Books

The U.S. Helped Make Europe. Can It Break It?

美国曾助力缔造欧洲,如今能将其拆散吗?
Cold War policymakers pushed for a unified Continent. Their MAGA successors are trying to undo all that.
冷战时期的政策制定者曾力推一个统一的大陆。他们的“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA)继任者,如今正试图瓦解这一切。
Drawing of American Flag at halfmast
Illustration by Ricardo Tomás

After the end of the Second World War, every major city in the U.S.-occupied zone of Germany had an Amerika Haus. People who might be lucky to have a roof over their heads gathered there to read American books and periodicals, watch American movies, listen to lectures about America, tap their toes to jazz from America. This enterprise, funded at first by the U.S. Office of Military Government, and later by the U.S. Information Agency, was obviously meant to present America in a positive light to men and women who had been fed Nazi propaganda for more than a decade. It was another propaganda exercise, then, but not a heavy-handed one, propaganda under the mantle of liberty and democracy.

二战结束后,在德国美占区的每一座主要城市,都设有一所“美国之家”(Amerika Haus)。那些勉强有片瓦遮身的人们聚集于此,阅读美国的书籍与期刊,观看美国电影,聆听关于美国的讲座,随着美国爵士乐的节奏轻点脚尖。这项事业最初由美国军政府办公室资助,后来由美国新闻署接手,其用意显而易见:向那些被纳粹宣传浸染了十余年的男男女女,展示一个正面的美国形象。这不过是又一次宣传操练,但并非粗暴灌输,而是披着自由与民主外衣的宣传。

Unlike in the aftermath of the First World War, when the Allies decided that the defeated enemy had to be punished for its sins, the goal this time was to educate the former Axis powers on how to be good democrats who would learn to embrace such vaunted American values as individual freedom and free enterprise. Much store was set on culture. This was not without its absurdities. A zealous young U.S. Army education officer in Japan believed that teaching locals the art of square dancing would contribute to their democratization. In the same spirit, the American occupation government instructed movie studios in Japan to show a Japanese couple kissing onscreen, as a public display of affection, American style. The resulting sensation was such that May 23, 1946, the première date of this film, “Twenty-Year-Old Youth,” came to be celebrated as Kiss Day.

一战结束后,协约国认定战败的敌人必须为其罪孽受罚。与此不同,这一次的目标是教育前轴心国,如何成为优秀的民主主义者,学会拥抱个人自由、自由企业等备受推崇的美国价值观。文化被寄予厚望。这并非没有荒诞之处。一位满腔热忱的年轻美国陆军教育官员在日本认为,教当地人跳方块舞有助于他们的民主化进程。本着同样的精神,美国占领当局指示日本电影公司,在银幕上展示一对日本情侣接吻,作为一种美式公开示爱。由此引发的轰动效应如此之大,以至于这部电影——《二十岁的青春》——1946年5月23日的首映日,被当作“接吻日”来庆祝。

Europeans who had lived under Nazi occupation did not have to learn how to kiss in the movies. But America’s effort to create a global alliance of democracies under U.S. tutelage and military protection involved a great deal of cultural and political education, or reëducation, and the endeavor became even more pressing once the Cold War began. There was concern that demoralized and impoverished Europeans—artists and intellectuals especially—would be drawn to the blandishments of the Soviet Union. So the C.I.A. financed reliably pro-American political parties for decades, along with arts festivals, exhibitions, concerts, and literary magazines such as Der Monat, in Berlin, and Encounter, in London. Much of this was done with an American mixture of political self-interest and idealism. (Intent on countering “Reds” in the C.I.A. and other U.S. foreign-policy institutions, Senator Joseph McCarthy sent his trusted lawyer, Roy Cohn, to Germany at the height of the Red Scare to weed out subversive books from Amerika Haus libraries.)

曾在纳粹占领下生活的欧洲人,无需在电影里学习如何接吻。但美国试图在其监护和军事保护下建立一个全球民主国家联盟的努力,涉及大量的文化和政治教育,或者说再教育。而冷战一旦开启,这项事业就变得更加紧迫。当时有人担心,士气低落、一贫如洗的欧洲人——尤其是艺术家和知识分子——会被苏联的甜言蜜语所吸引。因此,中央情报局(CIA)数十年来资助那些可靠亲美的政党,以及艺术节、展览、音乐会和文学杂志,例如柏林的《月刊》(Der Monat)和伦敦的《邂逅》(Encounter)。这一切,很大程度上是以一种美国式的政治自利与理想主义的混合体来推进的。(参议员约瑟夫·麦卡锡一心想清除中情局及其他美国外交政策机构中的“赤色分子”,在“红色恐慌”最严重时,派他的心腹律师罗伊·科恩前往德国,从美国之家的图书馆里清除颠覆性书籍。)

One of the great creations of Pax Americana was what the political scientist Glyn Morgan calls the American Europe. (He shares his discipline’s fondness for denoting concepts with italicized phrases.) In his short and punchy new book, “The Rise and Fall of American Europe” (Polity), he argues that American Europe was a new order imposed by the United States. British, Dutch, French, Belgian, and Italian empires had to be dissolved, the thinking went, to make way for an integrated, democratic Europe. This would also address the perennial German problem: embedded in a federal Europe, Germany would become a country its neighbors could safely live with.

