The New Yorker Interview

Hillary Rodham Clinton Slams Joe Biden’s “Terrible Mistake”—and More

希拉里·罗德姆·克林顿抨击乔·拜登的“严重错误”——以及更多
The retired politician speaks frankly about the Democratic Party, the threat of Trumpian authoritarianism, and the “failure” in Iran.
这位退休政治人物坦率谈论民主党、特朗普式威权主义的威胁,以及在伊朗问题上的“失败”。
Figure holds a microphone and speaks
Photograph by Dominik Bindl / Getty

Less than a year after Hillary Rodham Clinton’s crushing defeat in the 2016 election, I saw her speak at Riverside Church, in Manhattan. The atmosphere in the pews was funereal, as if the news of a Trump Presidency had come just the night before. Her hosts felt compelled to confess their grief and fury. Clinton, for her part, gamely confided that she had been coping with her devastating election loss with a combination of prayer, yoga, and “my fair share of Chardonnay.” But she was still somewhat buttoned up in those early speeches, reluctant to speak out too emotionally, too frankly, about the dark wood into which Donald Trump was leading the country. To do so, she seemed to say, would sap the nation of its meagre reserves of hope and provide Trump, who kept on threatening to “lock her up,” with an even deeper emotional satisfaction.

2016年大选惨败后不到一年,我在曼哈顿河滨教堂听了希拉里·罗德姆·克林顿的演讲。长椅间的气氛如同葬礼,仿佛特朗普当选总统的消息昨晚才传来。她的主持人们忍不住倾诉悲痛与愤怒。克林顿则勇敢地坦言,她一直在靠祈祷、瑜伽和“我应得的那份霞多丽”来应对这场毁灭性的选举失利。但在那些早期演讲中,她仍然有些拘谨,不愿过于情绪化、过于直白地谈论唐纳德·特朗普正将国家带入的黑暗森林。她似乎在说,那样做会耗尽这个国家仅存的微弱希望,也会给一直威胁要“把她关起来”的特朗普带来更深的情感满足。

That was a long time ago, and it’s not hard to argue that even the starkest early forecasts of the Trump Presidency were too optimistic. As the country prepares to celebrate the two-hundred-and-fiftieth anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence, the grave realities of authoritarian rule, malevolent rhetoric, grotesque corruption, intensified culture wars, and an over-all assault on the rule of law and foreign alliances are plain to see. As a retired politician who will always carry the weight of 2016, Clinton has gradually allowed herself to be more forthright in her interviews.

那是很久以前的事了,而且不难论证,即便是对特朗普总统任期最严峻的早期预测也过于乐观。当这个国家准备庆祝《独立宣言》签署二百五十周年之际,威权统治的严峻现实、恶毒的言论、荒诞的腐败、加剧的文化战争,以及对法治和外交联盟的全面攻击,都已昭然若揭。作为一位将永远背负2016年重担的退休政治人物,克林顿逐渐允许自己在采访中更加直言不讳。

When we met on the stage of the 92nd Street Y on June 15th, for a live taping of The New Yorker Radio Hour, she didn’t hesitate to let loose both on Trump, as she has been doing for some time, and on Joe Biden, for the “terrible mistake” of having run for reëlection in 2024. She also made plain that Trump’s decision to accede to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s appeal to go to war against Iran has ended in a strategic defeat for the United States. Our conversation has been edited for length and clarity.

6月15日,我们在92街Y的舞台上见面,为《纽约客广播时间》录制现场节目。她毫不犹豫地对特朗普火力全开——这她已经做了一段时间——同时也对乔·拜登在2024年竞选连任的“严重错误”直言批评。她还明确表示,特朗普决定应以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡的呼吁对伊朗开战,最终导致了美国的战略失败。我们的对话经过编辑,以控制篇幅并确保清晰。

Secretary Clinton, in your book “Something Lost, Something Gained,” you write about your state of mind after the election of Donald Trump. You describe yourself as someone who remains “an optimist who worries a lot.” Now, we all worry, but I want to grasp the extent of your agony, and I want to begin with a big question: Does Donald Trump—and Trumpism—represent a real and sustained era of authoritarianism in this country?

