他们在一起,这也没关系;斯庞普金和家里最老的猫是好朋友。

Many mathematical geniuses have been as celebrated for their eccentricity as for their work. Erdős is only one of many examples. The eighteenth-century Italian mathematician Maria Agnesi, who wrote an early textbook on calculus, gave away most of her money and abandoned mathematics to devote herself fully to theology. The logician Kurt Gödel, whose incompleteness theorems revealed that no mathematical system could express every mathematical truth, came to believe that doctors had a secret book in which they wrote honestly about medications, that the I.R.S. was after him, and that his friend who had died decades before was still alive in the Soviet Union. John Nash (famous for contributions to game theory), Grigori Perelman (famous for solving the Poincaré conjecture), and Alexander Grothendieck (famous for developing a new foundation for algebraic geometry) all dramatically withdrew from their social spheres. Tao does not fit this tradition. He is very much of the world, which is somewhat surprising, considering that, when he was two years old, he was reportedly found typing out a favorite children’s story on his dad’s typewriter.

许多数学天才既因其工作也因其古怪而闻名。埃尔德什只是众多例子之一。十八世纪意大利数学家玛丽亚·阿涅西(Maria Agnesi)写过一本早期的微积分教科书,她捐出了大部分财产,放弃数学,全身心投入神学。逻辑学家库尔特·哥德尔(Kurt Gödel)的不完备性定理揭示了没有任何数学系统能够表达所有数学真理,他后来开始相信医生们有一本秘密的书,在里面如实记录药物信息,相信国税局在追查他,还相信他几十年前去世的朋友仍然活在苏联。约翰·纳什(John Nash,以博弈论贡献闻名)、格里戈里·佩雷尔曼(Grigori Perelman,以解决庞加莱猜想闻名)和亚历山大·格罗滕迪克(Alexander Grothendieck,以建立代数几何新基础闻名)都戏剧性地退出了各自的社交圈。陶哲轩不属于这个传统。他非常入世,这一点多少有些令人惊讶,因为据报道,他两岁时就被人发现用父亲的打字机打出了自己最喜欢的一个儿童故事。

As a kid, Tao imagined that what professional mathematicians did was solve problems assigned to them, sort of like homework. By age sixteen, he was a graduate student in the mathematics department at Princeton University, and still somewhat in the dark about what he was meant to do with his mathematical imagination. He played a lot of video games, easily completed his coursework, and almost failed the qualifying exam for his doctorate. Not all child prodigies go on to brilliant careers. Tao, however, went on to become one of the most revered mathematicians alive today, praised for his profound contributions to an astonishing range of subjects, from the study of numbers to the analysis of waves—a polymath of math.

小时候,陶哲轩以为职业数学家的工作就是解决分配给他们的题目,有点像做作业。十六岁时,他已经是普林斯顿大学数学系的研究生,但对于该拿自己的数学想象力做什么,他仍然有些茫然。他玩了很多电子游戏,轻松完成了课程,却差点没通过博士资格考试。并非所有神童都能走向辉煌的职业生涯。然而,陶哲轩后来成为了当今最受尊崇的在世数学家之一,因其对从数论到波动分析等惊人广泛领域的深刻贡献而备受赞誉——一个数学界的博学家。

The election of Donald Trump for a second term, in 2024, made Tao even busier. Federal funding for U.C.L.A.’s Institute for Pure and Applied Mathematics (IPAM), where he serves as the director of special projects, was frozen, as were National Science Foundation grants that supported his department’s research, including his own. And, as the Trump Administration unrolled various anti-immigration orders, students and postdocs had visa troubles. Tao spent many months fund-raising among private donors to support the stipends and T.A. positions relied upon by his graduate students. Some of these donors were hedge funds and banks that had in the past offered him large sums to work for them. He had always declined, “but those connections were useful in that moment,” he said.

2024年唐纳德·特朗普当选连任,让陶哲轩更加忙碌。他担任特别项目主任的加州大学洛杉矶分校纯粹与应用数学研究所(IPAM)的联邦经费被冻结,支持他所在系研究(包括他自己的研究)的国家科学基金会拨款也被冻结。而且,随着特朗普政府推出各种反移民行政令,学生和博士后遇到了签证问题。陶哲轩花了好几个月时间向私人捐助者筹款,以支持他的研究生所依赖的津贴和助教岗位。其中一些捐助者是过去曾出高价请他任职的对冲基金和银行。他一直拒绝,“但在那个时刻,这些人脉派上了用场,”他说。

One of the companies that offered funding to IPAM was OpenAI. Earlier this year, Tao was interviewed alongside an OpenAI executive, Mark Chen, in what the company called a fireside chat. In the interview, Tao expressed both hopes and concerns about A.I. in mathematics; OpenAI later used some of his bullish bits in a promotional video, which featured Tao saying that A.I. is “ready for prime time,” and that it will reduce cognitive friction “down to zero.” Tao has collaborated with researchers at Google DeepMind, and one of his projects was sponsored by the A.I. startup Math, Inc. For these reasons, among others, he was for a time portrayed as almost uncritically enthusiastic about the role of A.I. in math; in a June article in Quanta Magazine, he was described as an “evangelist.”

