The Political Scene

How ICE Is Targeting the 2026 Midterms

ICE如何针对2026年中期选举
In the run-up to the election, the Trump Administration is turning its immigration crackdown into a desperate hunt for voter fraud.
在选举临近之际,特朗普政府正将其移民打击行动变成一场对选民欺诈的绝望搜捕。
October 21, 2026
ICE agent on ballot.
Illustration by Ben Kothe / The New Yorker; Source photographs from Getty

Olga Rivera Galati, a deputy director at We Are Casa, an immigrant-advocacy organization, was starting her car in the parking lot outside her office, in York, Pennsylvania, when a white S.U.V. pulled into the spot next to her. It was just after five o’clock, on August 18th. Rivera Galati, who is fifty-five and was born and raised in Lancaster County, was seven months into the job. Her work included providing social services such as access to employment counselling and health care to low-income, minority residents in central Pennsylvania. She reversed a few feet out of the parking space, then stopped. The S.U.V. backed out beside her. In a panic, she pulled forward and parked. The S.U.V. did the same.

奥尔加·里维拉·加拉蒂(Olga Rivera Galati)是移民权益组织“我们就是家”(We Are Casa)的副主任。8月18日,刚过五点,她在宾夕法尼亚州约克市办公室外的停车场启动汽车时,一辆白色SUV停进了她旁边的车位。里维拉·加拉蒂现年五十五岁,在兰开斯特县出生长大,上任刚七个月。她的工作包括为宾州中部低收入少数族裔居民提供就业咨询和医疗保健等社会服务。她倒车退出了几英尺,然后停下。那辆SUV也在她旁边倒了出来。慌乱中,她向前开去,重新停好。那辆SUV也做了同样的动作。

Rivera Galati, whose parents moved to Pennsylvania from Puerto Rico, was carrying her passport and birth certificate. “I’m a U.S. citizen, but I didn’t feel that way that day,” she told me. “I thought, I’m Hispanic.” There were now six S.U.V.s parked on the street outside her office. Another one rolled up slowly behind her. Rivera Galati believes the agents, who drove off when she got out of her car to confront them, were taking down her license-plate number. Immigration and Customs Enforcement has been an unavoidable presence in the area during Donald Trump’s second term. But, lately, the unmarked S.U.V.s, widely recognized as the kind used by the agency, seemed to be multiplying. “As we got closer to the election, in the summer, is when it picked up,” Rivera Galati said. “They’re literally everywhere.” (“None of this ever happened,” a spokesperson for the Department of Homeland Security told me, when asked for comment. “ICE doesn’t even have any white S.U.V.s in York, Pennsylvania.”)

里维拉·加拉蒂的父母从波多黎各移居宾州,她随身带着护照和出生证明。“我是美国公民,但那天我没有这种感觉,”她告诉我。“我想,我是西裔。”此时,她办公室外的街上已经停了六辆SUV。又有一辆缓缓驶到她身后。里维拉·加拉蒂相信,那些在她下车质问时驾车离开的特工是在记录她的车牌号。在特朗普第二任期内,移民与海关执法局(ICE)在该地区无处不在。但最近,那些被广泛认为是该机构使用的无标识SUV似乎越来越多。“随着选举临近,到了夏天,情况就开始加剧了,”里维拉·加拉蒂说。“他们简直无处不在。”(“这些事从未发生过,”国土安全部一位发言人在被要求置评时告诉我。“ICE在宾州约克根本没有白色SUV。”)

In early June, Homeland Security Investigations, an arm of ICE, issued an internal report on noncitizen voting. The phenomenon is virtually nonexistent—research has repeatedly shown that isolated votes cast by noncitizens have never affected the outcome of an election—but the President has turned it into a pretext to involve the Department of Homeland Security in the midterms. The June report stated that there were efforts at multiple branches of the Department to identify organizations that “may be predatory in nature, particularly those suspected of illegal alien registration and voter encouragement.” Groups in several states, including Michigan, Minnesota, and Ohio, were being investigated, but two locations were sources of special interest: Pennsylvania and New Jersey. The Department reviewed eighty-two N.G.O.s in Pennsylvania alone. We Are Casa is almost certainly one of them.