克林顿国务卿,在您的书《有所失,有所得》中,您写到了唐纳德·特朗普当选后的心态。您将自己描述为一个“忧心忡忡的乐观主义者”。如今,我们都在担忧,但我想了解您痛苦的程度,我想从一个宏大的问题开始:唐纳德·特朗普——以及特朗普主义——是否代表着这个国家一个真实而持久的威权主义时代?

I really believe that he does represent the threat of authoritarianism. And the people who enable him, who support him, who follow him, have clearly decided that his kind of performance politics—his deliberate cruelty—is exactly what they want to see for the country. The good news is, his favorability is in the mid-thirties, but he is doubling down. He’s doubling down on his impulsiveness, and it’s very worrisome to me. I teach a course at Columbia University with a dean there. It’s called Inside the Situation Room. We talk about the traits of leaders—their behavior, their psychology. And there is a view that is rooted in how people make decisions—all of us, not just leaders—about what happens when someone finds themselves in what’s called the “domain of loss.” It’s a psychological concept. And, almost counterintuitively, when people feel they are losing, they very frequently take greater risks. They double down on their behavior. And that’s what I’m now worried about. He’s lashing out. He’s demanding that we accept his version of reality, which is unhinged from the actual world that we live in and the actual consequences of his actions. So, I think we have to be extremely vigilant and ready to push back every chance we get.

我确实相信他代表着威权主义的威胁。而那些纵容他、支持他、追随他的人,显然已经认定,他那种表演式政治——他蓄意的残忍——正是他们想在这个国家看到的。好消息是,他的好感度在百分之三十几,但他正在变本加厉。他在冲动行事上变本加厉,这让我非常担忧。我在哥伦比亚大学和一位院长合教一门课,叫《战情室内部》。我们讨论领导人的特质——他们的行为、他们的心理。有一种观点植根于人们如何做决策——我们所有人,不只是领导人——关于当一个人发现自己处于所谓“损失领域”时会发生什么。这是一个心理学概念。而且,几乎与直觉相反,当人们感觉自己正在失败时,他们往往会冒更大的风险。他们会加倍强化自己的行为。这就是我现在担心的。他在猛烈抨击。他在要求我们接受他对现实的描述,而这种描述与我们生活的真实世界以及他行为的实际后果完全脱节。所以,我认为我们必须保持高度警惕,并准备好抓住每一个机会进行反击。

How has your understanding of his support evolved? You were criticized a lot, probably rightly, for using the word “deplorables” for many of his followers—but how do you view the evolution of his followers, and what it is that they want most of all from him?

您对他支持者的理解是如何演变的?您曾因用“可悲之人”这个词形容他的许多追随者而受到很多批评,可能批评得对——但您如何看待他追随者的演变,以及他们最想从他那里得到什么?

Well, first of all, I said only about half were. So, to be fair—

嗯,首先,我当时说的只有大约一半是。所以,公平地说——

Well, are you doubling down on “deplorables”?

那么,您是在“可悲之人”这个说法上变本加厉吗?

I gave a speech, for example, about something called the alt-right, which the press had no idea what I was talking about. Certainly the public had no idea what I was talking about. But I was beginning to see this really disturbing rhetoric—racist rhetoric, sexist rhetoric, the kind of authoritarian demagogic claims about our politics. And it worried me. So I tried to put that into the political debate, but I also did try to draw a line between those who were following him because of that.

