The New Yorker Interview

Jamie Raskin Is Not Afraid to Impeach Trump Again

杰米·拉斯金不惧再次弹劾特朗普
The Maryland congressman talks about how the Democratic Party is fighting the President’s “gangster state.”
这位马里兰州众议员谈民主党如何对抗总统的“黑帮国家”。

Serene predictions are a mug’s game, foolish in the extreme, whether they are based on polls or magical thinking. Nevertheless, there is an impending sense among many that the bare-minimum result for the coming midterm elections will be a reassertion of power by the Democratic Party in the House of Representatives. The Senate, the pollsters and the conjurers tell us, is also very much within reach. From Anchorage to Amarillo to Bangor, we shall see.

笃定的预测是傻瓜的游戏,愚蠢至极,无论其依据是民调还是痴心妄想。然而,许多人心中正涌起一种预感:即将到来的中期选举,最低限度的结果将是民主党在众议院重掌权力。民调专家和占卜师们告诉我们,参议院也大有希望。从安克雷奇到阿马里洛再到班戈,我们拭目以待。

What then? President Trump will remain President Trump, but how diminished will he be? Will the Democrats set out to conduct investigations into his behavior? Will there be another attempt to impeach him? Jamie Raskin, a Democrat from Maryland’s Eighth Congressional District, was a pivotal figure in the hearings on the January 6th insurrection, and he has been a clarion anti-Trump voice as the ranking member of the House Judiciary Committee.

然后呢?特朗普总统仍将是特朗普总统,但他会被削弱到什么程度?民主党会着手对他的行为展开调查吗?会再次尝试弹劾他吗?来自马里兰州第八国会选区的民主党人杰米·拉斯金(Jamie Raskin)是1月6日暴乱听证会上的关键人物,作为众议院司法委员会首席成员,他一直是反特朗普的响亮声音。

A former professor of constitutional law who served as lead prosecutor in Trump’s second impeachment trial, Raskin has been a persistent critic of the President’s assaults on the rule of law and his financial dealings, particularly in the second term. His father, Marcus Raskin, was an aide to John F. Kennedy and a progressive activist who co-founded the Institute for Policy Studies, in Washington, D.C. Raskin joined me on The New Yorker Radio Hour to survey the scene ahead of the midterms. We discussed his views on Republicans’ electoral manipulations, where impeachment stands on the list of Democrats’ priorities, the purging of character and critical thinking from Trump’s ranks, and how Trump himself is bringing down the ticket in the Deep South. Our conversation has been edited for length and clarity.

拉斯金曾任宪法学教授,在特朗普第二次弹劾审判中担任首席检察官。他持续批评总统对法治的践踏及其财务交易,尤其是在第二任期内。他的父亲马库斯·拉斯金(Marcus Raskin)曾是约翰·F·肯尼迪的助手,也是一位进步派活动家,在华盛顿特区共同创立了政策研究所(Institute for Policy Studies)。拉斯金做客《纽约客广播时间》,纵览中期选举前的局势。我们讨论了他对共和党选举操纵的看法、弹劾在民主党优先事项中的位置、特朗普阵营中品格与批判性思维的清洗,以及特朗普本人如何在深南部拖累选情。我们的对话经过编辑,以精简篇幅并保持清晰。

How high is your level of confidence that this will be a fair ballot, that there will be an accurate count, and that the President of the United States, who has a habit of contesting every election, particularly the ones he’s lost—that we won’t be hearing from him on that score after the election?

你有多大信心这将是一场公平的投票,计票将准确无误,而且那位习惯于对每一场选举——尤其是他输掉的选举——提出异议的美国总统,不会在选举后就此发声?

It’s very clear that Donald Trump knows only two kinds of elections: the ones that he wins and the ones that are “stolen” from him. He thinks in terms of fraud. Everything is a quid-pro-quo transaction for him. And the country is conditioned and ready for that.

非常清楚,唐纳德·特朗普只认识两种选举:他赢的选举和从他手中“被偷走”的选举。他凡事都从欺诈的角度思考。对他来说,一切都是交换条件。而这个国家已经被训练好,对此做好了准备。

In terms of your other questions, let’s start with whether or not it’s a fair ballot, as you say. So much of the Machiavellian manipulation of our elections takes place long before Election Day. Take North Carolina, where I’ve been several times over the course of the campaign. The Democrats have won the governorship. The Democrats have won the attorney-general position. The Democrats are about to win, in a very resounding way, the U.S. Senate position, with Roy Cooper. So, when you look at what’s happening statewide, the Democrats are dominant. But then when you look at the U.S. House delegation, North Carolina’s congressional delegation, that’s ten Republicans and four Democrats.

至于你的其他问题,我们先从你所说的投票是否公平说起。对我们选举的马基雅维利式操纵,很大一部分早在选举日之前就发生了。以北卡罗来纳州为例,我在竞选期间去过那里好几次。民主党赢得了州长职位。民主党赢得了总检察长职位。民主党即将以压倒性优势赢得联邦参议员席位,由罗伊·库珀(Roy Cooper)当选。所以,从全州范围来看,民主党占据主导地位。但再看联邦众议院代表团,北卡罗来纳州的国会代表团是十名共和党人对四名民主党人。

That’s kind of strange, right? The Democrats are clearly a majority in the state, and yet the Republicans dominate the congressional delegation. Why is that? It’s very simple. It’s because the Republicans have been gerrymandering themselves into power in the state legislature for decades, and, by doing that, they are able to gerrymander the U.S. House delegation as well.

这有点奇怪,对吧?民主党在该州显然是多数,但共和党却主导着国会代表团。为什么?很简单。因为共和党几十年来一直在州议会中通过不公正划分选区把自己划进权力中心,借此他们也能在联邦众议院代表团中如法炮制。

So when you say, “Will it be a fair ballot?” No, it’s definitely not a fair ballot. The Republicans swear by gerrymandering. The Democrats have tried—in the Democracy for All Amendment, in the For the People Act, and in the Fair Representation Act—multiple times to mandate independent, nonpartisan redistricting commissions in every state in the Union. Every Democrat has voted for it, and every Republican opposes it.