“美利坚治世”(Pax Americana)的伟大创造之一,便是政治学家格林·摩根(Glyn Morgan)所称的“美式欧洲”(American Europe)。(他沿袭了其学科偏爱用斜体短语指代概念的喜好。)在他那本简短有力的新书《美式欧洲的兴衰》(The Rise and Fall of American Europe,Polity出版社)中,他提出,美式欧洲是美国强加的一种新秩序。当时的想法是,不列颠、荷兰、法国、比利时和意大利的帝国必须解体,为一个一体化、民主的欧洲让路。这也将解决那个长期存在的德国问题:将德国嵌入一个联邦制的欧洲,它就能成为一个其邻国可以安然与之共处的国家。

To bring all this about, and to counter the allure of Communism, European economies first had to emerge from the rubble of war and regain their strength as quickly as possible. Hence the Marshall Plan, which was designed to encourage European integration. The diplomat and foreign-policy thinker George Kennan wrote, “We considered that one of the long-term deficiencies of the European economy as a whole was its excessive fragmentation . . . the lack, in particular, of a large consumer’s market.” But Kennan’s vision for Europe wasn’t merely economic. To overcome the nationalist rivalries that had caused two devastating wars, he urged the United States to help depressed Europeans recover their “spiritual vigor” as a self-confident collective entity. As Morgan explains, this meant that “U.S. support would force the British, the French, and other nations to think of themselves as Europeans rather than as nationalists inhabiting separate nation-states.”

为了实现这一切,并抗衡共产主义的诱惑,欧洲经济首先必须从战争的废墟中崛起,尽快恢复元气。于是有了马歇尔计划,其设计初衷便是鼓励欧洲一体化。外交官兼外交政策思想家乔治·凯南(George Kennan)写道:“我们认为,欧洲经济整体的长期缺陷之一,是其过度的碎片化……尤其是缺乏一个庞大的消费者市场。”但凯南对欧洲的愿景并不仅限于经济。为了克服曾引发两场毁灭性战争的民族主义对抗,他敦促美国帮助沮丧的欧洲人恢复其“精神活力”,成为一个自信的集体实体。正如摩根所解释的,这意味着“美国的支持将迫使英国人、法国人和其他国家的人,将自己视为欧洲人,而非居住在各自民族国家里的民族主义者。”

The originality of Morgan’s book lies in its claim that European unification—first the European Coal and Steel Community, in 1951, then the European Economic Community, in 1957, and finally the European Union, in 1993—was more an American creation than a European one. Postwar Europe, he argues, was made in America’s image.

摩根这本书的独创性在于其主张:欧洲的统一进程——先是1951年的欧洲煤钢共同体,接着是1957年的欧洲经济共同体,最后是1993年的欧洲联盟——与其说是欧洲的创造,不如说是美国的产物。他认为,战后的欧洲是按照美国的形象塑造的。

The conventional view holds that the main architects of European integration were the Frenchmen Jean Monnet, a mild-mannered, mustachioed Cognac merchant and banker, and Robert Schuman, an austere, devoutly Catholic statesman from Lorraine. The Schuman Declaration of May 9, 1950, which proposed placing French and German coal and steel production under a common authority, is still commemorated by the E.U. as Europe Day. The Chancellor of the Federal Republic of Germany Konrad Adenauer, the Italian Prime Minister Alcide De Gasperi, and the Belgian Socialist statesman Paul-Henri Spaak are likewise counted among the European founding fathers.

传统观点认为,欧洲一体化的主要设计师是法国人让·莫内(Jean Monnet),一位温文尔雅、留着八字胡的干邑酒商兼银行家,以及罗贝尔·舒曼(Robert Schuman),一位来自洛林、严肃而虔诚的天主教政治家。1950年5月9日的《舒曼宣言》提议将法德两国的煤炭和钢铁生产置于一个共同机构的管理之下,这一天至今仍被欧盟作为“欧洲日”来纪念。德意志联邦共和国总理康拉德·阿登纳(Konrad Adenauer)、意大利总理阿尔契德·加斯贝利(Alcide De Gasperi)以及比利时社会党政治家保罗-亨利·斯巴克(Paul-Henri Spaak),同样被列为欧洲的奠基之父。

Winston Churchill himself favored some form of European unification, though without Britain, which, like the United States, was to remain outside it, as a benevolent and, naturally, superior power. This became a sticking point in the much hyped (especially in Britain) “special relationship.” From Churchill onward, many British leaders clung to fantasies of global power and splendid isolation from Europe, fantasies that culminated in the disaster of Brexit. By contrast, most American Presidents, the current incumbent aside, preferred Britain snugly embedded in Europe, where it could serve as a dependable American ally.

温斯顿·丘吉尔本人也赞成某种形式的欧洲统一,但不包括英国。英国将和美国一样,置身其外,充当一个仁慈的、且理所当然高人一等的强权。这成了被大肆炒作(尤其是在英国)的“特殊关系”中的一个症结。自丘吉尔以降,许多英国领导人固守着全球大国和光荣孤立于欧洲的幻想,这些幻想最终酿成了英国脱欧的灾难。相比之下,大多数美国总统,现任这位除外,更希望英国紧密地嵌入欧洲,在那里充当美国可靠的盟友。

Morgan sets out to revise this familiar genealogy of European integration. In his telling, Monnet and Schuman did not originate the idea. Franklin D. Roosevelt had long opposed European imperialism, much to the chagrin of his wartime ally Churchill, and Morgan maintains that members of the Roosevelt and Truman foreign-policy establishments were devising plans for a unified Europe well before European leaders embraced the project. In 1943, William C. Bullitt, a senior U.S. diplomat, argued in a letter to Roosevelt that the United States would “be obliged . . . in setting up administrations in occupied and liberated countries, not only to set up democratic administrations but also to lay the groundwork for a combination of democratic governments in Europe strong enough to preserve democracy in Europe and keep the Bolsheviks from replacing the Nazis as masters of Europe.”