比如说,我做过一次关于所谓“另类右翼”的演讲,当时媒体根本不知道我在说什么。公众当然也不知道我在说什么。但我开始看到这种非常令人不安的言论——种族主义言论、性别歧视言论,那种关于我们政治的威权煽动性主张。这让我担忧。所以我试图将其引入政治辩论,但我也确实试图在那些因此追随他的人之间划清界限。

It wasn’t a bug—it was the feature. And people didn’t take it seriously. People were, like, “Oh, that’s just Donald. He’s just spouting off. Don’t worry about it.” I saw something darker. But I was in . . . not the strongest position, since I was running against him, to make that case. I was trying to say, Look, I understand there are people who believe that kind of stuff, but most of the people, at least half, who are following him—they want change. They are not satisfied with where we are in the country. It was something that I was aware of, and I respected, because people were feeling that it’s hard to succeed a two-term President of your own party. I knew that going into it. People liked and respected President Obama, but they wanted something that might be a little different, and something—

那不是缺陷——那是特性。而人们没有认真对待。人们觉得,“哦,那只是唐纳德。他只是在信口开河。别担心。”我看到了更黑暗的东西。但我当时处于……不是最有利的位置,因为我是他的竞选对手,来阐明这一点。我试图说,看,我理解有些人相信那种东西,但大多数追随他的人,至少一半——他们想要改变。他们对国家的现状不满意。这是我意识到并尊重的一点,因为人们觉得,接替一位本党两任总统很难。我参选前就知道这一点。人们喜欢并尊重奥巴马总统,但他们想要一些可能有点不同的东西,一些——

A little different?

有点不同?

But they didn’t know how different at the time.

但他们当时不知道会有多不同。

I don’t want to jump too far ahead, but I think it’s fair to say that, so far, J. D. Vance has not covered himself in glory, and Marco Rubio probably doesn’t appeal to the base with quite the same stickiness as Trump himself. I wonder if you think it’s possible—and I think maybe this has run through your head—that the Trump family has dynastic ambitions, whether it’s Donald, Jr., or someone in the family, who might pretend to succeed him.

我不想跳得太远,但我认为可以公平地说,到目前为止,J.D.万斯并没有为自己增光添彩,而马可·卢比奥对基本盘的吸引力可能也不如特朗普本人那样具有粘性。我想知道您是否认为有可能——我想这可能也在您脑海中闪过——特朗普家族有王朝野心,无论是小唐纳德,还是家族中的某个人,可能会试图接替他。

Well, David, you and I think alike. I think, if he could figure out a way to stay, he would. My husband likes to say, “If he tries to stay, I’m running again.” But, if that’s unlikely, which we have to hope it is, I don’t get the feeling he’s all warm and fuzzy about J. D. Vance.

嗯,大卫,你我想法一致。我认为,如果他能想出办法留下来,他会这么做的。我丈夫喜欢说,“如果他试图留下来,我就再次参选。”但是,如果那不太可能——我们必须希望如此——我感觉他对J.D.万斯并非充满温情。

No.

不。

I don’t think he is warm and fuzzy about nearly anybody other than himself and who is closest enough to him, and that is possibly a son or a daughter.

我认为他对几乎任何人都没有温情,除了他自己和与他最亲近的人,那可能是一个儿子或一个女儿。

A son or a daughter?

一个儿子或一个女儿?

A son or a daughter.

一个儿子或一个女儿。

And the daughter is thought to be cleverer than the sons.

而那个女儿被认为比儿子们更聪明。

Well, I’m not going to characterize them. It’s the blood relationship that matters.

嗯,我不打算评价他们。重要的是血缘关系。

Understood.

明白了。

Look, we’re speculating like we know something, which we don’t. I’m not hanging out at Mar-a-Lago and picking up the bread crumbs of gossip.

听着,我们是在猜测,好像我们知道些什么,其实我们并不知道。我又没在海湖庄园闲逛,捡拾流言蜚语的面包屑。

I think you’d like it there.

我觉得你会喜欢那里的。

Yeah. But, given Trump’s psychology, if he can’t do it himself, he wants somebody he can control, and preferably somebody related to him. And that would be, I think, his hope.

