The Lede

How Democrats Are Reclaiming the Politics of Populism

民主党人如何重拾民粹主义政治
In the midterms’ most competitive races, Democratic candidates are reviving an old party message: that the Republicans are selling out to the highest bidder.
在中期选举竞争最激烈的选战中,民主党候选人正在重拾一条古老的政党讯息:共和党人正在把自己卖给出价最高的人。
Rob Sand Annie Andrews Jon Ossoff
Illustration by Ben Kothe / The New Yorker; Source photographs from Getty

In the waning days of the midterm election, the Democratic Party of Bexar County, Texas, released an intriguing ad that interspersed contemporaneous news clips with archival footage of a 1990 speech given by Ann Richards, the last Democrat to serve as the governor of the Lone Star State, and its liberal grande dame. 1990 is long ago, but everything about Richards’s presence in the ad casts the mood even further back in time. She was already nearly sixty years old, with a white bouffant that must have required an E.P.A.-defying amount of hairspray to hold in place, and she spoke in populist terms that, two years before the triumph of Bill Clinton’s Third Way, might already have seemed dated. “I wanted to begin this program today with children,” Richards says, with a kind of revival-tent projection in her voice, “to say that that’s what the future of Texas is all about, and that we Democrats believe in the greatness of this country, and of this state, and we are not about to allow Texas to be sold to the highest-bidding Republican.” Her speech is interspersed with images of the current governor of Texas, Greg Abbott, who had declared that he wanted to make his state the “epicenter of A.I.,” and of Elon Musk, the world’s richest person, who has spent nearly two hundred million dollars bankrolling the allegedly corrupt Republican candidate for Senate, Ken Paxton. Back in 1990, Richards made the Democratic case in a tone that is both plaintive and thunderous: “There are things in our lives and in this state that are more important than money.”

在中期选举进入尾声之际,得克萨斯州贝尔县民主党发布了一则耐人寻味的广告,将当下的新闻片段与一段1990年演讲的档案影像穿插在一起。演讲者是安·理查兹(Ann Richards),孤星之州迄今最后一位民主党州长,也是该党自由派的精神领袖。1990年已经很久远了,但理查兹在广告中的出现,让整个氛围显得更为久远。她当时已年近六十,一头白色蓬松发型所需的发胶量恐怕连环保署都要侧目,而她所用的民粹主义语言,在比尔·克林顿“第三条道路”胜出前两年,可能就已经显得过时了。“我今天想从孩子们开始讲起,”理查兹说道,声音里带着一种帐篷布道会式的穿透力,“我想说,这才是得克萨斯未来的全部意义所在,我们民主党人相信这个国家的伟大,相信这个州的伟大,我们绝不会允许得克萨斯被卖给出价最高的共和党人。”她的演讲画面与现任得州州长格雷格·阿博特(Greg Abbott)的影像交替出现——阿博特曾宣称要把得州打造成“人工智能的中心”——还有世界首富埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)的画面,他花了近两亿美元资助据称腐败的共和党参议员候选人肯·帕克斯顿(Ken Paxton)。回到1990年,理查兹以一种既哀切又雷霆万钧的语气阐述了民主党的主张:“在我们的生活中,在这个州,有些东西比金钱更重要。”

Even in her own time, Richards was inimitable. But the Bexar County Democrats were onto something. In the present election, the Democrats are trying to do two things at once: introduce some fresh faces who might wash away the nursing-home veneer that has clung to the Party, especially in the wake of Joe Biden’s forced exit from the 2024 Presidential election, and change the terms on which American politics are argued. For more than a decade, the central subject of American politics has been the culture war, red states versus blue states, feminism versus the manosphere. But the underlying changes in the country have followed a different dimension—they have had to do with technology, money, and the escalating challenges of ultra-wealth and inequality. (The script for a closing ad for Amy Acton, the Democratic nominee for governor of Ohio, says, “Amy Acton is campaigning in this,” over a shot of the candidate next to a Jeep Wrangler. “Vivek Ramaswamy, in this”—news footage of the Republican next to a private jet. “That pretty much tells you what you need to know about these two.”) James Talarico, the Democratic U.S. Senate candidate in Texas, often says while campaigning, “The biggest divide in this country isn’t left versus right; it’s top versus bottom.” In many ways, the basic Democratic challenge this year is to try to make it so.