摩根着手修正这一人们熟知的欧洲一体化谱系。在他的叙述中,莫内和舒曼并非该理念的首创者。富兰克林·D·罗斯福长期以来反对欧洲帝国主义,这让他的战时盟友丘吉尔大为懊恼。摩根坚持认为,罗斯福和杜鲁门政府外交政策机构的成员,早在欧洲领导人接受这个计划之前,就在设计统一欧洲的方案。1943年,美国高级外交官威廉·C·布利特(William C. Bullitt)在给罗斯福的信中主张,美国将“有义务……在被占领国家和被解放国家建立行政机构时,不仅要建立民主政府,还要为欧洲民主政府的联合奠定基础,这个联合体要足够强大,以维护欧洲的民主,并阻止布尔什维克取代纳粹成为欧洲的主宰。”

Walt Rostow, who became Lyndon B. Johnson’s national-security adviser during the Vietnam War, had also been working on postwar plans to incorporate Germany into the rest of Western Europe by means of economic coöperation. Morgan believes that Rostow came to that idea first, before Monnet, and, indeed, that Rostow passed his views on to the Frenchman, who spent much of the war in Washington, D.C.

沃尔特·罗斯托(Walt Rostow),后来在越战期间成为林登·B·约翰逊的国家安全顾问,当时也在制定战后计划,旨在通过经济合作将德国纳入西欧其他部分。摩根认为,罗斯托比莫内更早想到这个主意,而且,实际上是罗斯托将自己的观点传递给了这位法国人,后者在战争期间大部分时间都待在华盛顿特区。

Morgan is right that Americans played a hugely important role in shaping postwar Europe, but he underestimates the European contributions, not least when he casts Monnet as Rostow’s pupil. The idea of pooling natural resources to prevent another war between major European powers, especially Germany and France, had been championed at the end of the First World War by a French politician named Étienne Clémentel. He called for a “new economic order” based on interdependence. His assistant was Monnet, who had suggested combining the British and French economies to defeat Germany in the Great War. In 1940, when France was invaded once again, Monnet went further and suggested a Franco-British union. None of this came to pass, but it’s clear that Monnet didn’t need Rostow to fire his pan-European imagination.

摩根说美国人在塑造战后欧洲方面发挥了巨大作用,这是对的,但他低估了欧洲人的贡献,尤其是当他将莫内描绘成罗斯托的学生时。通过整合自然资源来防止欧洲主要大国,特别是德法之间再次发生战争的想法,在一战结束时,就已被一位名叫艾蒂安·克莱芒泰尔(Étienne Clémentel)的法国政治家所倡导。他呼吁建立一个基于相互依存的“新经济秩序”。他的助手正是莫内,后者曾建议英法两国经济联合,以在一战中击败德国。1940年,当法国再次遭入侵时,莫内更进一步,建议成立法英联盟。这些都未能实现,但很明显,莫内并不需要罗斯托来点燃他泛欧的想象力。

Nor were the Frenchmen alone. One of the more interesting and eccentric unifiers was the half Japanese Austro-Hungarian Count Richard von Coudenhove-Kalergi. His book “Pan-Europa,” published in 1923, sparked the “Pan-Europa movement.” In his dream of pan-European leadership, those in charge would not necessarily be men of high birth but gentlemen imbued with an “aristocracy of the spirit”—an idea that was perhaps not so very far removed from Kennan’s notion of “spiritual vigor.” Coudenhove-Kalergi’s movement, too, came to little. But his proposal that Beethoven’s “Ode to Joy” serve as the European anthem endured; it is still played on official E.U. occasions.

法国人也并非孤军奋战。其中一位更有趣、更特立独行的统一论者,是有一半日本血统的奥匈帝国伯爵理查德·冯·库登霍夫-卡莱吉(Richard von Coudenhove-Kalergi)。他于1923年出版的《泛欧洲》(Pan-Europa)一书,点燃了“泛欧运动”。在他关于泛欧领导层的梦想中,掌权者不必是出身高贵的人,而是充满“精神贵族气质”的绅士——这个想法或许与凯南的“精神活力”概念相去不远。库登霍夫-卡莱吉的运动也收效甚微。但他提议将贝多芬的《欢乐颂》作为欧洲之歌,这一想法却延续了下来;至今仍在欧盟的官方场合奏响。

In 1941, Italian antifascists produced the Ventotene Manifesto (named for a small island where they were interned), calling for a federal socialist Europe. German dissidents inside Hitler’s Reich, such as the Kreisau Circle, associated with Helmuth James von Moltke, who was executed by the Nazis, in 1945, for “treason,” also drew up plans for a postwar European union. Many members of his circle were fellow-aristocrats, some of them kindred spirits of Coudenhove-Kalergi. And the Nazis themselves had pan-European ideals, albeit under the firm rule of the Herrenvolk.