是啊。但是,考虑到特朗普的心理,如果他不能亲自来做,他想要一个他能控制的人,最好是和他有血缘关系的人。我想,那会是他的希望。

You’ve watched Trump over a long period of time. You’ve debated him three times. You’ve observed him very carefully, obviously. Is he disintegrating?

您观察特朗普已经很长时间了。您和他辩论过三次。您显然非常仔细地观察过他。他正在崩溃吗?

I think he is. He’s certainly not what he was. He falls asleep in lots of public meetings. I mean, poor Joe Biden. I mean, he shut his eyes once or twice, but Donald Trump is falling asleep all the time these days. But part of that is, he stays up all night posting on Truth Social. So he’s not getting enough sleep anyway, which is pretty disturbing, because I don’t think people who are sleep-deprived make good decisions, on top of everything else. But I really think he has a number of traits that have got more obvious. He doesn’t even try to hide them. His impulsivity, his immaturity, his lack of curiosity about anything going on around him. When he launched the war against Iran, and then, out of the White House, you hear that “Nobody told me about the Strait of Hormuz. Nobody told me they could close the Strait of Hormuz. Where is the Strait of Hormuz?” You can’t make it up. It’s like some movie that you walk out of because it’s so outlandish.

我认为是的。他肯定不如从前了。他在很多公开会议上睡着了。我是说,可怜的乔·拜登。我是说,他闭了一两次眼,但唐纳德·特朗普这些天一直在睡着。但部分原因是,他整晚不睡,在Truth Social上发帖。所以他本来就睡眠不足,这相当令人不安,因为我认为睡眠不足的人,在其他一切之上,做不出好的决定。但我真的认为他有许多特质变得更加明显了。他甚至不再试图掩饰。他的冲动、他的不成熟、他对周围发生的任何事情都缺乏好奇心。当他发动对伊朗的战争时,然后,从白宫传出消息,“没人告诉过我霍尔木兹海峡。没人告诉过我他们可以关闭霍尔木兹海峡。霍尔木兹海峡在哪里?”你编都编不出来。这就像一部你中途离场的电影,因为它太离谱了。

“Dr. Strangelove.”

“奇爱博士。”

Yeah, exactly.

是的,正是如此。

We’re talking on a day the United States and Iran seem to have signed an agreement to end, at least for now, this war. Did the United States lose this war?

我们谈话的今天,美国和伊朗似乎签署了一项协议,至少目前要结束这场战争。美国输掉了这场战争吗?

Yes. The United States has come out weaker. Iran has come out stronger. Now, I started the negotiations that led to the J.C.P.O.A., the agreement that President Obama eventually signed. It was an intensive diplomatic effort. We started by getting the U.N. Security Council to impose global sanctions on Iran in June of 2010. We then worked to get secret negotiations started through Oman, and those began with several meetings and with a plan about going forward, which I handed off to my successor, John Kerry. These were serious negotiations, with high-level people. When we sat across a table from the Iranians, we had our own nuclear physicists there, as did they. We had experienced diplomats, people who had negotiated on many different fronts for many years. That’s not the way this Administration does its business.

是的。美国变得更弱了。伊朗变得更强了。现在,是我启动了最终达成《联合全面行动计划》(J.C.P.O.A.)的谈判,就是奥巴马总统最终签署的那个协议。那是一次密集的外交努力。我们从2010年6月让联合国安理会对伊朗实施全球制裁开始。然后我们努力通过阿曼启动秘密谈判,这些谈判始于几次会议和一个关于推进的计划,我将其移交给了我的继任者约翰·克里。那是严肃的谈判,有高层人士参与。当我们与伊朗人隔桌而坐时,我们这边有自己的核物理学家,他们也有。我们有经验丰富的外交官,那些在多个战线谈判多年的人。这不是本届政府做事的方式。

The United States doesn’t send bombers to Iran because anybody else commands it to, but it’s very clear that Bibi Netanyahu, the Prime Minister of Israel, pushed and pushed Donald Trump to do this. It’s my understanding that, when you were Secretary of State, Bibi Netanyahu made the same case. Tell me about that.