6月初,ICE下属的国土安全调查处(Homeland Security Investigations)发布了一份关于非公民投票的内部报告。这种现象几乎不存在——研究一再表明,非公民投出的零星选票从未影响过任何选举结果——但总统已将其变成让国土安全部介入中期选举的借口。6月的报告称,该部多个分支机构正在努力识别“可能具有掠夺性质的组织,特别是那些涉嫌为非法移民登记并鼓励其投票的组织”。包括密歇根、明尼苏达和俄亥俄在内的多个州都有组织受到调查,但有两个地方受到特别关注:宾夕法尼亚和新泽西。仅在宾州,该部就审查了八十二个非政府组织。“我们就是家”几乎肯定是其中之一。

D.H.S.’s role in elections has, until recently, been limited to technical issues like monitoring cyberattacks and defending critical infrastructure. Its prominent place in this election cycle is without precedent. In the lead-up to the midterms, the Trump Administration has sued thirty states, along with the District of Columbia, which have refused to turn over complete voter records; D.H.S. wants to cross-check them with its own databases. Federal courts have mostly rebuffed these lawsuits. But hundreds of Department officials have been assigned to search for unlawful voters. Agents from H.S.I., together with personnel from the fraud division of U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, have been routinely contacting county boards of elections to request voter files.

直到最近,国土安全部在选举中的角色一直局限于技术层面,如监控网络攻击和保卫关键基础设施。它在本轮选举周期中的突出地位是前所未有的。在中期选举前夕,特朗普政府已起诉三十个州及哥伦比亚特区,因为它们拒绝交出完整的选民记录;国土安全部希望将这些记录与自己的数据库进行交叉比对。联邦法院大多驳回了这些诉讼。但数百名该部官员已被指派搜寻非法选民。来自国土安全调查处的特工,连同美国公民及移民服务局(U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services)欺诈部门的人员,一直在例行联系各县选举委员会,索取选民档案。

At the same time, according to a government whistle-blower, D.H.S. officials have been impersonating voters and entering their personal information into state voter databases, which is likely a violation of privacy laws. (The D.H.S. spokesperson denied that it was doing anything controversial and described these practices as “commonplace law enforcement.”) Between August and mid-September, leadership at U.S.C.I.S. imposed quotas: staff were required to investigate forty names per day, at a rate of roughly twelve minutes per subject. To conduct these searches, D.H.S. seems to have purchased commercially available voter data and run it through agency databases to turn up the names of noncitizens; the process is notoriously error-prone, generating frequent false positives. The fixation on illegal voting has also meant that other work was being neglected. At H.S.I., between ten and fifteen per cent of agents are investigating voter fraud. Jason Houser, a former high-ranking ICE official, told me, “Agents should be focussed on dismantling fentanyl-trafficking networks, combating child exploitation, and taking violent criminals off our streets.”

与此同时,据一名政府举报人透露,国土安全部官员一直在冒充选民,将个人信息输入州选民数据库,这很可能违反了隐私法。(国土安全部发言人否认该部在做任何有争议的事情,并将这些做法描述为“常规执法”。)8月至9月中旬,美国公民及移民服务局领导层下达了配额:工作人员每天必须调查四十个名字,每个对象约十二分钟。为了进行这些搜查,国土安全部似乎购买了商业化的选民数据,并通过机构数据库运行,以找出非公民的名字;这一过程出了名地容易出错,经常产生误报。对非法投票的执迷也意味着其他工作被忽视。在国土安全调查处,百分之十到十五的特工正在调查选民欺诈。前ICE高级官员杰森·豪泽(Jason Houser)告诉我:“特工们应该专注于摧毁芬太尼贩运网络、打击儿童剥削、把暴力罪犯从街头清除。”

These efforts are being directed by political appointees at the top of the Department and at the White House. “They’re zealots,” a former H.S.I. official told me. “They won’t believe anything that doesn’t prove their point.” Anthony Salisbury, the current head of H.S.I., personally reports to Stephen Miller, the President’s deputy chief of staff. “It’s all directed by Miller,” the former official said. Elsewhere within the government, conspiracists with discredited views about voter fraud now have prominent roles overseeing elections. One of them is Heather Honey, a conservative researcher from Pennsylvania whose skewed data on the 2020 results was cited by Trump as grounds for contesting the outcome. Last year, she was appointed to a job that didn’t exist during the Presidency of Joe Biden: Deputy Assistant Secretary for Election Integrity at D.H.S.