向IPAM提供资助的公司之一是OpenAI。今年早些时候,陶哲轩与OpenAI高管陈信宇(Mark Chen)一起接受了该公司所谓的炉边谈话式采访。在采访中,陶哲轩表达了对人工智能进入数学领域的希望和担忧;OpenAI后来在一段宣传视频中使用了他说的一些乐观片段,视频中陶哲轩说人工智能“已经准备好登上大雅之堂”,它将把认知摩擦降低“到零”。陶哲轩曾与谷歌DeepMind的研究人员合作,他的一个项目由人工智能初创公司Math, Inc.赞助。由于这些原因以及其他一些原因,他曾一度被描绘成对人工智能在数学中的作用几乎不加批判地热衷;在《量子杂志》6月的一篇文章中,他被描述为一位“布道者”。
Baseball coach coming to the mound to talk to players.
“I think he’s coming over to talk to me about a career change.”
“我觉得他过来是要跟我谈谈转行的事。”
Cartoon by Sarah Kempa
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It is true that, for a few years now, Tao has suggested that the chalkboard-dominated field of mathematics might be overdue for change. He has expressed hope that A.I. could help make a “living spreadsheet” of mathematics, which could self-update as new mathematical discoveries are made; he has worked to develop open-source A.I. tools, in addition to helping organize events to encourage a collaborative approach to A.I. In 2024, he started the Equational Theories Project, which involved dozens of professional and amateur mathematicians who, with the assistance of A.I., tried to determine the truth or falsity of about twenty-two million mathematical implications of some forty-five hundred invented mathematical laws. He has spoken about how A.I. could enable even more large-scale collaborations. He would like mathematics to be able to ask questions more in the tradition of biologists’ population studies (“What makes lemur populations rise and fall?”) rather than case studies (“What can we say about this particular lemur and from there gain some insight into lemurs in general?”).

确实,几年来陶哲轩一直在暗示,以黑板为主导的数学领域或许早就该变革了。他曾表示希望人工智能能够帮助建立一个“活的数学电子表格”,随着新的数学发现而自动更新;他致力于开发开源人工智能工具,还帮助组织活动,鼓励以协作方式对待人工智能。2024年,他启动了“等式理论项目”,数十位职业和业余数学家在人工智能的协助下,试图判定大约四千五百条人为发明的数学定律所产生的约两千二百万个数学蕴含关系的真假。他还谈到人工智能如何促成更大规模的合作。他希望数学能够更多地以生物学种群研究的传统来提问(“是什么让狐猴种群数量上升或下降?”),而不是个案研究(“关于这只特定的狐猴我们能说些什么,并由此获得对狐猴整体的某种认识?”)。

Recently, though, Tao’s muted optimism has given way to alarm. He has begun to speak in praise of cognitive friction, and has described A.I. companies as having “managed to optimize by removing all the humanity out of the process.” In his office, he told me, “We have to actively experiment and figure out what works for us. Because otherwise what’s going to happen is that the tech companies will release these products—you know, ‘Here’s my artificial scientist’—and there’ll be no competing products.” He doesn’t advocate that mathematicians avoid using A.I. But, at his lecture at Caltech, he pointed out that the effect of A.I. on math followed what he called nonlinear dynamics. He went on, “Any kind of monotone, one-dimensional thinking—Oh, a little bit of this is good, therefore a lot of it is going to be a lot better—one of the lessons of math is that most systems don’t work like that.” Human understanding needed to remain central. For example, with a proof written by a human, he noted, “you can talk to that person and say, ‘What was your experience? What was your inspiration?’ You have some insight into the process. They can give talks. And, years later, they’ll still be in the community, and they can pass on their expertise to their students. They contribute to the whole ecosystem of mathematics.”

但最近,陶哲轩克制的乐观已经让位于警觉。他开始赞扬认知摩擦的价值,并形容人工智能公司“通过移除过程中所有的人性来实现了优化”。在他的办公室里,他对我说:“我们必须主动实验,找出什么对我们有效。因为否则的话,科技公司会发布这些产品——你知道,‘这是我的AI科学家’——而不会有任何竞争产品。”他并不主张数学家避免使用人工智能。但在加州理工学院的演讲中,他指出人工智能对数学的影响遵循他所谓的非线性动力学。他接着说:“任何单调的、一维的思维——哦,一点点这个有好处,所以大量使用就会好得多——数学的教训之一就是大多数系统不是这样运作的。”人类的理解必须保持核心地位。例如,对于人类写的证明,他指出,“你可以和那个人交谈,问‘你的经历是什么?你的灵感是什么?’你能对过程有所了解。他们可以做报告。而且,多年以后,他们仍然在数学界,可以把他们的专业知识传授给学生。他们为整个数学生态系统做出贡献。”

In his office, Tao had compared the crisis that the mathematical community was facing to the transition that cities underwent when the horse and buggy was replaced with the car. “You need parts of the city that are still for pedestrians and parts that make sense for travelling by car. But you can’t have the whole city designed to be optimal for cars,” he said. “Because no one wants to live in that city.” This was an analogy he used often in talks and interviews. In a more recent talk, he recalled his reliance on the analogy with a slide demarcating lanes for pedestrians and ones for automobiles. “This is where we want to go,” he said. “But, unfortunately, this is sort of where we are now—” He advanced to a slide that depicted people running away in terror from what appeared to be autonomous machines.

在办公室里,陶哲轩曾把数学界面临的危机比作城市从马车时代向汽车时代过渡所经历的变化。“你需要城市中仍然适合行人的部分,也需要适合开车出行的部分。但你不能把整个城市都设计成对汽车最优化的,”他说。“因为没有人愿意住在那样一座城市里。”这是他在演讲和采访中经常使用的类比。在最近的一次演讲中,他再次提到这个类比,幻灯片上划分了行人车道和汽车车道。“这是我们想要去的地方,”他说。“但不幸的是,这差不多是我们现在所处的位置——”他切换到下一张幻灯片,上面画着人们惊恐地逃离似乎是自主机器的东西。

Much of the math we learn as kids is mechanical, which may be why mathematics is sometimes misperceived as an unimaginative field. A more accurate understanding might come from recalling that Charles Dodgson, better known as Lewis Carroll, was a professional mathematician. In some ways, the writing of “Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland” resembles mathematical research. Mechanical calculation, in this analogy, is the basics of composition: spelling, subject-verb agreement. But, in order to explore logic and whimsy and wonder and paradox, Carroll invented characters like the White Rabbit, the Cheshire Cat, and the Queen of Hearts, and situations like the Mad Tea Party and the Caucus Race. These characters and scenes are akin to the objects and techniques mathematicians invent as they explore mathematical ideas. When Andrew Wiles proved Fermat’s Last Theorem, more than three hundred and fifty years after its initial postulation, mathematicians were thrilled, but not because of the answer, which wasn’t surprising. (No, there are no positive whole numbers such that an + bn = cn if n > 2.) What was wonderful about Wiles’s proof was the mathematical techniques he’d developed along the way. That was what advanced mathematics.