所以当你问“投票会公平吗?”不,绝对不公平。共和党人对不公正划分选区奉若神明。民主党人曾多次尝试——通过《全民民主修正案》、《为人民法案》和《公平代表法案》——在全国每个州强制设立独立的、无党派的选区重划委员会。每一位民主党人都投了赞成票,每一位共和党人都反对。

And then Trump created this mid-decade, extreme gerrymander in Texas, to squeeze out five more districts. It might backfire on him; nonetheless, it’s certainly worked in some other states, and they’re going to make it work more in 2028. So, if you just start with the gerrymandering—and don’t even get to the other forms of voter suppression that are taking place—no, it has not been fair balloting. Nonetheless, we accept the rules as they are, and we are fighting to win within those rules.

然后特朗普在德克萨斯州搞了这个十年中期的极端选区重划,想挤出五个额外选区。这可能会反噬他;尽管如此,它在其他一些州确实奏效了,而且他们会在2028年让它发挥更大作用。所以,单从不公正划分选区说起——更别提正在发生的其他形式的选民压制——不,这从来就不是公平的投票。尽管如此,我们接受现行规则,并在这些规则之内奋力争取胜利。

Let’s say Democrats win, at a minimum, the House of Representatives. What maneuver, what form of rhetoric or action, do you fear the most, and what seems the most likely to come from the White House?

假设民主党至少赢下众议院。你最担心白宫采取什么手段、什么形式的言论或行动?什么最有可能发生?

Well, the most dread prospect is that Democrats will win U.S. House seats, but the various election officials in charge will somehow try not to grant the certificates of election, requiring everybody to go to court.

最可怕的景象是:民主党赢得众议院席位,但负责的各级选举官员会想方设法拒绝颁发当选证书,迫使所有人走上法庭。

Where are Democrats most vulnerable on that score?

在这方面民主党最脆弱的地方是哪里?

Texas is one place where the ground is totally shifting in a pro-Democratic direction. Those five gerrymandered seats that Donald Trump wanted to squeeze out—certainly we’re going to win two or three of them, and we could win four or five. And so there will be so much frustration and embarrassment on the side of the White House that they may try to create some kind of fraudulent pretext for attempting to block them. So that’s the kind of thing that we’re ready for.

德克萨斯州是一个地面正在全面向亲民主党方向转移的地方。唐纳德·特朗普想挤掉的那五个被不公正划分的席位——我们肯定能拿下两三个,也可能拿下四五个。因此白宫那边会有极大的挫败感和难堪,他们可能会试图制造某种欺诈性借口来阻止这些席位。这就是我们做好准备应对的那种情况。

We remember when Donald Trump called up Georgia’s secretary of state, Brad Raffensperger, and said, “Just find me eleven thousand seven hundred and eighty votes.” That was not Donald Trump trying to stop election fraud. That was Donald Trump trying to commit election fraud. He was caught red-handed, and the whole country saw it. We know that they have been trying to replace the Brad Raffenspergers of the world in red states with people who will simply do Donald Trump’s bidding. And so I suppose that that would be my biggest fear.

我们记得唐纳德·特朗普打电话给佐治亚州州务卿布拉德·拉芬斯珀格(Brad Raffensperger),说“只要给我找到一万一千七百八十张选票”。那不是唐纳德·特朗普在试图阻止选举舞弊。那是唐纳德·特朗普在试图实施选举舞弊。他被当场抓获,全国人都看到了。我们知道他们一直在红州试图用那些会乖乖听命于唐纳德·特朗普的人来取代拉芬斯珀格这样的人。所以我想那会是我最大的担忧。

But I don’t want that to overshadow the great hope I have that we are going to see a massive repudiation of the authoritarianism, the war, the illegal tariffs, and the corruption that have descended upon our government.

但我不希望这掩盖我巨大的希望——我们将看到对威权主义、战争、非法关税以及笼罩我们政府的腐败的大规模否定。

You are the ranking member of the House Judiciary Committee, and you would have a lot of sway on impeachment proceedings—should that ever happen. If the Democrats take the House, do you think that impeachment proceedings are far off for Donald Trump?

你是众议院司法委员会的首席成员,如果弹劾程序真的启动,你会有很大的影响力。如果民主党拿下众议院,你认为对唐纳德·特朗普的弹劾程序还很遥远吗?

I’ve got a lot of thoughts and ideas about this. First of all, the Democratic caucus is not afraid to impeach. We impeached Donald Trump twice. He has fifty per cent of all the Presidential impeachments in American history. We understand that it’s a political device that’s been put into the Constitution by the Framers, and it’s been put into the political branches. They literally debated whether or not the trial for high crimes and misdemeanors should take place in the Supreme Court, and they decided, No, it belongs in the political branches.

我对此有很多想法。首先,民主党党团不惧怕弹劾。我们已经两次弹劾了唐纳德·特朗普。他占了美国历史上所有总统弹劾案的百分之五十。我们明白,这是制宪者写入宪法的政治工具,被置于政治分支之中。他们确实辩论过对重罪和轻罪的审判是否应在最高法院进行,最终决定:不,它属于政治分支。

So what does that mean? When Democrats say, “Well, should we start off impeaching Donald Trump for his palpable transgressions against the Constitution, or should we start off by getting everybody their Medicaid back, and their A.C.A. tax credits back, and getting everybody that we can their health care?”—that’s not an illegitimate question to pose. That’s precisely the question the Framers wanted us to pose, because impeachment is a political instrument reposed in the political body.