即便在她自己的时代,理查兹也是不可模仿的。但贝尔县民主党人确实触及了某种要害。在本次选举中,民主党人试图同时做两件事:推出一些新面孔,洗刷笼罩在党身上的养老院气息——尤其是在乔·拜登被迫退出2024年总统大选之后——同时改变美国政治争论的框架。十多年来,美国政治的核心议题一直是文化战争,红州对蓝州,女权主义对男性圈。但美国社会的深层变化其实沿着另一个维度展开——关乎技术、金钱,以及超级财富和不平等带来的日益严峻的挑战。(俄亥俄州民主党州长候选人埃米·阿克顿(Amy Acton)的一则收官广告脚本写道:“埃米·阿克顿开着这个竞选,”画面上是候选人站在一辆吉普牧马人旁边。“维韦克·拉马斯瓦米(Vivek Ramaswamy),坐这个”——新闻画面中是这位共和党人站在一架私人飞机旁。“这基本上就告诉了你需要知道的关于这两个人的一切。”)得克萨斯州民主党联邦参议员候选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科(James Talarico)在竞选活动中常说:“这个国家最大的分裂不是左派对右派,而是上层对下层。”从很多方面来说,民主党今年面临的基本挑战,就是努力让这句话成为现实。

It is a propitious time for a little bit of populism. The intrusion of Musk into politics and of the A.I. hyperscalers, via data centers, into otherwise out-of-the-way American towns has made the issues of concentrated wealth and power especially poignant this year. Even more significantly, Donald Trump’s pursuit of policies that have exacerbated the central political problem of rising prices—the tariffs, the Iran war—combined with his financial entanglements and shadowy deals, has made him newly vulnerable to charges of using his public office for personal gain or, more simply, of being out of touch with Americans’ daily struggles. It’s been pretty easy, in other words, for the Georgia senator Jon Ossoff, who has called for a constitutional amendment to reverse the Supreme Court’s Citizens United decision, to forcefully denounce a “coin-operated” political system in a way that ostensibly blames both parties but really points the finger at Republicans. Ossoff has a gift for emphatic concision. Trump’s, he said recently on the trail, is “the most corrupt Administration of all time, and everybody knows it.”

当下正是搞一点民粹主义的有利时机。马斯克闯入政坛,人工智能超大规模企业通过数据中心侵入原本偏僻的美国城镇,使得财富与权力集中的问题在今年显得格外刺眼。更重要的是,唐纳德·特朗普推行的政策加剧了物价上涨这一核心政治难题——关税、伊朗战争——再加上他本人的财务纠葛和暗箱交易,使他新近变得容易受到指控:利用公职谋取私利,或者更直白地说,与美国人的日常挣扎脱节。换句话说,佐治亚州参议员乔恩·奥索夫(Jon Ossoff)——他曾呼吁通过宪法修正案推翻最高法院的“公民联合会”判决——可以相当轻松地强力谴责一个“投币式”政治体制,表面上两党各打五十大板,实则矛头直指共和党人。奥索夫有一种善于凝练表达的天赋。他最近在竞选途中谈到特朗普时说,这是“有史以来最腐败的一届政府,而且人人都知道。”

In Iowa, Rob Sand, the state auditor and the Democratic candidate for governor, has taken a different, and more down-home, approach to populism. Sand begins his rallies by asking attendees to applaud, first, for the Republicans present, then for the independents, and then (“to be fair”) for the Democrats, and then prompts the crowd to sing the first verse of “America the Beautiful.” “I don’t really like political parties,” Sand said a few weeks ago, at a town hall in Dallas County, just west of Des Moines, noting that he first registered to vote as an independent “because I think for myself.” Sand often uses the phrase “absolute power corrupts absolutely,” in reference to one-party rule (Republicans have held Des Moines for a decade) and to draw attention to his work as an auditor, to find savings, but the basic case he makes on the trail is against the two-party system. “Can we pause for a moment to talk about how un-American that is?” Sand said. “Here we have a constitutional right to vote, and your tax dollars are paying for the election, but you’re not allowed to participate unless you sign a piece of paper saying you’re joining a private club beforehand.”