我们小时候学的大部分数学是机械性的,这也许是数学有时被误解为一门缺乏想象力的学科的原因。更准确的理解或许可以从回忆查尔斯·道奇森(Charles Dodgson)——更广为人知的名字是刘易斯·卡罗尔——是一位职业数学家开始。在某些方面,《爱丽丝梦游仙境》的写作类似于数学研究。在这个类比中,机械计算相当于写作的基本功:拼写、主谓一致。但是,为了探索逻辑、奇想、惊奇和悖论,卡罗尔创造了白兔、柴郡猫、红心皇后等角色,以及疯狂茶会、核心小组赛跑等场景。这些角色和场景类似于数学家们在探索数学思想时发明的对象和技巧。当安德鲁·怀尔斯(Andrew Wiles)证明了费马大定理——距其最初提出已过去三百五十多年——数学家们激动不已,但并不是因为答案本身,那个答案并不令人意外。(不,不存在正整数使得当 n > 2 时 an + bn = cn。)怀尔斯证明的美妙之处在于他在过程中发展出的数学技巧。那才是推动数学前进的东西。

But coming up with characters and story lines is challenging—which is probably why it’s satisfying. I sat in on a meeting Tao had with his postdoctoral mentee, Iqra Altaf, who was working on a problem in geometric-measure theory. “Mathematically, the news is not good,” Altaf said. She went to the chalkboard and began writing out a counterexample to a conjecture she had thought would prove true. “Math is like a video game, or like ‘Groundhog Day,’ ” Tao said. “Every time you die, you come back.” En route to failure, you learn something that aids you in the next go-around. He quoted the Russian mathematician Vladimir Arnold, who once said, “Mathematics is the part of physics where experiments are cheap.” In another conversation, Tao compared learning mathematics to watching “Emily in Paris,” a show that he and his wife enjoyed. “It’s completely ridiculous fluff, but it’s also fun. You learn the tropes, and you can kind of see how it’s going to go,” he said. “But if you’re just given a synopsis of the plot, like, ‘Here’s the premise, and this is what happens’—that’s not the point.” And, if you want to learn how to write your own show, “then it’s not helpful at all.” Seeing scenes done poorly and done well, watching how plots are resolved even in formulaic shows—that’s how you learn to direct your own series. Among the crises that the arrival of A.I. has brought to mathematics, “the most urgent one is, How are we going to train our graduate students?” Tao said. It is a question that he has been asking for several years. The modest-sized problems that graduate students would once have spent months on—learning to think mathematically in the process—can now sometimes be solved by A.I. tools in hours.

但创造角色和故事情节是困难的——这也许正是它令人满足的原因。我旁听了一次陶哲轩与他的博士后伊克拉·阿尔塔夫(Iqra Altaf)的会面,后者正在研究几何测度论中的一个问题。“从数学上说,消息不太好,”阿尔塔夫说。她走到黑板前,开始写出一个反例,推翻了她本以为会成立的猜想。“数学就像电子游戏,或者像《土拨鼠之日》,”陶哲轩说。“每次你死了,你都会回来。”在通往失败的路上,你学到了一些东西,帮助你在下一轮中做得更好。他引用了俄罗斯数学家弗拉基米尔·阿诺德(Vladimir Arnold)的话,阿诺德曾说:“数学是物理学中实验最便宜的部分。”在另一次谈话中,陶哲轩把学习数学比作看《艾米丽在巴黎》,一部他和妻子都喜欢的剧。“它完全是荒谬的泡沫剧,但也很有趣。你学会了那些套路,你差不多能猜到剧情会怎么发展,”他说。“但如果只给你一个剧情梗概,比如‘这是前提,这是发生的事情’——那就没意思了。”而且,如果你想学会写自己的剧,“那它就一点帮助都没有。”看场景拍得差的和拍得好的,看情节如何在即使公式化的剧集中得到解决——这才是你学会执导自己剧集的方式。在人工智能的到来给数学带来的种种危机中,“最紧迫的一个是,我们该如何培养我们的研究生?”陶哲轩说。这个问题他已经问了好几年了。研究生过去要花好几个月时间研究的中等规模问题——在这个过程中学会数学思维——现在有时人工智能工具几个小时就能解决。

On October 9th, Tao gave a talk (another!) hosted by the American Institute of Mathematics. Three days earlier, OpenAI had released three hundred and seventy-two additional results contributing to or solving open problems in mathematics. (OpenAI’s statement announcing the results briefly mentioned that four thousand problems had been tried, but that detail didn’t get much notice.) Tao started out by explaining that, when he had been invited to give the talk, a year earlier, the title of it had been “Machine Assisted Proof”—that was, in fact, the title on the posters advertising the event—but that “by this point the idea that machines could assist proof was maybe not quite as novel.” So he changed the title to “Math 2.0.”