这意味着什么?当民主党人说:“我们应该先以特朗普对宪法昭然若揭的侵犯为由启动弹劾,还是应该先让每个人拿回医疗补助,拿回他们的《平价医疗法案》税收抵免,让尽可能多的人获得医疗保障?”——这不是一个不合法的提问。这正是制宪者希望我们提出的问题,因为弹劾是置于政治机构手中的政治工具。

So we have to consider it in the full context of the public-policy agenda. And we’ve got to meet the needs and the agenda of the public very quickly, for millions of people. For example, the destruction of SNAP benefits—we’ve got to get those people back on SNAP benefits. So—

所以我们必须在公共政策议程的完整背景下考虑它。我们必须非常迅速地满足公众的需求和议程,关系到数百万人。例如,补充营养援助计划(SNAP)福利被摧毁——我们必须让那些人重新获得SNAP福利。所以——

But, Congressman, if I may, I think what I’m reading here, then, is someone who at once believes in his heart and in his mind that a potential impeachment, technically and legally, could be there, but who senses the greater politics and desires of the public to move on with it, and do things that affect their pocketbook. And senses their greater sense of urgency, perhaps with it in mind that two attempts didn’t work the first time—it didn’t go all the way. Is that fair?

但是,议员先生,请允许我插一句,我想我在这里读到的是:一个人在内心里和理智上都相信,潜在的弹劾在技术和法律层面是成立的,但他感受到更大的政治考量和公众继续前进的愿望——去做那些影响他们钱包的事情。他感受到公众更强烈的紧迫感,也许还考虑到前两次尝试没有成功——没有走到底。这样说公平吗?

That’s all fair, but, when you use the phrase “move on with it,” it makes it sound like the public doesn’t care about constitutional corruption and transgression; the public cares deeply—

都公平,但是,当你用“继续前进”这个说法时,听起来好像公众不关心宪法腐败和违宪行为;公众非常关心——

Not that it doesn’t care but that it’s a matter of priority.

不是说他们不关心,而是说这是一个优先级的问题。

Well, that’s absolutely right, and the point I’m making about the history, the Framers, and the creation of the impeachment power is that that’s precisely the calculation the Framers wanted us to be engaged in. We’re not afraid of impeachment, and we’re not even afraid of a trial in the Senate—despite the fact that Donald Trump has only tightened his political stranglehold over the Republican Party. Liz Cheney is gone. Adam Kinzinger is gone. Mitt Romney is gone. He got rid of Senator [Bill] Cassidy. So we know he’s exercising even tighter control now.

完全正确,而我要说的关于历史、制宪者以及弹劾权创设的观点是:这正是制宪者希望我们进行的考量。我们不害怕弹劾,我们甚至不害怕参议院的审判——尽管唐纳德·特朗普对共和党的政治钳制只会越来越紧。利兹·切尼走了。亚当·金辛格走了。米特·罗姆尼走了。他除掉了参议员[比尔]·卡西迪。所以我们知道他现在的控制更加严密了。

And the calculation that we’ve been discussing about Donald Trump might not be the same calculation for Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. It might not be the same calculation for Pete Hegseth. So we believe that impeachment is very much a tool in the constitutional toolbox for Presidents or other public officials who behave like kings, think that they can usurp the powers of Congress, trample the rights and the liberties of the people, and engage in high crimes and misdemeanors against the state. And all of these are live propositions.

而我们一直在讨论的关于唐纳德·特朗普的考量,可能不适用于小罗伯特·F·肯尼迪。可能不适用于皮特·赫格塞斯。所以我们相信,弹劾是宪法工具箱中非常重要的工具,适用于那些像国王一样行事、认为自己可以篡夺国会权力、践踏人民权利与自由、对国家犯下重罪和轻罪的总统或其他公职人员。而所有这些都是活生生的命题。

But our hands are full right now with a whole bunch of different things. We’ve got to meet the needs of the public. We’ve got to get social progress moving again the best that we can. And then we have to expose and counter all the corruption.

但我们现在手头有一大堆不同的事情。我们必须满足公众的需求。我们必须尽最大努力让社会进步重新运转起来。然后我们必须揭露和反击所有的腐败。

Congressman, we just recently had Sarah Longwell, the publisher of The Bulwark, on the show, and she was interviewed by our writer Evan Osnos. I just want you to listen to a moment of their conversation.

议员先生,我们最近刚邀请了《堡垒》的出版人莎拉·朗韦尔(Sarah Longwell)上节目,她接受了我们撰稿人埃文·奥斯诺斯(Evan Osnos)的采访。我想让你听一段他们的对话。

LONGWELL: Some people I respect very much believe that they should pursue impeachment. I do not think that they should pursue impeachment.

朗韦尔:一些我非常尊敬的人认为他们应该推动弹劾。我不认为他们应该推动弹劾。

OSNOS: Why?

奥斯诺斯:为什么?

LONGWELL: Because, if there’s one thing that I have seen out of voters during the Trump years, it is that, when Democrats do impeachment, the rally-around-Trump effect is so potent, right? Now they’ve got somebody to fight against. Right now, Republicans are mad at Trump. If I were the Democrats, instead of impeaching Trump the man, I’d go after the tariffs. Go after the war. Go after ICE. Do not do anything that raises his approval ratings. Like, keep going on offense and sinking him lower. Impeachment won’t do that. There are lots of good things that will.

朗韦尔:因为如果说我在特朗普时代从选民身上看到了一件事,那就是:当民主党搞弹劾时,围绕特朗普的团结效应非常强大,对吧?现在他们有了一个可以对抗的对象。现在,共和党人对特朗普很生气。如果我是民主党人,与其弹劾特朗普这个人,不如去打关税。打战争。打移民及海关执法局(ICE)。不要做任何提高他支持率的事情。继续进攻,把他压得更低。弹劾做不到这一点。有很多好事情可以做到。

OSNOS: Focus on the issues that brung you to the dance, in this case.

奥斯诺斯:专注于把你带到舞池的那些议题,在这个情况下。

LONGWELL: Yeah.

朗韦尔:对。

It sounds to me like your political instinct is to agree with Sarah Longwell in the long run.