美国不会因为任何人的命令就派轰炸机去伊朗,但很明显,比比·内塔尼亚胡,以色列总理,推动并催促唐纳德·特朗普这样做。据我了解,在您担任国务卿时,比比·内塔尼亚胡也提出过同样的主张。跟我说说那件事。

Well, you’re absolutely right. When I was Secretary, it was a constant theme by Netanyahu and his then government, the then Defense Minister Ehud Barak, the former Prime Minister. It was relentless. It was a constant push. I remember—

嗯,你说得完全正确。我当国务卿时,这是内塔尼亚胡和他当时的政府、当时的国防部长埃胡德·巴拉克、前总理不断提起的主题。那是无休止的。那是一种持续不断的推动。我记得——

What would he say to you?

他会对您说什么?

What?

什么?

What would he say to you?

他会对您说什么?

He would basically say, “You need to support us in attacking Iran.” And back then—this was 2009 to the end of 2012—we had more capacity than Israel did, on several fronts, to do that. And so there was a constant argument that we would have. I remember, one day, I was on the phone for hours with Ehud, with Bibi, with others. And they would say things like, “Our planes are on the tarmac.” And I’d say, “Well, good luck. I mean, great. Why are you doing this?”

他基本上会说,“你们需要支持我们攻击伊朗。”而在那时——这是2009年到2012年底——我们在几个方面都比以色列更有能力做到这一点。所以我们之间总会有持续的争论。我记得,有一天,我和埃胡德、和比比、和其他人通了好几个小时的电话。他们会说些像“我们的飞机已经在跑道上了”这样的话。而我会说,“嗯,祝你好运。我是说,很好。你们为什么要这样做?”

So you’re saying you were being played?

所以您是说您被耍了?

All the time. All the time.

一直如此。一直如此。

By an ally that receives an enormous amount of aid.

被一个接受巨额援助的盟友耍了。

Well, of course. Bibi’s been obsessed, as long as I’ve dealt with him, with two things: Iran, as you know, and his desire to normalize relations with Saudi Arabia. The first formal meeting I had with him in 2009, probably March, at the State Department, it was absolutely “How can we get normalization with Saudi Arabia, and how do we totally decapitate Iran?” And he had this view that I think has become very clear in his dealings with Trump. No. 1, decapitate the regime, it will fall. No. 2, disable the military insofar as possible, the people will rise up.

嗯,当然。比比,从我跟他打交道以来,就一直痴迷于两件事:伊朗,如你所知,以及他与沙特阿拉伯关系正常化的愿望。2009年,大概三月,我在国务院与他的第一次正式会面,完全是“我们怎么能与沙特阿拉伯实现关系正常化,我们怎么能彻底斩首伊朗?”他有一个观点,我认为在他与特朗普打交道时变得非常清楚。第一,斩首政权,它就会垮台。第二,尽可能瘫痪军队,人民就会起来反抗。

And that was just never our read about what was going to happen. In part because this is a ruthless, theocratic regime that—at least at the top levels, the clerical level—has a kind of apocalyptic view of their own importance in the struggle against Israel, the United States, the West, their Sunni neighbors, the whole map that they look at. And they are also a regime that learned, sadly, a lesson from the overthrow of the Shah [in 1979]. There’s a lot of analysis about why the Shah was finally deposed, but one of the arguments is that at the end he would not murder his people. He would not order the mass murder of the demonstrators in the street. This regime has no such compunction. So if you have a regime that has already proved, as it did last year, that they were willing to kill thirty-five, forty thousand Iranians over the protests that were going on; if you have this alliance between the clerics and the military, they have enough folks in their ranks to keep moving up and taking over. Our take on Iran was: absent an effective, armed opposition (which we’ve never seen), and absent some kind of internal dissent—whether a general who would say, “I’m not going to tolerate this any longer” . . . But this regime is not going to be toppled by appeals to their humanity, to the angels of their better nature.