10月9日,陶哲轩又做了一场演讲(又一场!),由美国数学研究所主办。三天前,OpenAI发布了三百七十二项额外成果,贡献于或解决了数学中的开放问题。(OpenAI宣布这些成果的声明中简短提到尝试了四千个问题,但这个细节没有引起太多注意。)陶哲轩开场解释说,一年前他受邀做这场演讲时,题目本来是“机器辅助证明”——事实上,活动宣传海报上的标题就是这个——但“到了现在这个节点,机器能够辅助证明这个想法可能已经不那么新鲜了。”于是他把题目改成了“数学2.0”。
Two people looking at paper.
Tao was ten years old when Paul Erdős visited Tao’s home town, where they worked on a problem together.
陶哲轩十岁时,保罗·埃尔德什到访他的家乡,两人在那里共同研究了一个问题。
Photograph courtesy Terence Tao

Math 1.0—“math up to 2025,” Tao said—operated under the basic assumption of “proof scarcity.” Proofs were a sort of currency, central to publishing papers, winning prizes, and getting jobs. The landscape had now changed to one of proof abundance, which Tao compared to food abundance, when “you become a bit pickier about what food gets crammed into your mouth.” We would soon be living in a vast sea of low-quality A.I. proofs, with mathematicians left to fish out what was worthwhile. Math 2.0 would follow from figuring out “how to actually integrate A.I. and humans” to “find a new frontier of tasks,” only some of which would be problems.

数学1.0——“截至2025年的数学,”陶哲轩说——在“证明稀缺”的基本假设下运作。证明是一种货币,对发表论文、赢得奖项和获得工作至关重要。如今的格局已经变成了证明充裕,陶哲轩将其比作食物充裕,那时“你会对塞进嘴里的食物变得更挑剔一些。”我们很快将生活在一片低质量人工智能证明的汪洋大海中,数学家们只能从中打捞出有价值的东西。数学2.0将来自于弄清楚“如何真正整合人工智能和人类”以“找到新的任务前沿”,其中只有一部分是解题。

During the Q. & A., a first-year graduate student at Caltech asked Tao what advice he would give to her generation. He hesitated. He blinked several times. He closed his eyes. “Get involved,” he said. “In—um—you know, in policy. In general.” He paused and then spoke more fluently: “Don’t try to pretend A.I. doesn’t exist. Actually learn what it can and can’t do.”

在问答环节,加州理工学院一名一年级研究生问陶哲轩,他对她这一代人有什么建议。他犹豫了一下。他眨了几次眼。他闭上了眼睛。“参与进去,”他说。“参与——嗯——你知道,参与政策。广义上的。”他停顿了一下,然后说得更流畅了:“不要假装人工智能不存在。真正去了解它能做什么、不能做什么。”

The mathematician Geordie Williamson, of the University of Sydney, in Australia, described one A.I.-assisted solution to me as “like this beautiful thing for the whole math community” and another as “like the weed killer Roundup being sprayed on a garden.” Both results were published by Levent Alpöge, a mathematician at Anthropic. The beautiful thing concerned an eighty-seven-year-old problem, the Jacobian conjecture. We can think of the problem as having to do with the possibility of a one-to-one mapping from one shape to another. On July 19th, the day of the Spain-Argentina soccer game, Alpöge posted on X, “hello there the jacobian conjecture is false thanx to my close friend akhil”—a human—“for asking about it and my other close friend fable”—an A.I. model—“for working during the world cup final.” Claude Fable 5 had produced a counterexample to the conjecture, much like how an ostrich is a counterexample to the conjecture that all birds can fly. Williamson said, “Within thirty-six hours, mathematicians had kind of understood where the counterexample comes from and why it’s natural.” A handful of mathematicians, including Tao, explored the proof, came to understand it—a process that I kept hearing mathematicians refer to as proof digestion—and reconstructed the algebraic geometry that underlay it. On July 21st, Tao posted the work on his blog, including the transcript of a conversation he’d had with ChatGPT as he looked into the details. By July 22nd, Semon Rezchikov, of Barnard College, had created a visualization of the counterexample using only high-school-level mathematics. The proof had opened up thinking, not decapitated it.

澳大利亚悉尼大学的数学家乔迪·威廉姆森(Geordie Williamson)向我描述一个人工智能辅助的解法“就像献给整个数学界的一件美丽的东西”,而另一个则“像除草剂农达喷在花园上”。两项成果都是由Anthropic的数学家莱文特·阿尔珀格(Levent Alpöge)发表的。那件美丽的东西关乎一个八十七年的老问题——雅可比猜想。我们可以把这个问题理解为关于从一个形状到另一个形状的一一映射的可能性。7月19日,西班牙对阿根廷足球比赛那天,阿尔珀格在X上发帖:“你好,雅可比猜想是假的,感谢我的好朋友阿基尔”——一个人类——“问了这个问题,也感谢我的另一个好朋友费博”——一个人工智能模型——“在世界杯决赛期间工作。”Claude Fable 5为这个猜想找到了一个反例,就像鸵鸟是“所有鸟都会飞”这个猜想的反例一样。威廉姆森说:“在三十六小时内,数学家们就基本理解了反例从何而来以及为什么它是自然的。”包括陶哲轩在内的几位数学家探索了这个证明,逐渐理解了它——我不断听到数学家们把这个过程称为“证明消化”——并重建了其背后的代数几何。7月21日,陶哲轩把这项工作发在了他的博客上,包括他与ChatGPT在探究细节时的对话记录。到7月22日,巴纳德学院的塞蒙·雷兹奇科夫(Semon Rezchikov)仅用高中水平的数学就为这个反例制作了一个可视化。这个证明打开了思路,而不是斩断了思路。