在我看来,你的政治直觉从长远来看是同意莎拉·朗韦尔的。

Look, every political moment is different and presents a whole constellation of different factors that need to be considered. Obviously, the Democrats in the House of Representatives are not currently pushing an impeachment drive against Donald Trump. It’s not happening, so that is in implicit agreement with what she’s saying. We’re trying to stop this illegal, unconstitutional, catastrophic war, and the only place I would differ with Sarah Longwell—who does such great work—is that this is not a judgment that needs to be made for all time. This is a judgment that needs to be made provisionally for where we are now. It is a tool in the toolbox, just like censure is there, just like the impeachment of Cabinet officials is there, all these things. So let’s not make a fetish out of impeachment. Let’s not make a taboo out of impeachment. We understand it’s not a panacea, but it is an essential tool in the constitutional toolbox that’s always there, and we would never give it away.

听着,每一个政治时刻都是不同的,呈现出一整套需要考量的不同因素。显然,众议院的民主党人目前并没有在推动对唐纳德·特朗普的弹劾行动。这件事没有发生,所以这已经隐含地同意了她所说的。我们正在努力阻止这场非法、违宪、灾难性的战争,而我与莎拉·朗韦尔——她做了非常出色的工作——唯一的分歧在于:这不是一个需要一劳永逸做出的判断。这是一个需要针对我们当前所处位置临时做出的判断。它是工具箱中的一件工具,就像谴责决议在那里一样,就像对内阁官员的弹劾在那里一样,所有这些都在。所以我们不要把弹劾变成一种迷恋。我们也不要把弹劾变成一种禁忌。我们明白它不是万灵药,但它是宪法工具箱中一件必不可少的工具,永远在那里,我们永远不会放弃它。

Let’s say there’s a blue wave and it’s considerable. Is it possible that, after these midterms, there’s a kind of behavioral change in Congress among the Republicans?

假设出现蓝色浪潮,而且规模相当大。中期选举之后,国会中的共和党人是否有可能出现某种行为转变?

I doubt it. I no longer spend any time forecasting when the Republicans will wake up, for a very specific reason: the critically thinking Republicans, at least the ones in public office, have been purged wherever they can purge them. Donald Trump would much rather have a Democratic senator from Texas—which, knock on wood, fingers crossed, we’re going to get with James Talarico—than a Republican senator from Texas who has critical-thinking distance from Donald Trump and his cult of authoritarian personality.

我对此表示怀疑。我不再花任何时间去预测共和党人何时会醒悟,原因非常具体:具有批判性思维的共和党人,至少是担任公职的那些,已经在所有能清洗的地方被清洗掉了。唐纳德·特朗普宁愿要一个来自德克萨斯州的民主党参议员——敲敲木头,交叉手指,我们将和詹姆斯·塔拉里科(James Talarico)一起实现——也不愿要一个来自德克萨斯州、对唐纳德·特朗普及其威权人格崇拜保持批判性思维距离的共和党参议员。

And that’s true all over the country. I mean, he runs this thing like it’s his little Mob family. So will there be some insurgent breakaway faction within the Republican Party that’s willing to try to take on Donald Trump? Maybe. I tend to doubt it, and I think the best of them—people like Adam Kinzinger—are looking for another path forward, whether that’s being an Independent, whether it’s becoming a Democrat, or doing something else.

全国都是如此。我的意思是,他把这当成自己的小黑手党家族来经营。那么共和党内部会不会出现一个愿意挑战唐纳德·特朗普的反叛分裂派系?也许。我倾向于怀疑,而且我认为他们中最优秀的人——像亚当·金辛格这样的人——正在寻找另一条前进的道路,无论是成为独立人士,还是成为民主党人,或者做其他事情。

But I just don’t see that happening. It’s a question of character, and the people who are still in there have demonstrated that they don’t have any.

但我就是看不到那种情况发生。这是一个品格问题,而那些还留在里面的人已经证明了他们没有品格。

So it remains the party of Trump, and Trumpism, no matter what.

所以无论如何,它仍然是特朗普的党,是特朗普主义的党。

Well, yes, as long as Trump is around, and as long as the Trump family can maintain a monopoly on the revenues that come into the Republican Party. Remember, this has been a money-making operation from Day One. I mean, you’ve got to look at this thing like “The Sopranos.” This is a family business. They’ve been making billions of dollars. In his first year in office this term, Trump openly declared 2.2 billion dollars that he made on the side. That’s more than a million dollars an hour. His official Presidential salary is four hundred thousand dollars. That means that he made double his entire Presidential salary in one hour.

是的,只要特朗普还在,只要特朗普家族能够维持对流入共和党的收入的垄断。记住,这从一开始就是一个赚钱的生意。我的意思是,你得用看《黑道家族》的眼光来看这件事。这是一个家族企业。他们已经赚了几十亿美元。这一任期他上任第一年,特朗普就公开申报了22亿美元的副业收入。那相当于每小时超过一百万美元。他的总统正式年薪是四十万美元。这意味着他一个小时赚的钱是他整个总统年薪的两倍。

And so, of course, the rest of his time, he’s focussed on the corruption. That’s where the money is. Why have they not done even any of the stuff that he says in passing, frivolously, that he’s going to do? Like, “Oh, yeah, we’re gonna have the best health-care system in the world, and we’re gonna have the most beautiful environment in the world.” He doesn’t do any of that stuff. He doesn’t care about public policy. Those guys are in a money-making business. They’ve turned the executive branch of the government—under their unitary-executive theory—into a money-making operation for what’s essentially a Mob boss, and they’ve given us a gangster state.