而这从来都不是我们对将要发生什么的判断。部分原因是,这是一个残酷的神权政体——至少在最高层,教士层面——对他们自身在与以色列、美国、西方、他们的逊尼派邻国以及他们所审视的整个地图的斗争中的重要性,持有一种末日般的看法。他们也是一个不幸地从(1979年)国王被推翻中吸取了教训的政权。有很多分析关于国王为什么最终被废黜,但其中一个论点是,到最后他不愿谋杀他的人民。他不愿下令大规模屠杀街上的示威者。这个政权没有这样的顾忌。所以,如果你有一个已经证明——就像去年那样——他们愿意为了正在进行的抗议活动而杀害三万五、四万伊朗人的政权;如果你有这种教士与军队之间的联盟,他们队伍中有足够的人可以不断晋升并接管权力。我们对伊朗的判断是:没有一个有效的、武装的反对派(我们从未见过),也没有某种内部异议——无论是某个将军会说,“我再也不能容忍这个了”……但这个政权不会因为呼吁他们的人性、他们善良天性中的天使而被推翻。

If I hear what you’re saying correctly it’s this: No. 1, Bibi Netanyahu bamboozled Donald Trump, and No. 2—I don’t imagine the intelligence changed radically, about the state of play in Iran—that the President ignored not only the advice of his Vice-President and Secretary of State but the intelligence community telling him, on the ground, that this would be a terrible idea.

如果我理解您说的没错,那就是:第一,比比·内塔尼亚胡哄骗了唐纳德·特朗普,第二——我不认为关于伊朗局势的情报发生了根本性变化——总统不仅无视了他的副总统和国务卿的建议,也无视了情报界实地告诉他的,这将是一个糟糕透顶的主意。

Well, I can’t speak to that. I don’t know what was presented to him. I also think, coming off the attacks of last June, which I supported—I supported the very specific, surgical attacks on the known nuclear-weapons sites—I believed that that was a clear mission with very achievable goals. I didn’t know whether you could eliminate the program, but I thought you could certainly set it back.

嗯,对此我不能说什么。我不知道呈递给他的情报是什么。我也认为,在去年六月的袭击之后——我支持那次袭击——我支持对那些已知核武器地点进行的非常具体、外科手术式的打击——我相信那是一个目标明确、非常可行的任务。我不知道你是否能消除该计划,但我认为你肯定能使其倒退。

Let’s stay in the same region for a moment. I know that you’re for a two-state solution and see it as the only outcome that any kind of peace can exist. . . . But, if I look at the Israeli polity, they don’t want a two-state solution, certainly not now. And, if you look at the Palestinian polity, which is an even more complicated set of geographies and populations, a two-state solution is not anywhere near the offing there. A two-state solution—which was fought for so hard, but began going out the window many years ago—seems impossible. Am I wrong?

让我们暂时停留在同一地区。我知道您支持两国方案,并将其视为任何和平能够存在的唯一结果……但是,如果我审视以色列政体,他们不想要两国方案,至少现在肯定不想要。而且,如果你审视巴勒斯坦政体,那是一个地理和人口更为复杂的集合体,两国方案在那里也远未出现。两国方案——曾为之奋斗得如此艰难,但多年前就开始化为泡影——似乎不可能实现。我错了吗?

You might be, but you might not be. And here’s why. I’m going to say something positive about Trump. So hold on.

你可能错了,但也可能没错。原因如下。我要说些关于特朗普的正面评价。所以请等一下。

O.K., I’ve got a grip on my chair right now.