But then there was Williamson’s Roundup story: On August 12th, Alpöge posted again, though it was not immediately clear what the new disclosure was about. “It was this crazy tweet, just a whole sequence of pluses and minuses. It looked like a secret code,” Williamson told me. He soon recognized that it was the next in a series of what are called Hadamard matrices. The first few Hadamard matrices had been described in 1867, and the matrices have fascinated mathematicians ever since, with breakthroughs and new insights turning up every couple of decades or so, the most recent in 2004. At a talk not long before, Williamson had been encouraging mathematicians to find the next one. Then there it was, on X. “At first, I was, like, Awesome,” Williamson told me. But then he saw that Alpöge had posted more than just the next matrix—“also the one after that, and the one after that, and the one after that,” he said. Typically, someone solving this kind of problem would be transparent about the methods used to get there; for years, mathematicians have been sharing their work freely on the open-access website arxiv.org. Such is not the M.O. of the A.I. companies. Anthropic did not release logs showing how the solutions were reached. Williamson said that he felt as if an entire garden of mathematics had been killed. “It was the nightmare scenario, like, ‘Here’s the answer, it’s forty-two.’ ”

但接着就是威廉姆森的那个“农达”故事:8月12日,阿尔珀格又发了一条帖子,不过当时并不清楚这条新披露的内容是什么。“那是一条疯狂的推文,就是一长串加号和减号。看起来像秘密代码,”威廉姆森告诉我。他很快认出,这是一系列所谓阿达玛矩阵中的下一个。最早的几个阿达玛矩阵在1867年就被描述过,此后这些矩阵一直令数学家着迷,每隔二三十年就会有突破和新洞见出现,最近一次是在2004年。在不久前的一次演讲中,威廉姆森还在鼓励数学家们去寻找下一个。然后它就在X上出现了。“一开始,我的反应是,太棒了,”威廉姆森告诉我。但随后他看到阿尔珀格发布的不仅仅是下一个矩阵——“还有再下一个,再下一个,再下一个,”他说。通常,解决这类问题的人会公开透明地说明所用的方法;多年来,数学家们一直在开放获取网站arxiv.org上自由分享他们的工作。但人工智能公司的行事方式不是这样。Anthropic没有发布显示解法是如何得出的日志。威廉姆森说,他感觉整个数学花园都被杀死了。“这就是噩梦般的场景,就像‘这是答案,是四十二。’”

It was less than a month later that OpenAI made its Navier-Stokes announcement. The day before, Tristan Buckmaster, a professor at N.Y.U., posted a statement saying that he and Alpöge, working with the assistance of A.I., had made significant progress toward a solution. OpenAI, which spent millions of dollars’ worth of compute to get there first, said that it had taken less than a week. In Buckmaster’s statement, he voiced concern that OpenAI had accessed his work (he and Alpöge had used OpenAI’s public Codex model, among other L.L.M.s), which the company denied. According to Buckmaster, Sébastien Bubeck, the head of the team at OpenAI that was behind the solution, had offered him authorship of their paper, on the condition that he agree not to include Alpöge. Buckmaster said no. When he threatened to make his interaction with OpenAI public, Bubeck apparently responded by asking, “Why would you ruin your career?”

不到一个月后,OpenAI就发布了纳维-斯托克斯的公告。前一天,纽约大学教授特里斯坦·巴克马斯特(Tristan Buckmaster)发表声明说,他和阿尔珀格在人工智能的协助下,在求解方面取得了重大进展。OpenAI花费了价值数百万美元的计算资源率先到达终点,并表示整个过程用了不到一周。巴克马斯特在声明中表达了担忧,认为OpenAI获取了他的工作成果(他和阿尔珀格使用了OpenAI的公开Codex模型以及其他大语言模型),该公司对此予以否认。据巴克马斯特说,OpenAI负责该解决方案的团队负责人塞巴斯蒂安·布贝克(Sébastien Bubeck)曾提出让他成为论文作者,条件是他同意不把阿尔珀格包括在内。巴克马斯特拒绝了。当他威胁要公开他与OpenAI的互动时,布贝克显然回应道:“你为什么要毁掉自己的职业生涯?”

An initial group of twenty-five Fields medallists, Tao among them, responded with an open letter noting that “solving problems is only a tool and proxy for achieving the primary goal of conceptual understanding and insight.” Problem-solving and insight were decoupling, it observed. “The letter was correct to call out bad behavior,” Williamson said. “But my broader sense is that I don’t think mathematicians had been grappling as much as we should have been with the impending reality of A.I., and I think that is somewhat visible in the letter. It’s a letter that reflects what was already a reality six months ago.”

最初由二十五位菲尔兹奖得主(陶哲轩也在其中)联署的一封公开信指出,“解决问题只是实现概念理解和洞见这一首要目标的工具和代理。”信中观察到,解题与洞见正在脱钩。“这封信正确地指出了不良行为,”威廉姆森说。“但我更广泛的感受是,我认为数学家们此前并没有像我们应该做的那样认真面对人工智能即将到来的现实,我认为这在信中有所体现。这封信反映的是六个月前就已经存在的现实。”

Socrates is said to have worried that writing would ruin our memories—and Socrates’ crowd probably did remember longer stretches of the Odyssey than any of us do. But the Fields letter argued that the use of A.I. was not like merely off-loading the memorization of poems or phone numbers; it was more like off-loading, or bypassing, daydreaming and debating and thinking. It’s not that humans will come to know too much too quickly but that they will understand less and less—eventually less than we understand now. “The most precious resources of our profession are students and ideas, and these we nurture with great care,” the letter said. Mathematics is a living discipline and an oral tradition, not just a written one. The symbol of the working mathematician is a chalkboard, representing knowledge that can be erased after it’s understood because it is now in the mind.