这些行动由该部高层和白宫的政治任命官员指挥。“他们是狂热分子,”一位前国土安全调查处官员告诉我。“任何不能证明他们观点的事情,他们都不会相信。”现任国土安全调查处处长安东尼·索尔兹伯里(Anthony Salisbury)直接向总统副幕僚长斯蒂芬·米勒(Stephen Miller)汇报。“这一切都是米勒指挥的,”这位前官员说。在政府其他部门,那些关于选民欺诈观点已被否定的阴谋论者如今在选举监督中担任要职。其中之一是宾州保守派研究员希瑟·霍尼(Heather Honey),她关于2020年选举结果的扭曲数据曾被特朗普引用为质疑选举结果的依据。去年,她被任命担任一个在乔·拜登总统任期内不存在的职位:国土安全部负责选举诚信的副助理部长。

Earlier this summer, Markwayne Mullin, the Secretary of Homeland Security, said that the Department had found more than two hundred and fifty thousand potential noncitizens registered to vote in California, Nevada, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania. The Trump Administration has provided no evidence to back up Mullin’s claim. D.H.S. said it had found sixteen thousand potential noncitizen voters in Nevada, but, by late September, the Department had submitted the names of only a hundred and eight-five to the state for review. A subsequent investigation by Nevada election officials revealed that each person on the D.H.S. list was a citizen. (“Since then,” the D.H.S. spokesperson told me, Department officials have “manually confirmed about two thousand more aliens from the same list.”)

今年夏初,国土安全部部长马克韦恩·穆林(Markwayne Mullin)表示,该部在加利福尼亚、内华达、新泽西和宾夕法尼亚发现了超过二十五万名可能已登记投票的非公民。特朗普政府没有提供任何证据来支持穆林的说法。国土安全部称在内华达发现了一万六千名潜在非公民选民,但截至9月下旬,该部仅向该州提交了一百八十五个名字供审查。内华达选举官员随后的调查显示,国土安全部名单上的每个人都是公民。(“自那以后,”国土安全部发言人告诉我,该部官员已“从同一名单中人工确认了大约两千多名外国人。”)

Pennsylvania, for its part, was told in July that some fifteen thousand people should be investigated. Votebeat, a nonprofit newsroom focussed on covering elections, obtained e-mails between D.H.S. and the state. According to the Secretary of the Commonwealth, D.H.S. representatives said at a virtual meeting held with state officials, in August, that “they did not have high confidence” that the people identified by Mullin “were, in fact, noncitizens who had improperly registered to vote.” (D.H.S. called the Secretary’s letter a “blatant mischaracterization.”)

宾州方面则在7月被告知,约一万五千人应接受调查。专注于选举报道的非营利新闻机构Votebeat获得了国土安全部与该州之间的电子邮件。据宾州州务卿称,国土安全部代表在8月与州官员举行的一次线上会议上表示,他们“对穆林所指认的人‘实际上是否确为非法登记投票的非公民’没有高度信心”。(国土安全部称州务卿的信是“公然歪曲”。)

Predictably, the few cases in which legal permanent residents, who cannot legally vote, were found to have actually done so have received outsized attention. On Monday, the Department of Justice announced that it was charging twenty-eight green-card holders in California with election-related crimes. Twenty-one of them, officials said, had voted illegally. The others appear to have never actually voted, or they registered more than twenty years ago. The government has accused some of them of making false statements about whether they had ever been registered to vote when they later applied to become naturalized citizens. These names came from a list of twenty thousand people who the Trump Administration claims are on the California voter rolls despite likely being noncitizens. In a letter sent last week, the acting Deputy Attorney General warned California officials that they could be prosecuted for knowingly processing votes “cast by individuals identified by federal agencies as noncitizens.” On Truth Social, Trump wrote, “They will all go to jail for a long period of time!!!”