好的,我现在抓紧了我的椅子。

Trump’s twenty-point plan for Gaza is actually a pathway to security for Israel, reconstruction for Gaza, and the possibility of self-determination—however defined—for the Palestinians. There are a lot of people who reject it because Trump did it, but it’s the only game in town. There’s nothing else. And I’ve engaged in some kind of track-two diplomacy with Israelis—not in the current government, former governments, military intelligence, political officials, Palestinians, Arabs. So it’s a very painful discussion, because these are experienced people with lots of scars to show for their efforts over many years, not just on peace but on security, particularly for Israel. But I really believe if we took this twenty-point plan, which starts with the disarmament of Hamas, a huge important step yet to be accomplished, but took all of the twenty points—so that it wasn’t just to disarm Hamas and maybe do some reconstruction and build some resorts on the coast—but if you really took the whole approach that is embodied in that twenty-point plan, and I know there are people who are working to try to move forward on that, there is a glimmer of a possible path forward.

特朗普关于加沙的二十点计划实际上是一条通往以色列安全、加沙重建以及巴勒斯坦人自决——无论怎么定义——的可能路径。有很多人因为它出自特朗普之手而拒绝它,但这是城里唯一的游戏。没有别的了。我参与了一些与以色列人——不是现任政府,而是前政府、军事情报、政治官员、巴勒斯坦人、阿拉伯人的第二轨道外交。所以这是一场非常痛苦的讨论,因为这些都是经验丰富的人,他们多年来为和平,尤其是为以色列的安全所做的努力留下了累累伤痕。但我真的相信,如果我们采纳这个二十点计划,从解除哈马斯武装开始——这是尚待完成的巨大而重要的一步——但采纳全部二十点——这样就不只是解除哈马斯武装,也许做些重建,在海岸建些度假村——但如果你真的采纳了那个二十点计划中体现的整体方法,我知道有人在努力推动此事,那么前方就有一丝可能的路径。

Now, having said that, you are dealing with two peoples who are even more traumatized than perhaps has happened in the past. You had Rachel Goldberg-Polin on your podcast last week, and I met her during the time when I was trying to help and support families who were advocating to get the hostages back, and she writes this very moving, profoundly sad book about her son, Hersh.

现在,话虽如此,你面对的是两个比过去可能更加受创的民族。你上周在播客中邀请了雷切尔·戈德堡-波林,我在努力帮助和支持那些倡导让人质回家的家庭时见过她,她写了一本关于她儿子赫什的非常感人、极其悲伤的书。

And we’ve had Mohammed Mhawish and Mosab Abu Toha, who lost multiple members of their family.

我们也邀请了穆罕默德·姆哈维什和莫萨布·阿布·托哈,他们失去了多位家人。

And I’ve met with them as well.

我也见过他们。

And did the Biden Administration fail to push hard against the Netanyahu government? Did it give too free a rein to the Israeli government during the—

那么,拜登政府是否未能对内塔尼亚胡政府施加足够压力?它是否在——期间给了以色列政府过多的自由?

I think it’s a very, very hard question to answer for this reason. As I said, October 7th was a mass-trauma event. Clearly, the people who were murdered, the families who lost loved ones, the hostages—two hundred and fifty-plus who were taken into Gaza—it was a long, terrible trauma.

我认为这是一个非常非常难回答的问题,原因如下。正如我所说,10月7日是一个大规模创伤事件。显然,那些被谋杀的人,失去亲人的家庭,人质——两百五十多名被带入加沙的人——这是一场漫长而可怕的创伤。

One hundred per cent. But Biden came to Israel, and the wisest thing, it seems to me, that he said was “I feel your pain. I understand how horrible this is. We support you, but at the same time, do not repeat our mistakes and act out of prolonged vengeance.” He was obviously referring to Afghanistan and even more so to Iraq—the misadventures there, to say the least, and the damage they did and the lives lost there. And I think a lot of people would say that is exactly what Israel went ahead and did, by such a prolonged war, and that the United States and the Biden Administration and later the Trump Administration did very little to put a pause to it.