据说苏格拉底曾担心书写会毁掉我们的记忆力——苏格拉底那帮人大概确实比我们任何人都能记住更长的《奥德赛》段落。但菲尔兹奖得主们的信认为,使用人工智能不像仅仅把诗歌或电话号码的记忆外包出去;它更像是把白日梦、辩论和思考本身外包出去,或者说绕过去。问题不在于人类会太快知道太多,而在于他们会理解得越来越少——最终比我们现在理解的还少。“我们这个职业最宝贵的资源是学生和思想,我们以极大的用心培育它们,”信中写道。数学是一门活的学科,是一种口头传统,而不仅仅是书面的。工作数学家的象征是一块黑板,代表着那些在理解之后就可以擦掉的知识,因为它已经存在于脑海中了。

The mathematical community has not reached a consensus on whether OpenAI has actually solved the Navier-Stokes problem, which has not yet been verified by humans. Charlie Fefferman, a professor at Princeton, wrote the description of the Navier-Stokes problem for the Clay Mathematics Institute. “I think it’s probably correct,” Fefferman told me. The A.I. relied on an approach that had been conceived by his former student Diego Córdoba and Córdoba’s former student Luis Martínez-Zoroa. “And so, in addition to whatever other people felt, I felt personal joy at their achievement,” Fefferman said.

数学界尚未就OpenAI是否真正解决了纳维-斯托克斯问题达成共识,该证明尚未经过人类验证。普林斯顿大学教授查理·费弗曼(Charlie Fefferman)为克雷数学研究所撰写了纳维-斯托克斯问题的描述。“我认为它很可能是正确的,”费弗曼告诉我。人工智能所依赖的方法是由他以前的学生迭戈·科尔多瓦(Diego Córdoba)和科尔多瓦以前的学生路易斯·马丁内斯-索罗亚(Luis Martínez-Zoroa)构思的。“所以,除了其他人的感受之外,我个人为他们的成就感到高兴,”费弗曼说。
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Fefferman, like Tao, was a child prodigy, an early winner of the Fields Medal, and a professor of mathematics by his early twenties. He is now seventy-seven. I asked him how he would describe what working on a math problem feels like. He told me that he had sometimes described it to non-mathematicians as playing chess with the Devil, “but you get to take back moves.” The Devil is a much better chess player—“he crushes you again and again.” But then you go back to the beginning. You experiment with different approaches. You’re still crushed and don’t understand why. “But eventually you hit on something,” Fefferman said. “The whole time, there’s this angel whispering in your ear things like ‘No, no, pin his bishop!’ ” Initially, the angel’s voice is too quiet to make out, but it gets louder. “And your ears get better.” Until, finally, you win one match. And then you’re back at the beginning. “That’s something I love about being a mathematician,” Fefferman said. “If you have a thousand dumb ideas and one really good one, you’re a good mathematician. And that’s not true in many walks of life.”

费弗曼和陶哲轩一样,也是神童出身,早年获得菲尔兹奖,二十出头就成为数学教授。他现在七十七岁。我问他,研究一个数学问题的感觉是什么样的。他告诉我,他有时向非数学家描述为与魔鬼下棋,“但你可以悔棋。”魔鬼的棋艺好得多——“他一次又一次地碾压你。”但随后你回到起点。你尝试不同的方法。你仍然被碾压,而且不明白为什么。“但最终你会碰到某个东西,”费弗曼说。“整个过程中,有一个天使在你耳边低语,说着‘不,不,钉住他的象!’”起初,天使的声音太轻,听不清楚,但它会越来越响。“而你的耳朵会变得更好。”直到最后,你赢了一局。然后你又回到起点。“这是我喜欢做数学家的一点,”费弗曼说。“如果你有一千个愚蠢的想法和一个真正好的想法,你就是一个好数学家。这在很多行业里并不成立。”

Like everyone I spoke to, Fefferman said that no one knows, really, what will happen to mathematics. He sees both pessimistic and optimistic scenarios, and he suspects that the future will consist of a bit of each. In an optimistic scenario, he can envision A.I. broadening the kinds of questions that can be asked. He explained that sometimes you have a line of thinking that feels like it has only a five-per-cent chance of working out. You might say, “I don’t want to think about this, since it will take me a lifetime to find out.” “That’s different from ‘O.K., it has a five-per-cent chance of working, and it will take me two days to find out,’ ” Fefferman said. “I think people will become more courageous and more imaginative and be freed.” He said that mathematicians used to need both originality and technical power; he had known a very original mathematician who got lost teaching a freshman course. “I think that A.I. will take over power,” Fefferman said. “It’s natural for us mathematicians to feel anxiety. But I think there’s a chance that A.I. will be a great accelerator of progress, and it will be our job to adjust to the new way of doing math.”

和我交谈过的每个人一样,费弗曼说没有人真正知道数学会走向何方。他既看到悲观的场景,也看到乐观的场景,他怀疑未来将是两者的某种混合。在乐观的场景中,他可以设想人工智能拓宽了可以提出的问题类型。他解释说,有时候你有一条思路,感觉只有百分之五的成功机会。你可能会说,“我不想考虑这个,因为要花我一辈子的时间才能知道结果。”“这不同于‘好吧,它有百分之五的成功机会,而且我花两天就能知道结果,’”费弗曼说。“我认为人们会变得更勇敢、更富有想象力,并且得到解放。”他说,数学家过去既需要原创性又需要技术能力;他认识一位非常有原创性的数学家,却在教大一课程时迷失了方向。“我认为人工智能将接管技术能力,”费弗曼说。“我们数学家感到焦虑是很自然的。但我认为人工智能有可能成为进步的巨大加速器,而我们的工作将是适应这种新的数学研究方式。”

“I thought the Fields medallists’ letter was valuable,” John Urschel, a mathematician at M.I.T., told me. “Though I understand that maybe it doesn’t translate well outside of the mathematical community. I saw one person be, like, ‘We’re getting answers to cancer research too quickly, we must slow down for the sake of the field!’ ” Urschel is good friends with Alpöge, whom he remembers saying three or four years ago that A.I. was going to end math as they knew it. “I thought he had lost all sense,” Urschel said.