在艾奥瓦州,州审计长、民主党州长候选人罗布·桑德(Rob Sand)对民粹主义采取了另一种更接地气的方式。桑德的集会开场时,他会请到场者先为在场的共和党人鼓掌,再为独立人士鼓掌,然后(“为了公平起见”)为民主党人鼓掌,接着带领人群唱《美丽的阿美利加》第一节。“我不太喜欢政党,”桑德几周前在得梅因以西达拉斯县的一场市政厅会议上说,并提到他最初登记为独立选民,“因为我自己思考问题。”桑德经常引用“绝对权力导致绝对腐败”这句话,既针对一党统治(共和党人控制得梅因已有十年),也为了引起人们对他作为审计长寻找财政节约的工作的关注,但他在竞选活动中提出的基本主张是针对两党制的。“我们能不能暂停一下,谈谈这有多不美国?”桑德说。“我们有宪法赋予的投票权,你的税款在为选举买单,但除非你事先签一份文件说你要加入一个私人俱乐部,否则你就不能参与。”

Democrats look competitive in places where they have been shut out for a generation: slightly ahead in Texas, where there has been no Democratic senator since 1994; about even in Kansas, where the Party’s drought stretches back to 1932; and getting close even in South Carolina. They have done so by running against the war and against the President’s indifference to the affordability crisis, but also, in an unusually straightforward way, against corruption. One recent estimate suggested Trump’s net worth grew by 2.2 billion dollars during the first year of his second term, and a recent Fox News poll found that eighty-eight per cent of voters were either “extremely” or “very” concerned about corruption. Though Trump had campaigned against a rigged system, as Ossoff put it at a recent campaign event, “he’s not unrigging it. He’s re-rigging it for himself.”

民主党人在一代人的时间里被拒之门外的地区看起来具有了竞争力:在得克萨斯州略微领先——那里自1994年以来就没有过民主党参议员;在堪萨斯州基本持平——该党的干旱期可以追溯到1932年;甚至在南卡罗来纳州也在逼近。他们能做到这一点,靠的是反对战争、反对总统对生活成本危机的漠不关心,同时也以一种异常直白的方式反对腐败。最近一项估算显示,特朗普的净资产在第二个任期第一年增长了二十二亿美元,而福克斯新闻最近的一项民调发现,百分之八十八的选民对腐败问题“极度”或“非常”担忧。尽管特朗普曾以反对被操纵的体制为竞选口号,但正如奥索夫在最近一场竞选活动上所说,“他没有在拆除操纵,他在为自己重新操纵。”

There are ironies in the campaign against Washington corruption, which sometimes echo Trump’s own themes. An ad for Annie Andrews, the Democratic pediatrician running for Senate in South Carolina, features her standing in a boggy marsh in waterproof overalls, saying, “Trump was right. The biggest swamp is Washington, D.C.,” and arguing that “Washington insiders, data-center developers, and the same drug and insurance companies that have been ripping us off for years” had “handpicked” her Republican opponent, Darline Graham. According to a CNN tally this week, two hundred and seventy-five million dollars has been spent on anti-corruption ads—most of it by Democrats, and much of it arguing that there is too much money in politics. Mary Peltola, a former Democratic congresswoman running for Senate in Alaska, and herself under public scrutiny for ballot shenanigans, has attacked the growth of her opponent’s net worth during his time in the Senate: “This is exactly the kind of corruption that Alaskans are sick of.”

这场反对华盛顿腐败的竞选活动本身也带有一些讽刺意味,有时甚至与特朗普自己的主题相呼应。南卡罗来纳州民主党参议员候选人、儿科医生安妮·安德鲁斯(Annie Andrews)的一则广告中,她穿着防水工装裤站在一片泥泞的沼泽地里说:“特朗普说对了。最大的沼泽就是华盛顿特区。”她还说,“华盛顿内部人士、数据中心开发商,以及那些多年来一直在敲诈我们的制药公司和保险公司”“亲手挑选了”她的共和党对手达琳·格雷厄姆(Darline Graham)。根据CNN本周的统计,已有二亿七千五百万美元被用于反腐败广告——其中大部分来自民主党人,而且很多广告的核心论点就是政治中的金钱太多了。阿拉斯加州前民主党众议员、现参议员候选人玛丽·佩尔托拉(Mary Peltola)——她本人也因选票操作问题受到公众审视——攻击了对手在参议院任职期间净资产的增长:“这正是阿拉斯加人厌倦的那种腐败。”