所以,当然,其余时间他都专注于腐败。钱在那里。为什么他随口说的那些事情——比如“哦,对,我们要有世界上最好的医疗体系,我们要有世界上最美的环境”——他们一件都没做?他什么都不做。他不在乎公共政策。那些人在做赚钱的生意。他们根据统一行政权理论,把政府的行政部门变成了一个本质上为黑手党头目服务的赚钱机器,他们给了我们一个黑帮国家。

One of the biggest differences between just winning the House and winning the House and the Senate is that, if Democrats win the Senate, any Supreme Court nomination—say, a successor to Samuel Alito, should he decide to step down—can be blocked. Tell me about the effect of the blue wave, if that’s what’s going to happen, on the Supreme Court.

只赢众议院和同时赢下众议院与参议院之间最大的区别之一是:如果民主党赢下参议院,任何最高法院提名——比如塞缪尔·阿利托的继任者,如果他决定退休——都可以被阻止。告诉我蓝色浪潮——如果真会发生的话——对最高法院的影响。

Well, the critical power that the U.S. Senate wields is the power of advice and consent. Trump, in his inimitable way, has tried to get around that by appointing acting people and appointing people to jobs that don’t require Senate confirmation, and so on, and then basically outsourcing large parts of the government. If you look at the role of Jared Kushner this time, he is not officially in the government. He is a billion-dollar bagman, essentially. They’ve basically set the government up around a series of political slush funds—and they have private slush funds on the side which are all for money-making.

美国参议院掌握的关键权力是建议与同意权。特朗普以他独有的方式试图绕过这一点,任命代理官员,把人安排到不需要参议院确认的职位上,等等,然后基本上把政府的大部分职能外包出去。如果你看看贾里德·库什纳(Jared Kushner)这次的角色,他并不在政府正式编制内。他本质上是一个十亿美元级别的收钱人。他们基本上把政府建立在一系列政治小金库周围——而且他们还有私人的小金库,全都是为了赚钱。

But I’d say that the Supreme Court is a critical actor in the degradation of our government, and it is absolutely essential that we have a Democratic majority there—by which I mean at least fifty-two, because Senator [John] Fetterman cannot be trusted for these purposes.

但我要说的是,最高法院是我们政府退化过程中的一个关键角色,我们绝对必须在那里拥有民主党多数——我的意思是至少五十二席,因为参议员[约翰]·费特曼(John Fetterman)在这些事情上不可信任。

Drill down on that a little bit more. Where can you trust and not trust Senator Fetterman, from Pennsylvania?

再深入一点。在哪些方面你可以信任、哪些方面不能信任来自宾夕法尼亚州的费特曼参议员?

Look, at this point, we need to get to fifty-two. We can’t leave these things to chance. We saw what happened with Senator [Joe] Manchin.

听着,在这一点上,我们需要达到五十二席。我们不能把这些事情留给运气。我们看到了参议员[乔]·曼钦(Joe Manchin)的情况。

Tell me about Senator Fetterman, for the moment.

先说说费特曼参议员。

You’d have to ask my Senate colleagues, who know him a lot better than I do. I know a lot of young people who worked on his first campaign—and I’ve campaigned a lot in Pennsylvania—and everybody tells me that they loved him when he was first out there. But it’s over now. It’s completely over. They don’t trust him, and they view him like Manchin or like Kyrsten Sinema, somebody who is just as likely—

你得去问我的参议院同事们,他们比我了解他多得多。我认识很多在他第一次竞选时为他工作的年轻人——我在宾夕法尼亚州助选过很多次——每个人都告诉我,他刚出来的时候他们很喜欢他。但现在结束了。彻底结束了。他们不信任他,他们把他看作曼钦或基尔斯滕·西内马(Kyrsten Sinema)那样的人,一个同样可能——

So this is an ideological switch, and not a matter of mental health?

所以这是意识形态的转变,而不是心理健康问题?

Again, that goes beyond my knowledge of the situation, so I can’t say. There’s a lot of speculation out there, but, in the final analysis, I’m not sure it makes any difference exactly why he’s arrived at this point. But we need somebody who’s going to understand that they’ve turned this into a right-wing MAGA corporate Court.

再说一次,这超出了我对情况的了解,所以我不能说。外面有很多猜测,但归根结底,我不确定他为什么走到这一步有什么区别。但我们需要一个能明白他们已经把最高法院变成了一个右翼MAGA企业法院的人。

One of the most memorable episodes of the late Obama years, of course, was the attempt to nominate and put forward Merrick Garland to the Supreme Court, which was blocked by Senator [Mitch] McConnell. “It was a political season,” “we couldn’t possibly do this”—and of course it dragged on forever, and, of course, Trump won, and they got their Republican. Is the Democratic Party willing to play hardball if it comes to a similar situation?

奥巴马执政后期最令人难忘的事件之一,当然是试图提名梅里克·加兰(Merrick Garland)进入最高法院,被参议员[米奇]·麦康奈尔(Mitch McConnell)阻止了。“这是政治季节”,“我们不可能这样做”——当然这件事拖了又拖,当然特朗普赢了,他们得到了他们的共和党人。如果遇到类似情况,民主党愿意采取强硬手段吗?

Well, yes, this Court is an illegitimate Court on a number of levels. It has been composed illegitimately, by denying President Obama and the Senate the opportunity to advise and consent, and presumably to confirm one of the best people ever nominated to the Supreme Court, and then barrelling through—Amy Coney Barrett went through eight days before the Presidential election—

是的,这个法院在多个层面上都是一个不合法的法院。它的组成方式就是不合法地——剥夺了奥巴马总统和参议院行使建议与同意的机会,本来可以确认有史以来最优秀的最高法院提名人之一,然后强行通过——艾米·科尼·巴雷特(Amy Coney Barrett)在总统选举前八天通过了——

With respect, I get that. What I’m asking—

恕我直言,我明白这些。我问的是——

Not everybody gets that! David, I’m about to answer your question. Not everybody gets that point. And the Republicans don’t want anybody to remember it. Most people’s political memory now is, like, fifteen minutes, because of the barrage of authoritarian attacks we’re under here. So people need to understand that.