1941年,意大利反法西斯人士发表了《文托泰内宣言》(Ventotene Manifesto,以他们被关押的一座小岛命名),呼吁建立一个联邦制的社会主义欧洲。希特勒帝国内部的德国异见人士,如与赫尔穆特·詹姆斯·冯·毛奇(Helmuth James von Moltke)相关的克莱稍集团(Kreisau Circle,毛奇于1945年因“叛国罪”被纳粹处决),也草拟了战后欧洲联盟的计划。他圈内的许多成员同为贵族,其中一些人与库登霍夫-卡莱吉志趣相投。而纳粹自己也有泛欧理想,尽管那是在“优等民族”的牢固统治之下。

There’s another side of postwar pan-Europeanism that is hard to associate with the twentieth-century American establishment: the deep Roman Catholic background of most of the founders, which made them receptive to a supranational order. Adenauer, De Gasperi, and Schuman were all devout Catholics, and Monnet, though not a religious man, was born into a pious Catholic family. Adenauer was also a Rhinelander who loathed the largely Protestant and Prussian eastern part of Germany. He is said to have muttered “Asia again” whenever his train crossed the Elbe on the way to Berlin. For him, the West ended at the old borders of the Roman Empire, which had cut through the Teutonic territories. Ancient Rome was not his only model. John McCloy, the U.S. High Commissioner in Germany from 1949 to 1952, recalled that Adenauer spoke of the Holy Roman Empire as if it were recent history.

战后泛欧主义还有另一面,很难与二十世纪的美国体制联系起来:大多数奠基者深厚的罗马天主教背景,这使得他们易于接受一种超国家的秩序。阿登纳、加斯贝利和舒曼都是虔诚的天主教徒,而莫内虽非宗教人士,却也出身于一个虔诚的天主教家庭。阿登纳还是一位莱茵兰人,他憎恶以新教为主、普鲁士化的德国东部地区。据说,每当他乘坐的火车越过易北河驶向柏林时,他都会喃喃自语“又是亚洲了”。对他而言,西方终结于罗马帝国的旧边界,那条边界曾横穿条顿人的领地。古罗马并非他唯一的范本。1949年至1952年担任美国驻德高级专员的约翰·麦克洛伊(John McCloy)回忆说,阿登纳谈起神圣罗马帝国时,仿佛那是近代历史。

This Catholic genealogy helped arouse British suspicions of European integration. The journalist Hugo Young, himself brought up Catholic, observed in his book “This Blessed Plot” that such “feelings were not limited to superstition. They acquired a strong political formulation among people who saw in the Schuman Plan the beginnings of a Vatican conspiracy, or even more luridly, an attempt to recreate the Holy Roman Empire.”

这种天主教谱系助长了英国对欧洲一体化的怀疑。记者雨果·扬(Hugo Young),本人也是天主教徒,在其著作《这片福地》(This Blessed Plot)中指出,这种“感觉并不仅限于迷信。它们在那些将舒曼计划视为梵蒂冈阴谋的开端,或者更耸人听闻地,视为重建神圣罗马帝国的企图的人中间,获得了一种强烈的政治表述。”
Knight playing cittern with upsidedown helmet in front of him for tips.
Cartoon by Seth Fleishman
Copy link to cartoon
Shop

In Germany, however, the strongest opposition to Adenauer’s efforts to anchor the Federal Republic in an American-led Western alliance, through European integration and NATO, came from the left rather than the revanchist right. The Social Democrats, led by Kurt Schumacher, a prickly figure who had suffered horribly for resisting the Nazis, were mistrustful of the United States and hoped to reunify Germany as a neutral state at the center of Europe. A defense pact with America was anathema to Schumacher, since it threatened to make permanent the country’s division into two hostile states. Adenauer reached the opposite conclusion. Membership in NATO, he believed, offered the surest route to restoring West German sovereignty and the right to rearm. That it also cemented the division of Germany suited him fine.

然而在德国,对阿登纳通过欧洲一体化和北约将联邦德国锚定在美国领导的西方联盟中的努力,最强烈的反对并非来自复仇主义的右翼,而是来自左翼。由库尔特·舒马赫(Kurt Schumacher)领导的社会民主党,对美国心存疑虑,希望将德国重新统一为一个位于欧洲中心的中立国家。舒马赫性格尖刻,曾因抵抗纳粹而遭受可怕的折磨。与美国签订防务协定对他而言是极其可憎的,因为这可能使德国分裂为两个敌对国家的局面永久化。阿登纳得出了相反的结论。他相信,加入北约是恢复西德主权和重新武装权利的最可靠途径。至于这同时也巩固了德国的分裂,正合他意。

German rearmament remained alarming to the French, and for a time a European Army seemed to offer a solution. In 1950, Monnet helped devise the Pleven Plan, which would place West German troops within a supranational European Defense Community. The project foundered in 1954, when the French parliament, still haunted by German militarism, refused to ratify it. West Germany joined NATO the following year.