Every out-of-power party criticizes the status quo, and the more out-of-power they are (and the national Democrats right now are quite out of power) the more latitude they have to do so. But the campaigns run by Democrats in 2026 have generally steered clear of sweeping policy proposals or eye-catching promises like impeaching the President; the House Democrats’ “First 100 Days” program largely focusses on repealing unpopular Trump initiatives and investigating corruption. This is, in its own way, a development. Part of the power of the Bernie Sanders movement, the great disruptive force inside the Democratic Party during the past decade, was how it coupled a more expansive, left-wing policy approach with populist appeals. Under Biden, mainstream Democrats experimented with more transformative policy goals without the political populism—leftist economics by wonks. Now mainstream Democrats like Ossoff and Sand, themselves hardly outsiders, are trying something like the inverse—anti-corruption and anti-insider messaging without the leftish approach to policy.

每一个在野党都会批评现状,而且他们越是远离权力(全国民主党人现在确实相当远离权力),就越有空间这样做。但民主党人在2026年开展的竞选活动总体上避开了宏大的政策提案或引人注目的承诺,比如弹劾总统;众议院民主党的“头一百天”计划主要聚焦于废除特朗普不受欢迎的举措和调查腐败。这本身在某种程度上就是一种发展。伯尼·桑德斯运动——过去十年民主党内部最强大的颠覆性力量——的力量部分在于它将更宏大的左翼政策路径与民粹主义诉求结合在一起。在拜登时期,主流民主党人尝试了更具变革性的政策目标,却没有政治上的民粹主义——那是技术官僚式的左翼经济学。如今,像奥索夫和桑德这样的主流民主党人——他们自己很难算是什么局外人——正在尝试的几乎是相反的组合:反腐败、反圈内人的讯息,却没有左翼的政策路径。

These midterms are likely the final elections of the long Trump era, which puts some of its patterns into relief. As has been the case in democracies around the world, American voters have generally disliked the governments in power, whether right-wing or left-wing, and no matter who is running the show the public dissatisfaction with most institutions and authorities has only deepened. In the United States, Trump found a way to exploit these patterns with a right-wing populism that edged into cultural nativism. Democratic voters, in choosing Joe Biden in 2020, leaned into a defense of American institutions.

这次中期选举很可能是漫长的特朗普时代的最后几场选举,这使得它的一些模式更加清晰。正如世界各地的民主国家一样,美国选民普遍不喜欢当权政府,无论是右翼还是左翼,而且无论谁在掌舵,公众对大多数机构和权威的不满只会愈发加深。在美国,特朗普找到了一种利用这些模式的方法,用右翼民粹主义逐渐滑向文化本土主义。民主党选民在2020年选择乔·拜登时,倾向于捍卫美国制度。

This time, they are pointing in another direction, toward a more traditionally progressive populism opposed to corruption and concentrated money. An interesting question for the Party going forward will be how that posture evolves after this election cycle, and how it makes its way into policy. For this election, though, there is a throwback feel in both the tone of the Democrats and in the electoral map they are pursuing. They have a seminarian running for Senate in Texas and a minister on the ticket in Kansas, and both stand a decent shot. And they have a story of what is happening to the country, an account influenced by an older version of the Democratic Party, one that predates the changes that came with Clintonism—that the Republicans are selling out to the highest bidder, and that there is more to life than money. ♦

这一次,他们指向了另一个方向——一种更传统、更进步的民粹主义,反对腐败和金钱集中。对该党未来而言,一个有趣的问题是,这种姿态在这次选举周期之后将如何演变,又将如何转化为政策。不过就这次选举而言,无论是民主党人的语调,还是他们所争夺的选举版图,都带有一种复古的气息。他们有一位神学院出身的人在得克萨斯州竞选参议员,有一位牧师在堪萨斯州参选,两人都有相当不错的胜算。他们还有一个关于这个国家正在发生什么的故事,一种受到民主党更早期版本影响的叙事——早于克林顿主义带来的种种变化——那就是:共和党人正在把自己卖给出价最高的人,而生活中还有比金钱更重要的东西。♦

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