不是每个人都明白!大卫,我正要回答你的问题。不是每个人都明白这一点。共和党人不希望任何人记住这件事。现在大多数人的政治记忆只有十五分钟,因为我们正处在威权攻击的狂轰滥炸之下。所以人们需要明白这一点。

They could put up the two most brilliant Scalia clones in the world, and those people should not be put on the Court, because two seats have already been stolen from us. Now, I’m saying that from the House side. I’m not on the Senate side, and I’m not speaking for anybody over there. But I’m willing to tell you that, from my perspective on this, they have already cheated us out of a fair Supreme Court.

他们可以推出世界上最杰出的两个斯卡利亚克隆人,但那些人也不应该被放进最高法院,因为已经有两个席位从我们手中被偷走了。现在,我是从众议院这边说这番话的。我不在参议院那边,我也不代表那边的任何人。但我愿意告诉你,从我的角度来看,他们已经用欺骗手段剥夺了我们一个公正的最高法院。

But if it comes to it, if Alito were to retire in ten months, would the Democrats block a Republican Trump nominee the way it was done to them?

但如果真到了那一步,如果阿利托在十个月后退休,民主党会像当年对方对他们做的那样,阻止共和党的特朗普提名人吗?

I mean, ask me about me. Would I? Absolutely. You’re damn right I would! But, if you’re asking about the Senate, you’ve got to talk to someone on the Senate side. I literally have not had that conversation with my presumed counterpart on the Senate side, Senator [Sheldon] Whitehouse, or any of the other senators. But, look, at this point, they want—like Donald Trump, because they follow him in everything—the Supreme Court to be a loyal rubber stamp for whatever he wants. That Presidential-immunity decision is an outrageous departure from American jurisprudence. These people call themselves originalists—where do you see that in the Federalist Papers? Where do you see it in the Constitutional Convention? Where do you see it in the ratifying conventions? Nowhere! It’s not in the Constitution. They pulled it out of a hat. The stork brought it. That’s the way they’re doing jurisprudence. So, you ask, are we going to play tough? I hope so. I certainly hope so.

我是说,问我本人。我会吗?绝对会。你说得对,我当然会!但是,如果你问的是参议院,你得去和参议院那边的人谈。我确实没有和我假定的参议院对应人物——参议员[谢尔登]·怀特豪斯(Sheldon Whitehouse)——或其他任何参议员谈过这件事。但是,听着,在这一点上,他们想要——像唐纳德·特朗普一样,因为他们在一切事情上都追随他——最高法院成为他随心所欲的忠实橡皮图章。那个总统豁免权裁决是对美国法学的骇人背离。这些人自称原旨主义者——你在《联邦党人文集》里哪里看到了?你在制宪会议上哪里看到了?你在各州批准公约上哪里看到了?哪里都没有!宪法里没有。他们从帽子里变出来的。是鹳鸟送来的。他们就是这样搞法学的。所以,你问我们会不会强硬?我希望如此。我当然希望如此。

In the line of outrages, what about your colleague Ilhan Omar, who recently had her home searched by federal officers ahead of her reëlection? Do you think the Democratic Party is doing enough to protect her? President Obama spoke out in her defense recently, but I haven’t heard a lot from Chuck Schumer and other leaders of the Democratic Party.

在一系列令人愤慨的事件中,你的同事伊尔汗·奥马尔(Ilhan Omar)最近在竞选连任前夕被联邦执法人员搜查了住所,你怎么看?你认为民主党在保护她方面做得够吗?奥巴马总统最近为她发声辩护,但我没有听到查克·舒默(Chuck Schumer)和其他民主党领导人发出太多声音。

I sent a statement, a tweet, and a letter that day. The Party is going to be totally against this completely vindictive and political prosecution and persecution, the way we were against the political prosecution and persecution of James Comey, Letitia James, Adam Schiff, Mark Kelly, Maggie Goodlander. We’re standing together. This is a different Democratic Party, David. We’re not rolling over for anybody. And I believe this is just a phony, easy media frame to say, “Are you against the high prices, or are you against corruption?” Why do we have to choose? It’s the same thing! That’s what I hear everywhere I go now.

我当天就发了一份声明、一条推文和一封信。全党将完全反对这种纯粹报复性的政治起诉和迫害,就像我们反对对詹姆斯·科米(James Comey)、莱蒂希娅·詹姆斯(Letitia James)、亚当·希夫(Adam Schiff)、马克·凯利(Mark Kelly)、玛吉·古德兰德(Maggie Goodlander)的政治起诉和迫害一样。我们站在一起。这是一个不同的民主党,大卫。我们不会对任何人屈服。而且我认为这只是一个虚假的、偷懒的媒体框架,说“你是反对高物价,还是反对腐败?”我们为什么要选择?这是同一件事!这就是我现在走到哪里都听到的话。

And half the people are saying, “The Democrats are just going to let them all go and let them off the hook on corruption.” The other half are saying, “They should let them all go. They should just focus on restoring Medicaid and A.C.A. tax credits,” as if we cannot do both. We can do both, and we will do both.

一半的人说:“民主党会把他们全放了,让他们在腐败问题上逃脱责任。”另一半的人说:“他们应该把人都放了,专心恢复医疗补助和《平价医疗法案》的税收抵免。”说得好像我们不能两件事同时做似的。我们既能同时做,也会同时做。

What do you think Donald Trump’s reaction to a blue wave would be? What kind of President would he be in the last two years?

你觉得唐纳德·特朗普对蓝色浪潮会有什么反应?最后两年他会是一个什么样的总统?

We’ll get a mixture, at the beginning, of denial and blame. He will deny that the results are actually the results. But then, more likely, he will shift into a blame mode—that all of the Republicans sucked, and they didn’t do exactly what he told them to do. They will blame him for being Trump, and there’s no doubt that he is the albatross and the dead weight on the ticket. But they’re sending him to places like Mississippi and Alabama right now, in the hope that they’ll win there. Then he’ll be able to say, “Well, wherever I went, we won. In the other places we lost.”