“我认为菲尔兹奖得主们的信是有价值的,”麻省理工学院数学家约翰·乌尔舍尔(John Urschel)告诉我。“不过我理解它也许在数学界之外不太容易被理解。我看到有人说,‘我们得到癌症研究答案的速度太快了,为了这个领域我们必须慢下来!’”乌尔舍尔是阿尔珀格的好朋友,他记得阿尔珀格三四年前就说过,人工智能将终结他们所知的数学。“我当时觉得他完全失去理智了,”乌尔舍尔说。

A deep problem in what is called Gaussian elimination has captivated Urschel for years. During the course of a decade, he developed a research protocol that he was confident could solve it—eventually. But, as A.I.-assisted solutions to Erdős problems started going up online, he worried that he was running out of time. “So I began to rush ahead,” he said. “I had a postdoc, Rikhav Shah, helping me.” Within a week, Shah told Urschel that “he had heard rumors that compute power was being thrown behind problems in Gaussian elimination,” and Shah thought that they should consider using A.I. Urschel agreed. “So I paid the two hundred dollars a month or whatever,” he said, and they worked with GPT-5.6 Sol and Claude Fable 5.

一个被称为高斯消元法的深层问题多年来一直吸引着乌尔舍尔。在十年时间里,他开发了一套研究方案,他确信这套方案最终能够解决这个问题。但是,随着人工智能辅助的埃尔德什问题解法开始出现在网上,他担心自己的时间不多了。“所以我开始加快进度,”他说。“我有一位博士后,里克哈夫·沙阿(Rikhav Shah),在帮我。”不到一周,沙阿告诉乌尔舍尔,“他听到传言说有人在高斯消元法相关问题上投入了大量算力,”沙阿认为他们应该考虑使用人工智能。乌尔舍尔同意了。“于是我付了每月两百美元什么的,”他说,他们开始使用GPT-5.6 Sol和Claude Fable 5。

Urschel walked me through the collaboration with A.I. “So first I asked it, ‘Can you solve this?’ And it said no, and also that it didn’t think what I was telling it was even true,” he recalled. “I said, ‘O.K., here’s this object that has these properties that you didn’t believe existed.’ ” He went on to feed it steps from his research program. The “conversation” went back and forth, with Urschel pushing the A.I. along the axis of his research program, and the A.I. responding in an irksome, sycophantic tone. Urschel directed it to change its tone to be straightforward and honest. Eventually, something “popped out” that was correct but “very, very ugly.”

乌尔舍尔向我详细讲述了与人工智能的合作过程。“首先我问它,‘你能解决这个吗?’它说不能,还说它甚至不认为我告诉它的事情是真的,”他回忆道。“我说,‘好吧,这里有一个具有这些性质的对象,你不相信它存在。’”他接着把自己研究方案中的步骤喂给它。“对话”来来回回,乌尔舍尔沿着自己研究方案的主轴推动人工智能,而人工智能以一种令人恼火的、谄媚的语气回应。乌尔舍尔指示它改变语气,要直截了当、诚实。最终,某个东西“跳了出来”,它是正确的,但“非常非常丑陋”。

Erdős described proofs that are particularly concise and beautiful—proofs that give you deep insight—as “straight from the Book,” by which he meant the Book of God, though he doubted the existence of God, whom he called the S.F., for Supreme Fascist. Erdős’s first mathematical publication, at age nineteen, was a proof of Chebyshev’s theorem on prime numbers, which had already been proved. But Erdős produced a much simpler proof, one that was succinct and revelatory. A.I. proofs (at least for now) tend to be nothing like straight-from-the-Book proofs. When Urschel looked at the A.I.-assisted proof, he said, “I thought, O.K., we can take this thing and with human work change it into this nice and intuitive thing.” Urschel and Shah published their research, including a detailed endnote of which steps in the process were exclusively human-produced and which were assisted by A.I.

埃尔德什把那些特别简洁而优美的证明——能给你深刻洞见的证明——称为“直接来自《圣经》”,他指的是上帝之书,尽管他怀疑上帝的存在,他管上帝叫“S.F.”,即“最高法西斯”。埃尔德什十九岁时的第一篇数学论文是对素数定理中切比雪夫定理的证明,而这个定理此前已经被证明过了。但埃尔德什给出了一个简单得多的证明,简洁而富有启发性。人工智能的证明(至少目前如此)往往与“来自《圣经》”的证明毫无相似之处。当乌尔舍尔看到那个由人工智能辅助的证明时,他说:“我想,好吧,我们可以把这个东西拿过来,通过人类的工作把它变成一个漂亮而直观的东西。”乌尔舍尔和沙阿发表了他们的研究,包括一个详细的尾注,说明过程中哪些步骤是纯人类完成的,哪些是由人工智能辅助的。

Urschel’s program of research had brought about novel, important work. Shah would have a substantive publication behind him when seeking jobs. But Urschel did not feel celebratory. “Let me be clear. There was no fun in this for me,” he said. “The fun was had before I gave it to this computer program. But talking to the A.I. about it—this is not fun.” He recalled, as a kid, falling in love with logic puzzles. What he loved was being in the dark, trying to find his way forward. “The fun part was not understanding, and struggling to understand,” he said. “Having all the solutions written down is the least fun part.”

乌尔舍尔的研究方案带来了新颖而重要的工作。沙阿在找工作时将有一篇实质性的发表成果。但乌尔舍尔并不感到欢欣鼓舞。“让我说清楚。这对我来说毫无乐趣可言,”他说。“乐趣在我把它交给这个计算机程序之前就已经有了。但和人工智能谈论它——这不好玩。”他回忆起小时候爱上逻辑谜题的经历。他喜欢的是身处黑暗之中,努力寻找前进的道路。“有趣的部分是不理解,以及努力去理解,”他说。“把所有解法都写下来是最没意思的部分。”

Mathematics “has been living a bit of a double life,” he suggested, and the pressure from A.I. was making that visible. To people outside the discipline, the story is that math is important and that, even at its most abstract, it often ends up leading to all sorts of unexpected applications, like public-key cryptography and G.P.S. “This is the story one tells when one wants grant money,” Urschel said. “But this story is not true. And it has never been true.” Or, at least, it’s mostly not true. Urschel postulated that every mathematician sees himself as being somewhere on a spectrum between scientist and artist. “I would say what I call the more scientist approach is being focussed on trying to push the frontier of things as far as we can as quickly as we can,” he told me. “And the artist perspective is, Let me do something beautiful and enjoyable and manipulate these things, and the act of doing this is really, you know, a joyful thing.”