德国重新武装对法国人来说依然令人警觉,一时间,一支欧洲军队似乎提供了解决方案。1950年,莫内协助设计了“普利文计划”(Pleven Plan),将西德军队置于一个超国家的欧洲防务共同体之内。该计划于1954年失败,当时法国议会仍对德国军国主义心有余悸,拒绝批准。西德于次年加入了北约。

NATO thus became one of the main pillars of American Europe. Formally separate from the European Economic Community and, later, from the European Union, it strengthened European coöperation while securing American leadership. The Marshall Plan and European integration helped produce three decades of rapid growth and rising prosperity, the period the French call les trente glorieuses, the thirty glorious years. This achievement rested on an American security guarantee. In Asia, the U.S.-Japan Security Treaty, signed in 1951, established a comparable arrangement for Japan.

北约由此成为美式欧洲的主要支柱之一。它在形式上独立于欧洲经济共同体以及后来的欧洲联盟,既加强了欧洲合作,又确保了美国的领导地位。马歇尔计划和欧洲一体化帮助带来了三十年的快速增长和日益繁荣,即法国人称之为“辉煌三十年”(les trente glorieuses)的时期。这一成就依赖于美国的安全保障。在亚洲,1951年签署的《美日安保条约》为日本建立了类似的安排。

Whether Morgan is right to see postwar Western Europe as largely an American creation, or whether Europeans played a more important role than he allows, American Europe was clearly an élite project. Monnet, Kennan, Schuman, Rostow, and McCloy were the opposite of populists. Some may even have thought of themselves, in Coudenhove-Kalergi’s term, as “aristocrats of the spirit”: highly educated internationalists, accustomed to believing that they knew what was best, who took it upon themselves to design a new world order. American Europe came from the top, and that is why populists in the United States, led by President Donald Trump, and many right-wing politicians in Europe can’t stand the E.U.

无论摩根将战后西欧主要视为美国造物的观点是否正确,或者欧洲人扮演的角色是否比他承认的更重要,美式欧洲显然是一个精英工程。莫内、凯南、舒曼、罗斯托和麦克洛伊,都是民粹主义者的反面。他们中的一些人甚至可能自视为,用库登霍夫-卡莱吉的话说,“精神贵族”:受过高等教育的国际主义者,习惯于相信他们知道什么是最好的,并自行承担起设计世界新秩序的责任。美式欧洲来自顶层,正因如此,以唐纳德·特朗普总统为首的美国民粹主义者,以及欧洲的许多右翼政客,都无法忍受欧盟。

Trump has described the E.U. as a “decaying” group of nations, many of which “will not be viable countries any longer.” He has warned that “both the immigration and their suicidal energy ideas will be the death of Western Europe,” and his National Security Strategy darkly evokes “civilizational erasure.” In a speech commemorating the D Day landings, the Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth, proclaimed, “Sadly, today, different European beaches are stormed by different, dangerous ideologies. Beaches in Spain, Italy, Greece, and Bulgaria, boats and men arrive. When will European capitals do something about that invasion, or is it too late?” He was speaking, of course, not of Nazis or Russians but of desperate refugees.

特朗普曾将欧盟描述为一个“正在腐朽的”国家集团,其中许多国家“将不再是能独立生存的国家”。他警告说,“移民问题和他们那些自杀式的能源理念,都将成为西欧的死亡之因”,他的《国家安全战略》则阴郁地提及“文明的抹除”。在一次纪念诺曼底登陆日的演讲中,国防部长皮特·赫格塞思(Pete Hegseth)宣称:“可悲的是,今天,不同的欧洲海滩正被不同的危险意识形态所冲击。在西班牙、意大利、希腊和保加利亚的海滩上,船只和人正在抵达。欧洲各国首都何时才会对那场入侵采取行动,还是说已经太晚了?”当然,他指的不是纳粹或俄罗斯人,而是绝望的难民。

Some of Trump’s chief backers among the tech oligarchs have joined MAGA’s campaign against the E.U. Elon Musk proclaimed on X that “the EU should be abolished and sovereignty returned to individual countries.” He has also called the far-right Alternative für Deutschland Party “the last spark of hope” for Germany. The AfD, like other far-right parties in Europe, shares MAGA’s hostility toward the E.U., and its rationale that an élite supranational project is destroying national identities.

特朗普在科技寡头中的一些主要支持者,也加入了MAGA反对欧盟的运动。埃隆·马斯克在X平台上宣称:“欧盟应该被废除,主权应归还给各个国家。”他还称极右翼的德国选择党(Alternative für Deutschland)是德国“最后的希望火花”。德国选择党,如同欧洲其他极右翼政党一样,认同MAGA对欧盟的敌意,及其背后的逻辑:一个精英主导的超国家项目正在摧毁民族认同。

The U.S. President’s disdain for NATO matches his views on America’s European allies. In 2024, Trump quoted an unnamed European leader who had, he said, asked him whether the U.S. would help to protect a NATO ally if it were invaded by the Russians, something the North Atlantic Treaty obliges every member to do. “No, I would not protect you,” Trump had replied. “In fact, I would encourage them to do whatever the hell they want. You got to pay. You got to pay your bills.” This amounted to more than disdain; it was a repudiation, from Washington, of a central premise of American Europe.