一开始会是否认和甩锅的混合体。他会否认选举结果就是真实结果。但接下来,他更可能转入甩锅模式——说所有共和党人都烂透了,没有完全照他说的去做。他们会怪他太“特朗普”,毫无疑问,他是这张选票上的沉重包袱和死重。但他们现在正把他派到密西西比、阿拉巴马这种地方去,指望能在那里赢。这样他就能说:“你看,我去哪儿,哪儿就赢。别的地方输了。”

Actually, what he’s doing is bringing down the ticket in both Alabama and Mississippi. He’s bringing down the ticket in some of the reddest parts of America right now. So we say, “Yes, keep him on the road as long as possible.” Keep throwing more of those rallies, because the whole country’s rolling their eyes.

实际上,他正在阿拉巴马和密西西比拖累整张选票。他现在正在美国最红的地区拖累选情。所以我们说:“对,让他尽量多跑,别停。”让他继续开那些集会,因为全国都在翻白眼。

I want to ask you how you see the rise in the legitimacy and reputation of socialism among so many voters on the Democratic side of things. How do you feel about it personally, and what accounts for it?

我想问问你,你怎么看社会主义在民主党选民中正当性和声誉的上升?你个人怎么看,原因又是什么?

Well, first of all, when the MAGA people try to use socialism as an epithet, it doesn’t work politically, because so many of the young people now call themselves socialists. And socialism, in that conversation, is really about social democracy or just taking concern in the well-being of the people. I think that’s the way that it’s being used. It’s not about socialization of the means of production and the dictatorship of the proletariat—

首先,当“让美国再次伟大”那帮人想把社会主义当成骂人的词用时,政治上根本不起作用,因为现在很多年轻人都自称社会主义者。而在这种语境里,社会主义其实说的是社会民主主义,或者只是关心民众福祉。我觉得大家就是这么用的。它说的不是生产资料社会化,也不是无产阶级专政——

It’s about the plunging prestige of capitalism in its present form, I think, too.

我觉得这也跟资本主义当前形态的声望急剧下滑有关。

Yeah. So that doesn’t hurt us. I don’t know that, analytically, it provides any real insight into our condition that we wouldn’t already have. I mean, the fact of the matter is, marriage equality—same-sex marriage was totally taboo and verboten for the Democrats for a long time; even President Obama had opposed it, and Clinton, of course, had opposed it—has become an organizing principle for us, and I think that’s where we’re going to be on health care. Guaranteed health care for all Americans—whether you call it Medicare for All or National Health Care or something else—I believe that we are on the precipice of that. I think that the prospective election of Abdul El-Sayed, in Michigan, has a lot to do with that, because he’s a doctor and a public-health specialist. I think that people identify him with the coming of a national health care. People might call that socialist or not. It’s not going to make any difference. Just like I think saying we need a socialist system is not going to really help us, analytically, in terms of getting through it.

对。所以这不会伤害我们。从分析的角度说,我不确定它对我们所处的状况提供了什么我们原本没有的新洞见。事实是,婚姻平权——同性婚姻在很长一段时间里对民主党来说是完全的禁忌,连奥巴马总统都反对过,克林顿当然也反对过——现在已经成了我们的组织原则,我觉得医疗保健也会走到这一步。全民医疗保障——不管你叫它“全民医保”还是“国家医疗”还是别的什么——我相信我们已经站在这个门槛上了。我认为阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德(Abdul El-Sayed)在密歇根州有望当选,跟这件事有很大关系,因为他是一名医生,也是公共卫生专家。我觉得人们把他和全民医疗的到来联系在一起。人们可能会说这是社会主义,也可能不会。这不会有任何区别。就像我认为,说我们需要一个社会主义制度,从分析的角度讲,对我们真正推进这件事并没有太大帮助。

Now, when Donald Trump calls us communists, that’s where I get my back up—because the only communists left on earth today are Donald Trump’s best friends and his role models. He literally sends love letters to Kim Jong Un, the communist dictator of North Korea, and talks about how perfect he is, and right out of central casting. He makes the same speeches about President Xi, of the Chinese Communist Party. And, of course, he takes orders from Vladimir Putin, who was the head of the F.S.B. So, if he’s talking about communists, he should take that filthy epithet back with him, and hold it up, and look in the mirror, because that’s who his best friends are.

不过,当唐纳德·特朗普叫我们共产党人的时候,那我就来气了——因为当今世上仅存的共产党人,就是唐纳德·特朗普最好的朋友和他的榜样。他literally给朝鲜共产党独裁者金正恩写情书,说他多么完美,简直是教科书式的。他对中国共产党习近平主席也发表同样的讲话。当然,他还听命于弗拉基米尔·普京,而普京曾是联邦安全局的头子。所以,如果他要谈共产党人,他应该把这个肮脏的骂人词带回去,举起来,照照镜子,因为他最好的朋友就是这些人。

We are the party of freedom and democracy, and we are fighting against the authoritarians and the totalitarians of every stripe. That’s why the people of Ukraine would be nowhere without the support of the Democrats in Congress. We are totally behind them. There are, to be fair, some Republicans sticking with us, but Donald Trump is clearly on the side of Vladimir Putin. He just said he’s not going to impose the sanctions that Congress just overwhelmingly voted for. He wants to do this very dirty diesel deal with Russia so that he’s putting billions of dollars into the Russian war machine, as they crush civilians and blow up apartment buildings and civilian centers in Ukraine. That’s where Donald Trump is now. He’s totally in the camp of Vladimir Putin. So I would say that strong democracy has got to be the governing passion and impulse of the Democratic Party.