可以预见的是,少数合法永久居民——他们不能合法投票——被确认确实投了票的案件获得了不成比例的关注。周一,司法部宣布起诉加利福尼亚二十八名绿卡持有者,罪名与选举有关。官员称其中二十一人非法投了票。其他人似乎从未真正投过票,或者是在二十多年前登记的。政府指控其中一些人在后来申请入籍时就是否曾登记投票作出虚假陈述。这些名字来自一份两万人的名单,特朗普政府声称这些人尽管很可能是非公民,却出现在加州选民名册上。在上周发出的一封信中,代理副司法部长警告加州官员,如果他们明知故犯地处理“被联邦机构认定为非公民的个人所投的选票”,可能会被起诉。特朗普在Truth Social上写道:“他们都会坐牢很长时间!!!”

To date, the Department of Justice has accused a hundred and fifty-six people of violating election laws nationwide, and in the past two months, the government’s attempts to find further instances of fraud have intensified. Armed D.H.S. agents, in uniforms and flak jackets, have been knocking on doors in multiple states to ask residents about their immigration status and whether they were registered to vote, CBS News reported. “It seems that they’re trying to manufacture a narrative any way they can,” Claire Trickler-McNulty, another former senior ICE official, told me. “They can now arrest green-card holders without convictions who are accused of voting.”

迄今为止,司法部已在全国范围内指控一百五十六人违反选举法,而在过去两个月里,政府寻找更多欺诈案例的努力进一步加剧。据CBS新闻报道,身着制服和防弹衣、携带武器的国土安全部特工已在多个州敲门询问居民的移民身份以及是否登记投票。“看起来他们在想方设法制造一种叙事,”另一位前ICE高级官员克莱尔·特里克勒-麦克纳尔蒂(Claire Trickler-McNulty)告诉我。“他们现在可以逮捕被指控投票但没有定罪的绿卡持有者。”

Inside D.H.S. there may be at least a tacit acknowledgment that the campaign to uncover voter fraud hasn’t generated results. On August 26th, ICE officers were instructed to fill out an additional field in the “Biographics Section” for those it detained: “Have you voted in a federal election?” About a month later, the agency added another prompt: “If you answer ‘Yes’ to ‘Have you ever voted in a federal election,’ you must now specify how the subject voted: Mail-in Ballot [or] In Person.” The purpose of these questions, Houser told me, is “to create an investigative paper trail.” “You question enough people, particularly individuals who may be intimidated or confused by federal agents, and you’re going to get inconsistent statements,” he said. “That doesn’t establish voter fraud, but it can generate investigative reports, referrals, and individual cases that the Administration could later point to as evidence of a broader problem.”

在国土安全部内部,至少有一种心照不宣的承认:揭露选民欺诈的行动没有产生结果。8月26日,ICE官员被指示在被拘留者的“生物信息部分”填写一个额外字段:“你是否在联邦选举中投过票?”大约一个月后,该机构又增加了一个提示:“如果你对‘你是否曾在联邦选举中投过票’回答‘是’,你现在必须说明该对象如何投票:邮寄选票[或]亲自投票。”豪泽告诉我,这些问题的目的是“制造调查性的书面记录”。“你问足够多的人,特别是那些可能被联邦特工吓到或搞糊涂的人,你就会得到不一致的陈述,”他说。“这不能证明选民欺诈,但可以生成调查报告、移交案件和个案,政府以后可以将其作为更广泛问题的证据。”

York County falls partly in Pennsylvania’s Tenth Congressional District, which is currently represented by the Republican Scott Perry, a Trump ally who, in 2020, had attempted to overturn the state’s election results and later disregarded a congressional subpoena over his involvement in the January 6th riots at the Capitol. In 2024, Trump carried the county with sixty-two per cent of the vote; that year, Perry, who is running for his eighth consecutive term, beat his Democratic opponent, Janelle Stelson, a former newscaster, by five thousand votes. This year, Stelson has a significant funding advantage, and polls show her with a slight lead.