美国总统对北约的蔑视,与他对美国欧洲盟友的看法如出一辙。2024年,特朗普援引一位他未具名的欧洲领导人的话,说此人曾问他,如果某个北约盟友遭到俄罗斯入侵,美国是否会帮助保护它——这是《北大西洋公约》要求每个成员国必须履行的义务。“不,我不会保护你,”特朗普当时答道。“事实上,我会鼓励他们想干什么就干什么。你得付钱。你得付清你的账单。”这已不仅仅是蔑视;这是来自华盛顿对美式欧洲一项核心前提的彻底否定。

Morgan identifies various reasons for this turn of events. Elements of the American right have long had a soft spot for Russia. He mentions Pat Buchanan, who approvingly quoted Putin’s claim that Russia was defending “traditional values” against a “so-called tolerance” that was “genderless and infertile.” Then, there is the rise of China, which has shifted Washington’s strategic focus away from Europe and diminished NATO’s centrality to American concerns. But the main reason, according to Morgan, for the current Administration’s war on American Europe lies in the domestic culture war. What’s happening in the U.S. today, he argues, “is an intra-elite struggle waged by populist nationalists and technological accelerationists against a Brahmin Left that they seek to topple.”

摩根为这一事态转折找到了多种原因。美国右翼的某些势力长期以来对俄罗斯抱有好感。他提到了帕特·布坎南(Pat Buchanan),后者曾赞赏地引用普京的说法,即俄罗斯正在捍卫“传统价值观”,对抗一种“无性别且不育”的“所谓宽容”。此外,还有中国的崛起,这已将华盛顿的战略焦点从欧洲转移,削弱了北约在美国关切中的中心地位。但根据摩根的说法,现任政府对美式欧洲开战的主要原因,在于国内的文化战争。他认为,当今美国正在发生的,“是一场由民粹民族主义者和技术加速主义者发起的精英内部斗争,矛头指向他们试图推翻的‘婆罗门左派’。”

The principal targets, then, are less European institutions and NATO than the American élites associated with them. “Europe” serves as a shorthand for immigration, welfare states, and free-speech laws that seek to limit the power of new-media moguls to spread disinformation. Morgan calls the emerging MAGA ideology Civilizational America (again, his italics) and argues that it is poised to supplant American Europe. The “social-liberal values of American Europe,” he writes, “will be jettisoned in a new Civilizational America.” It’s an odd phrase; “civilization” usually suggests a broad and pluriform cultural inheritance, whereas Morgan’s Civilizational America combines Christian zeal, economic libertarianism, and ethnic chauvinism. Still, one can see what he means.

那么,主要目标与其说是欧洲的机构和北约,不如说是与之相关的美国精英阶层。“欧洲”成了移民、福利国家以及旨在限制新媒体大亨散布虚假信息能力的言论自由法律的代名词。摩根将新兴的MAGA意识形态称为“文明美国”(Civilizational America,再次使用他的斜体),并认为它已准备好取代美式欧洲。“美式欧洲的社会自由主义价值观,”他写道,“将在新的‘文明美国’中被抛弃。”这是个奇怪的措辞;“文明”通常意味着一种广泛而多元的文化传承,而摩根的“文明美国”却结合了基督教狂热、经济自由意志主义和种族沙文主义。不过,人们能明白他的意思。

The visceral class resentment directed at highly educated élites, whether liberal or classically conservative, especially those who built the institutions of Pax Americana, is real. It also extends well beyond the United States. Right-wing populist parties in Europe—including the AfD, in Germany, the Party for Freedom, in the Netherlands, the National Rally, in France, and Reform U.K.—draw on much the same resentment. This affinity helps explain why J. D. Vance used the Munich Security Conference to lecture Europe’s political establishment on the twin dangers of immigration and the “threat from within,” then met privately with Alice Weidel, a leader of the AfD.

那种针对受过高等教育的精英——无论是自由派还是古典保守派,尤其是那些构建了“美利坚治世”机构的人——发自肺腑的阶级怨恨,是真实存在的。它也远远超出了美国的范围。欧洲的右翼民粹主义政党——包括德国的德国选择党、荷兰的自由党、法国的国民联盟和英国的改革党——都利用了大致相同的怨恨。这种亲和力有助于解释,为何J·D·万斯会在慕尼黑安全会议上,就移民和“来自内部的威胁”这双重危险训诫欧洲的政治建制派,然后私下会见了德国选择党的领导人之一爱丽丝·魏德尔(Alice Weidel)。

American culture wars are clearly part of the story. European right-wing populism, however, was gaining strength long before MAGA appeared. Since the nineteen-seventies, far-right parties have exploited anxieties about the arrival of former colonial subjects and migrant workers in countries such as France, Britain, Belgium, and the Netherlands. Richard Bessel, in his useful little book “Postwar Europe: A Very Short Introduction,” writes of Belgium’s most extreme Flemish-nationalist party: “By focusing during the late 1980s on immigration, the Vlaams Blok more than trebled its popular vote between the general elections of 1987 and 1991.” In Britain, as Bessel also reminds us, a Labour M.P. was unseated in 1964 by a right-wing Conservative amid a campaign notorious for the slogan “If you want a n—— for a neighbor, vote Labour.”