数学“一直过着一种双重生活,”他暗示道,而来自人工智能的压力正在让这一点变得可见。对外行人来说,故事是数学很重要,即使是最抽象的数学,最终也常常带来各种意想不到的应用,比如公钥密码学和GPS。“这是一个人想要申请经费时讲的故事,”乌尔舍尔说。“但这个故事不是真的。而且从来都不是真的。”或者,至少大部分不是真的。乌尔舍尔假设每个数学家都把自己看作处于科学家和艺术家之间光谱上的某个位置。“我会说,我所谓的更偏向科学家的方法是专注于尽可能快、尽可能远地推进前沿,”他告诉我。“而艺术家的视角是,让我做一些美丽而令人愉悦的事情,摆弄这些东西,而做这件事的行为本身,你知道,就是一件快乐的事。”

Urschel has an unusual background for a mathematician. He played professional football for three years with the Baltimore Ravens, working toward his Ph.D. at M.I.T. at the same time. His wife is a writer for this magazine. I asked him what he planned to do next. “Well, we’re gonna get a dog,” he said. “And there’s still lots of math to do in my area.” Some of his students want to work with A.I., which he is O.K. with, and others don’t, and he’s O.K. with that, too. (“I have two A.I. vegans,” he said.)

乌尔舍尔作为数学家的背景不同寻常。他在巴尔的摩乌鸦队打了三年职业橄榄球,同时在麻省理工学院攻读博士学位。他的妻子是本杂志的撰稿人。我问他接下来打算做什么。“嗯,我们要养条狗,”他说。“而且我的领域里还有很多数学要做。”他的一些学生想使用人工智能,他觉得可以,另一些不想,他也没意见。(“我有两个人工智能素食主义者,”他说。)

Tao also told me that the narrative of math as having practical importance was a half-truth, at best. Some of his own research has led to cheaper, faster MRI imaging; most of it has been about curiosity, wonder, and play. He told me a story about the mathematician John Conway, whom he knew at Princeton and whose office was crowded with what were, in essence, puzzles and toys. “I remember once he wanted to learn how to see things in four dimensions,” Tao said. “He reasoned that, since our eyes can really only see in two dimensions”—it’s the distance between the eyes that produces parallax and lets us see as if our vision were three-dimensional—“he invented this weird periscope thing, a goggle thing with mirrors, so that the parallax would not just be horizontal but also vertical. He thought this would give him a way to visualize in four dimensions.” Conway built the device and walked around in it, looking like a mad scientist. “But he said the only thing that it ever gave him was a headache,” Tao told me.

陶哲轩也告诉我,数学具有实际重要性的叙事充其量只是半真半假。他自己的一些研究带来了更便宜、更快的核磁共振成像;但大部分研究关乎好奇心、惊奇和玩耍。他给我讲了一个关于数学家约翰·康威(John Conway)的故事。他在普林斯顿认识康威,康威的办公室里堆满了本质上就是谜题和玩具的东西。“我记得有一次他想学会如何在四维中看东西,”陶哲轩说。“他推理说,既然我们的眼睛实际上只能看到二维”——是双眼之间的距离产生了视差,让我们看起来像是三维视觉——“他发明了这个奇怪的潜望镜装置,一个带镜子的护目镜,这样视差就不仅是水平的,还有垂直的。他认为这能给他一种在四维中可视化的方法。”康威造出了这个装置,戴着它走来走去,看起来像个疯狂科学家。“但他说它唯一带给他的就是头痛,”陶哲轩告诉我。

Tao never solved the problem that Erdős shared with him in 1985. That was done by Hoi Nguyen and Van Vu, in 2010. But Tao did solve a different famous Erdős problem, one that had been formulated around 1930, known as the Erdős discrepancy problem. It was one of the Hungarian mathematician’s favorite problems. He is said to have brought it up often, especially toward the end of his life. It can be thought of as a question about a series of coin flips, continuing on infinitely, and whether that series inevitably becomes “unbalanced” if you look at every second, or third, or any-number-distance entry in it. Another mathematician, James Grime, made the problem more accessible by translating it into a puzzle narrative, involving someone held captive between angry snakes in front of them and a precipitous cliff behind them. The coin flips are steps forward or back, and the question is whether it is possible to survive. You could Google the answer. Or you could play around with the problem first. ♦

陶哲轩从未解决埃尔德什1985年与他分享的那个问题。那个问题在2010年由阮海(Hoi Nguyen)和武文(Van Vu)解决。但陶哲轩确实解决了另一个著名的埃尔德什问题,一个大约在1930年提出的问题,即埃尔德什差异问题。这是这位匈牙利数学家最喜欢的问题之一。据说他经常提起它,尤其是在生命的最后阶段。它可以被看作一个关于一系列抛硬币的问题,无限延续下去,以及如果你每隔一个、两个或任意间隔取其中的项来看,这个序列是否不可避免地变得“不平衡”。另一位数学家詹姆斯·格莱姆(James Grime)把这个问题翻译成一个谜题叙事,使其更容易理解:一个人被囚禁,面前是愤怒的蛇,身后是陡峭的悬崖。抛硬币的结果是向前或向后迈步,问题是是否有可能活下来。你可以谷歌答案。或者你可以先自己玩玩这个问题。♦

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