约克县部分位于宾州第十国会选区,目前由共和党人斯科特·佩里(Scott Perry)代表。佩里是特朗普的盟友,2020年曾试图推翻该州的选举结果,后来因参与1月6日国会大厦骚乱而无视国会传票。2024年,特朗普以百分之六十二的得票率赢得该县;同年,正在竞选第八个连续任期的佩里以五千票的优势击败了民主党对手、前新闻主播珍妮尔·斯特尔森(Janelle Stelson)。今年,斯特尔森在资金上拥有显著优势,民调显示她略占上风。

On October 7th, Charles Wall, the deputy director of ICE, issued a press release: “It’s unbelievable that Janelle Stelson would employ an illegal alien to work on a Congressional campaign, let alone a pervert who exposed himself in public.” This was a reference to a Nigerian immigrant who was arrested in East Pennsboro Township on September 27th after police investigated a report of a suspicious vehicle parked in a residential neighborhood. According to the incident report, which was obtained by the Associated Press, when the man opened his car door, the officer noticed that his “genitals were exposed.” The man was booked for indecent exposure, and eventually handed over to ICE. (He pleaded guilty to one count of disorderly conduct; the indecent exposure charge was dropped.) There were flyers for Stelson in his car, the report noted. But D.H.S. has refused to substantiate its claim that the man was employed by Stelson’s campaign. She has denied that he worked for her, which campaign-finance reports confirm. The ICE press release cited a news report that quoted a conservative activist who made the allegation. According to e-mails viewed by Axios, the Office of Special Counsel, a federal agency that monitors the behavior of government employees, is looking into whether Wall violated the Hatch Act, which limits partisan activities by executive-branch officials.

10月7日,ICE副局长查尔斯·沃尔(Charles Wall)发布了一份新闻稿:“珍妮尔·斯特尔森竟然雇用一名非法移民参与国会竞选工作,更不用说还是一个在公共场合暴露自己的变态,这简直令人难以置信。”这指的是9月27日在东彭斯伯勒镇被捕的一名尼日利亚移民,此前警方接到报告称一辆可疑车辆停在居民区。据美联社获得的出警报告,当这名男子打开车门时,警官注意到他的“生殖器暴露在外”。该男子因猥亵暴露被登记,最终被移交给ICE。(他对一项扰乱治安指控认罪;猥亵暴露指控被撤销。)报告指出,他的车里有斯特尔森的宣传单。但国土安全部拒绝证实该男子受雇于斯特尔森竞选团队的说法。她否认他曾为她工作,竞选财务报告也证实了这一点。ICE的新闻稿引用了一篇新闻报道,该报道援引了一名保守派活动人士的说法。据Axios查看的电子邮件,负责监督政府雇员行为的联邦机构特别检察官办公室正在调查沃尔是否违反了《哈奇法》,该法限制行政分支官员的党派活动。

The police departments of several towns in and around York County, meanwhile, have signed partnerships—known as 287(g) agreements—with the Trump Administration to receive federal funding in exchange for collaborating with ICE. Routine traffic stops enable police officers to detain someone and then transfer them directly to ICE. More than five hundred immigrants have been arrested by local law enforcement in the county since 2025, according to data analyzed by the Philadelphia Inquirer. During that time, some thirty-one per cent of all 287(g) arrests made in Pennsylvania occurred in York County, despite it comprising less than four per cent of the state’s population. This year, canvassers with We Are Casa stopped working in Spring Garden and West York borough, two independent municipalities in the county, because of the 287(g) agreements.

与此同时,约克县及周边几个镇的警察部门已与特朗普政府签署了被称为287(g)协议的合作伙伴关系,以换取联邦资金,条件是配合ICE。例行交通拦截使警察能够拘留某人,然后将其直接移交给ICE。据《费城问询报》分析的数据,自2025年以来,该县已有五百多名移民被地方执法部门逮捕。在此期间,宾州所有287(g)逮捕中约有百分之三十一发生在约克县,尽管该县人口不到全州的百分之四。今年,“我们就是家”的拉票员停止了在斯普林加登和西约克两个独立自治市的工作,原因是287(g)协议的存在。

On September 4th, a Haitian pastor named Molis Augustave was stopped by the West Manchester Township police for a broken headlight. Augustave, who is married to a U.S. citizen and had been living in York with his two-year-old son and nine-year-old stepdaughter, lost his legal status weeks earlier, when the Trump Administration cancelled Temporary Protected Status for three hundred and thirty thousand Haitians in the U.S. Augustave had a pending application for a green card—as a result of his marriage—and a previous petition for asylum. The officers transferred him to ICE custody. On September 24th, he was deported. Augustave had worked as an organizer for We Are Casa; when I visited the group’s office, banners and signs with his photograph still adorned the walls.