我们才是自由与民主的政党,我们在与形形色色的威权主义者和极权主义者作斗争。这就是为什么没有国会中民主党人的支持,乌克兰人民将无处可去。我们完全站在他们身后。公平地说,也有一些共和党人跟我们站在一起,但唐纳德·特朗普显然站在弗拉基米尔·普京一边。他刚刚说不会实施国会刚刚以压倒性多数投票通过的制裁。他想跟俄罗斯做那笔非常肮脏的柴油交易,把数十亿美元送进俄罗斯的战争机器,而他们正在碾压平民,炸毁乌克兰的公寓楼和民用中心。这就是唐纳德·特朗普现在的立场。他完全站在弗拉基米尔·普京的阵营里。所以我要说,强大的民主必须成为民主党的主导激情和驱动力。

Congressman, it’s axiomatic that, within days or weeks, maybe months, after Election Day, you’re going to start to see assemble—like horses at a horse race—a lot of Democrats to run for President. One of them might well be one of your colleagues in the House, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Do you think she’s planning to run? And, if she did, would she be someone for you to support?

议员先生,不言而喻的是,选举日之后的几天、几周,也许几个月内,你就会看到一大批民主党人像赛马一样集结起来,准备竞选总统。其中一位很可能就是你在众议院的同事,亚历山德里娅·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯(Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez)。你觉得她在计划参选吗?如果她参选,她会是你支持的人选吗?

Well, I love A.O.C. I consider her someone who has grown immeasurably in office, and she is becoming a truly great political leader. I tend to doubt that she’s going to run for President, because she’s so young, and I very much see her running for the U.S. Senate. I mean, she has another twenty or thirty years to run for President. But maybe she’ll decide she wants to do it now. I don’t know, and I’ve talked to her about the subject.

嗯,我很喜欢A.O.C.。我认为她是一个在任内成长不可估量的人,她正在成为一个真正伟大的政治领袖。我倾向于怀疑她会竞选总统,因为她太年轻了,我非常看好她竞选美国参议员。我是说,她还有二三十年可以竞选总统。但也许她会决定现在就做。我不知道,我跟她聊过这个话题。

Congressman, you have Hakeem Jeffries in the House as your leader. Recently, he met with Jared Kushner over the summer, extending some sort of olive branch. Do you approve of that?

议员先生,你在众议院的领袖是哈基姆·杰弗里斯(Hakeem Jeffries)。最近,他在夏天会见了贾里德·库什纳(Jared Kushner),伸出了某种橄榄枝。你赞成这件事吗?

The truth is, I’ve not talked to Hakeem about this. I don’t know what the circumstances of that meeting were. I did read that the overture came from the Republican side. But, look, I’m investigating Jared Kushner for his outrageous and egregious conflicts of interest. I mean, he cannot be representing U.S. foreign policy and being our ambassador for peace—or whatever they’re calling him—in the Middle East while he’s on the payroll of the Qataris—

说实话,我还没跟哈基姆谈过这件事。我不知道那次会面的具体情况。我确实读到过,是共和党那边先发出的提议。但是,听着,我正在调查贾里德·库什纳那些令人发指的、极其严重的利益冲突。我是说,他不能一边代表美国外交政策,在中东当我们的和平大使——或者不管他们叫他什么——一边又拿着卡塔尔人的钱——

I understand that, but why is Hakeem Jeffries meeting with him in friendly circumstances?

我理解,但为什么哈基姆·杰弗里斯要在友好氛围下跟他会面?

I do not know why he did. I would be very interested to know, but I’m not going to denounce him or criticize him without having had that conversation. Remember, we were not back in Washington for very long before the Republicans sent us home, so that was several crises ago, what you’re referring to.

我不知道他为什么这么做。我很想知道,但在没有跟他谈过之前,我不会谴责他或批评他。记住,我们回到华盛顿没多久,共和党人就把我们打发回家了,所以你提到的这件事已经是好几场危机之前的事了。

Fair enough. You just mentioned that A.O.C. is more likely, in your view, to run for Senate than for President.

有道理。你刚才提到,在你看来,A.O.C.更可能竞选参议员而不是总统。

Yes.

是的。

That would leave Chuck Schumer vulnerable, or possibly retiring. What do you think the immediate future—the near future—is for Chuck Schumer?

那就会让查克·舒默(Chuck Schumer)变得脆弱,或者可能退休。你觉得查克·舒默的近期——很近的未来——会是什么样?

I think we’re going through a magnificent generational change in the Democratic Party. We’ve got some of the best candidates out on the trail right now that I’ve ever seen. I think that everybody in public office has got to ask themselves whether they’ve made their contribution, they’ve made their mark, and whether it’s time for a new generation to go forward. That’s a profoundly difficult process. It’s a personal process. It’s emotional, it’s psychological, it’s political, it’s sociological. There’s a lot going on there—

我认为民主党正在经历一场壮丽的代际更替。我们现在在竞选路上有一些我见过的最好的候选人。我认为每一个担任公职的人都必须问自己:我是否已经做出了贡献,是否已经留下了印记,是否是时候让新一代人继续前进了。这是一个极其艰难的过程。它是一个个人化的过程。它是情感上的,是心理上的,是政治上的,也是社会学意义上的。这里面牵扯到很多东西——

Do you think Chuck Schumer’s time has come?

你觉得查克·舒默的时候到了吗?

I’m not a New York politician. You’ve got to talk to the New York politicians. I’m also not a senator. You’ve got to talk to the senators. It’s not my call. But I do think that—for everybody who reaches what would be the normal retirement age for most people in America, and who can afford to retire—they should be asking themselves the question of whether all of the experience and expertise they’ve gained outweigh what it means to have a new generation of political leaders coming into office. I think that’s a very difficult question for everybody, and it’s difficult for the junior people, too. ♦

我不是纽约政客。你得去问纽约的政客们。我也不是参议员。你得去问参议员们。这不由我决定。但我确实认为——对于每一个到了美国大多数人正常退休年龄、而且退得起休的人来说——他们都应该问自己一个问题:他们所积累的全部经验和专业知识,是否抵得上一代新的政治领导人进入公职的意义。我认为这对每个人来说都是一个非常难的问题,对年轻一代来说也同样难。♦

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