美国的文化战争显然是故事的一部分。然而,欧洲的右翼民粹主义早在MAGA出现之前很久就已积蓄力量。自20世纪70年代以来,极右翼政党一直在利用法、英、比、荷等国民众对前殖民地臣民和外来务工人员到来的焦虑。理查德·贝塞尔(Richard Bessel)在他那本有用的小书《战后欧洲:极简介绍》(Postwar Europe: A Very Short Introduction)中,写到比利时最极端的弗拉芒民族主义政党:“通过在20世纪80年代末聚焦移民问题,弗拉芒集团(Vlaams Blok)在1987年至1991年的大选间,将其普选票数增加了两倍多。”在英国,正如贝塞尔也提醒我们的,1964年,一位工党议员在一场因臭名昭著的口号“想要黑鬼做邻居,就投工党票”而闻名的竞选中,被一名右翼保守党人击败。

The nationalist, anti-immigrant, blood-and-soil right returned to the mainstream of postwar European politics only in recent decades, as rabble-rousers on both sides of the Atlantic began spreading panic about a Muslim threat to what they like to call “Judeo-Christian civilization,” and about white Christians being “replaced” by sinister aliens whom liberal élites supposedly coddle to win votes.

民族主义的、反移民的、血统与土地至上的右翼,直到近几十年才重返战后欧洲政治的主流。彼时,大西洋两岸的煽动者开始散播恐慌,谈论穆斯林对他们喜欢称之为“犹太-基督教文明”的威胁,以及白人基督徒正被自由派精英为赢得选票而姑息的邪恶外来者所“取代”。

Yet this conflict long predates Civilizational America or American Europe. Since the nineteenth century, the Western world has been divided between two rival conceptions of nationhood: the nation as a community of blood and faith, and the nation as a democratic state of citizens with equal rights. Liberals, from Thomas Jefferson to Aristide Briand, championed the separation of church and state. Right-wing nationalists, stronger in some countries than in others, detested liberalism, secularism, and racial equality. In France, the Dreyfus Affair, in the eighteen-nineties, brought the conflict into especially sharp relief. After Alfred Dreyfus, a Jewish Army officer, was falsely convicted of treason, the so-called Dreyfusards, secular republicans defending the civil rights of a French Jew, faced anti-Dreyfusards, who rallied around church and soil.

然而,这场冲突远在“文明美国”或“美式欧洲”出现之前就已存在。自19世纪以来,西方世界就分裂为两种相互竞争的国族观念:作为血统与信仰共同体的国族,以及作为公民权利平等的民主国家的国族。从托马斯·杰斐逊到阿里斯蒂德·白里安(Aristide Briand),自由主义者一直倡导政教分离。右翼民族主义者,在某些国家比在另一些国家更强大,则憎恶自由主义、世俗主义和种族平等。在法国,19世纪90年代的德雷福斯事件(Dreyfus Affair)使这场冲突尤为凸显。在犹太裔军官阿尔弗雷德·德雷福斯被诬告叛国后,所谓的“德雷福斯派”,即捍卫一位法国犹太公民权利的世俗共和派,与围绕教会和土地集结的“反德雷福斯派”针锋相对。

This schism cut right across the West. Indeed, many German nationalists in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries didn’t even consider themselves to be part of the West, which they associated with French republicanism, British liberalism, and American capitalism. Thomas Mann—who later changed his mind on such matters—believed that Germany in the First World War was fighting for its unique national soul against a shallow materialist Western civilization corrupted by rationalism. The country that German and other European reactionaries associated most with that idea of the West was the United States. Germans have Kultur, the French have civilisation, and the rootless Americans have only cash. America’s relative openness to immigrants looked like decadence; cosmopolitanism and internationalism were objects of contempt. Now the roles have reversed. America First ideologues, backed by the government in Washington, condemn Europe in pretty much the same terms that European reactionaries once used against the United States. And the U.S. State Department is sponsoring European right-wingers who hate European integration with the largesse it once directed toward Europeans who were in favor of it.

这道裂痕贯穿了整个西方。事实上,19世纪末20世纪初的许多德国民族主义者,甚至不认为自己是西方的一部分,他们将西方与法国的共和主义、英国的自由主义和美国的资本主义联系在一起。托马斯·曼——后来他在这些问题上改变了看法——曾认为,一战中的德国是在为其独特的民族灵魂而战,对抗一种被理性主义腐蚀的、浅薄的物质主义西方文明。德国及其他欧洲反动派最常与那种西方观念联系在一起的国家,就是美国。德国人有“文化”(Kultur),法国人有“文明”(civilisation),而无根的美国人只有金钱。美国对移民的相对开放,看起来像是堕落;世界主义和国际主义成了被鄙视的对象。如今,角色发生了逆转。“美国优先”的意识形态家们,在华盛顿政府的支持下,用几乎与当年欧洲反动派用来抨击美国相同的措辞来谴责欧洲。而且,美国国务院正以当年资助支持欧洲一体化的欧洲人时的那种慷慨,资助那些憎恨欧洲一体化的欧洲右翼分子。

So who represents the West today? Morgan’s Civilizational America? President Emmanuel Macron and others who regard Europe as the last bastion of liberal Western values? Or the right-wing populists in Europe and the U.S. who claim to be defending Judeo-Christian civilization against Islam and other alien creeds? Which vision is most likely to prevail? Morgan’s sympathies are clear. He is a liberal who despises MAGA. But his prognosis for Europe is bleak. “American Europe is over,” he writes. “If Europe is to flourish, it must come to terms with Civilizational America.”