9月4日,一位名叫莫利斯·奥古斯塔夫(Molis Augustave)的海地牧师因车头灯损坏被西曼彻斯特镇警方拦下。奥古斯塔夫与美国公民结婚,一直与两岁的儿子和九岁的继女住在约克。几周前,特朗普政府取消了美国境内三十三万海地人的临时保护身份,他因此失去了合法身份。奥古斯塔夫有一份因婚姻而提出的绿卡申请正在审理中,还有一份此前的庇护申请。警察将他移交给了ICE拘留。9月24日,他被驱逐出境。奥古斯塔夫曾是“我们就是家”的组织者;当我参观该组织的办公室时,墙上仍挂着印有他照片的横幅和标语。

That afternoon, I joined a group of We Are Casa canvassers as they offered to register voters outside of a grocery store in the city of York. The team consisted of four women, two of whom were legal permanent residents. They couldn’t vote themselves, but seemed to take pride in registering those who could. Their work was not without risk. Several weeks earlier, someone spotted an ICE patrol vehicle in the store’s parking lot, and the canvassers decided to leave. On another occasion, one of them realized she’d left her green card at home, and rushed off to get it. “ICE has been going after people who are U.S. citizens, just for your accent,” Lymari, a Puerto Rican canvasser, told me. “It’s a huge stress for everyone.”

那天下午,我加入了“我们就是家”的一组拉票员,他们在约克市一家杂货店外为人们登记投票。团队由四名女性组成,其中两人是合法永久居民。她们自己不能投票,但似乎为能帮助有资格的人登记而感到自豪。她们的工作并非没有风险。几周前,有人发现一辆ICE巡逻车停在商店停车场,拉票员们决定离开。另一次,其中一人意识到自己把绿卡忘在家里,急忙跑回去取。“ICE一直在针对美国公民,仅仅因为你的口音,”波多黎各裔拉票员莱玛丽(Lymari)告诉我。“对每个人来说都是巨大的压力。”

Marvin Hernández, a Salvadoran-born, naturalized U.S. citizen, is one of the lead organizers on the voter-registration unit. He told me that We Are Casa has registered five thousand eligible voters in York, Lancaster, and Dauphin counties since June. The group maintains a nonpartisan arm that handles voter registration, and a legally separate political entity that endorses specific candidates. When out in York, the voter-registration team wears red, the political canvassers blue. “Everyone on my team is trained not to fall into partisan issues,” Hernández told me. If someone asks them who they should vote for once registered, they tend to respond with bromides like “Vote your principles.” The training is rigorous, both because of the general scrutiny the organization is under and because any errors in processing a person’s information could invalidate the registration application. “Even without all the ICE activity, it’s an intense job,” he told me. “Now, though, it’s constant psychological warfare.” ♦

马尔文·埃尔南德斯(Marvin Hernández)出生于萨尔瓦多,已入籍成为美国公民,是选民登记部门的主要组织者之一。他告诉我,自6月以来,“我们就是家”已在约克、兰开斯特和多芬三县登记了五千名合格选民。该组织设有一个处理选民登记的无党派部门,以及一个在法律上独立的、为特定候选人背书的政治实体。在约克外出时,选民登记团队穿红色,政治拉票员穿蓝色。“我团队里的每个人都受过训练,不陷入党派议题,”埃尔南德斯告诉我。如果有人问他们登记后应该投给谁,他们通常会用“按你的原则投票”之类的套话回应。培训非常严格,既因为该组织受到的整体审视,也因为处理个人信息时的任何错误都可能导致登记申请无效。“即使没有所有这些ICE活动,这也是一份高强度的工作,”他告诉我。“但现在,这是持续的心理战。” ♦

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