那么,今天谁代表西方?是摩根的“文明美国”?是埃马纽埃尔·马克龙总统和其他将欧洲视为自由西方价值观最后堡垒的人?还是那些声称正在捍卫犹太-基督教文明、对抗伊斯兰教及其他外来信条的欧美右翼民粹主义者?哪种愿景最有可能胜出?摩根的同情所在是明确的。他是一位鄙视MAGA的自由派。但他对欧洲的预测是黯淡的。“美式欧洲已经终结,”他写道。“如果欧洲要繁荣,就必须学会与‘文明美国’共处。”

Yes, but how? The Canadian Prime Minister, Mark Carney, spoke in Davos in January about the end of Pax Americana, without once mentioning Donald Trump. His answer was that “middle powers must act together, because if we’re not at the table, we’re on the menu.” What this togetherness would entail was left unclear. Europe is already trying to reduce its dependence on the United States for its security. German arms-makers are expanding production, and defense budgets are rising across the Continent, if unevenly. Yet Germany’s military buildup has stirred anxiety in France, while industrial rivalries have repeatedly frustrated joint projects. And, as Morgan observes, the United States remains so far ahead of Europe financially, militarily, and technologically that “any significant degree of strategic autonomy is clearly a distant and multigenerational goal.” The question is: How is Europe to protect its liberal institutions in the meantime?

是的,但如何共处?加拿大总理马克·卡尼(Mark Carney)一月份在达沃斯谈到“美利坚治世”的终结,一次也没有提及唐纳德·特朗普。他的回答是,“中等强国必须共同行动,因为如果我们不在餐桌上,我们就会在菜单上。”这种团结具体意味着什么,他没有明说。欧洲已经在努力减少其在安全上对美国的依赖。德国军火制造商正在扩大生产,整个欧洲大陆的国防预算也在增加,尽管步调不一。然而,德国的军事建设在法国引起了焦虑,而工业竞争也一再使联合项目受挫。而且,正如摩根所观察到的,美国在财政、军事和技术上仍遥遥领先于欧洲,以至于“任何显著程度的战略自主,显然都是一个遥远的、需要几代人努力的目标。”问题是:在此期间,欧洲该如何保护其自由制度?

If Civilizational America leaves NATO a hollow shell, the E.U., too, might not survive as a viable entity in an age of populist nationalism. Europe could revert to a collection of nation-states ruled by illiberal nationalist governments content to accommodate Civilizational America. Morgan describes this as the “Japanification” of Europe—“single party domination led by corrupted politicians” who will do whatever the U.S. wants in exchange for American protection.

如果“文明美国”让北约成为一个空壳,那么在民粹民族主义时代,欧盟作为一个有生存能力的实体也可能无法存活。欧洲可能会退回到由非自由主义的民族主义政府统治的、满足于迁就“文明美国”的一众民族国家的集合体。摩根将此描述为欧洲的“日本化”——“由腐败政客领导的单一政党统治”,他们为了换取美国的保护,会对美国唯命是从。

This assumes, of course, that MAGA will continue to dominate American politics and that right-wing populists will gain power across much of Europe. But, even if MAGA does not outlast Trump, future Presidents are unlikely simply to restore the status quo ante and revive Pax Americana under the stewardship of a liberal élite. Nor would such a restoration be desirable. Europeans, and the Japanese, have good reason to reduce their dependence on the United States: the kind of subordination Morgan calls Japanification is humiliating in itself and, by relieving political leaders of responsibility for their own security, corrosive of liberal democracy.

当然,这假设了MAGA将继续主导美国政治,并且右翼民粹主义者将在欧洲大部分地区掌权。但是,即使MAGA没有比特朗普更长久,未来的美国总统也不太可能简单地恢复原状,并在自由派精英的掌管下重振“美利坚治世”。这样的恢复也不可取。欧洲人和日本人都有充分的理由减少对美国的依赖:摩根称之为“日本化”的那种从属地位本身就具有侮辱性,而且,通过免除政治领导人对自身安全的责任,它会侵蚀自由民主。

Perhaps all is not lost. The Trump era may yet provoke a backlash like the one produced by Brexit. In 2016, Brexiteers imagined that other European countries would follow their example and cheerily recover absolute sovereignty as liberated nation-states. None did. Brexit instead became a warning against taking the same path. The spectacle of Trump’s America might do something similar. Even some of Trump’s European admirers, including the right-wing Italian Prime Minister, Giorgia Meloni, have begun to distance themselves from him. Trump, in his bellicose and blundering way, may yet end up doing what liberals in the U.S. government once tried so hard to achieve—make Europeans think of themselves as Europeans first. ♦

也许并非全无希望。特朗普时代仍可能引发一场如同英国脱欧所激起的那样的反弹。2016年,脱欧派曾设想其他欧洲国家会效仿他们,作为解放的民族国家,愉快地收回绝对主权。没有一个国家这样做。英国脱欧反而成了一个警示,告诫人们不要重蹈覆辙。特朗普治下的美国所上演的戏码,或许会产生类似的效果。即使是特朗普的一些欧洲仰慕者,包括右翼的意大利总理焦尔吉娅·梅洛尼(Giorgia Meloni),也已开始与他保持距离。特朗普,以其好战而笨拙的方式,最终可能做成美国政府中的自由派曾竭力想达成的事——让欧洲人首先将自己视为欧洲人。 ♦

2 free previews left — register to get 30 translations a month