百分之百。但拜登来到以色列,在我看来,他说过的最明智的话是“我感受到你们的痛苦。我理解这有多可怕。我们支持你们,但同时,不要重复我们的错误,不要出于长期的复仇而行动。”他显然指的是阿富汗,更是伊拉克——那里的灾难,至少可以这么说,以及它们造成的破坏和生命损失。我想很多人会说,这正是以色列通过如此旷日持久的战争所做的,而美国、拜登政府以及后来的特朗普政府几乎没有采取任何行动来叫停它。

Again, I wasn’t there. I don’t know what the internal discussions were, but every time there was a push against Israel to change tactics, to avoid certain targets, the response would be “We know that there are tunnels. We know there are something like three hundred and fifty miles of tunnels. We know that they can be entered through a lot of these sites.” And it’s very difficult to refute that, because we know that there were tunnels, and we know that numbers of them entered into hospitals, schools, and all kinds of civilian places. Could and should the Israelis have been more careful with civilian casualties? Absolutely. There’s no doubt about that. But did they have a response to what they were trying to accomplish, rescuing hostages, getting access to Hamas leadership and fighters in these tunnels? They did. And trying to walk that line in the middle of a war is very hard.

再说一次,我当时不在场。我不知道内部讨论是什么,但每次有压力要求以色列改变战术、避开某些目标时,回应总是“我们知道有地道。我们知道有大约三百五十英里的地道。我们知道可以通过很多这些地点进入地道。”这很难反驳,因为我们知道确实有地道,而且我们知道其中许多地道通向医院、学校和各种各样的民用场所。以色列人是否能够并且应该更加小心平民伤亡?绝对应该。这毫无疑问。但他们对于自己试图完成的目标——营救人质,进入地道接触哈马斯领导层和战斗人员——是否有应对之策?他们有。在战争期间试图走这条钢丝是非常困难的。

So I try to imagine myself: I’m sitting in CENTCOM and talking to the Israeli military; I’m sitting at the C.I.A. and talking to Mossad. And they are coming back not with totally unbelievable claims. They’re coming back with “Here’s what our intelligence tells us. We think if we can get there, maybe we can get [the Hamas leader Yahya] Sinwar, maybe we can rescue hostages.” And the fog of war was totally overwhelming.

所以我试着想象自己:我坐在中央司令部,与以色列军方交谈;我坐在中情局,与摩萨德交谈。他们回来时并非带着完全不可信的说法。他们回来时带着的是“这是我们的情报告诉我们的。我们认为如果我们能到达那里,也许我们能抓到[哈马斯领导人叶海亚]辛瓦尔,也许我们能解救人质。”而战争的迷雾完全笼罩了一切。

When you hear [the former Israeli Prime Minister] Ehud Olmert refer to war crimes, when you hear an Israeli scholar like Omer Bartov refer to genocide—or even David Grossman, a novelist you know well—do you agree with them?

当您听到[以色列前总理]埃胡德·奥尔默特提到战争罪,当您听到像奥马尔·巴托夫这样的以色列学者提到种族灭绝——甚至是大卫·格罗斯曼,您很熟悉的一位小说家——您同意他们吗?

Again, I am looking at facts. I have not reached my own conclusions, because I don’t have an . . . oftentimes there are after-action reports. And the thing I am most critical of is: there has been no after-action report about what happened leading up to October 7th, on October 7th, and post-October 7th. So we don’t have all the information I personally would like to see and know about. The original sin is: Why did October 7th happen? What were the signals that were missed? What could have been done differently? What did Bibi Netanyahu think he was doing, having Qatar pay Hamas millions and millions of dollars a month, in order—in his thinking—to weaken the Palestinian Authority? What did he think was going to happen? So I guess my point, David, is: I want to know everything I can know. I want to know everything I can about the intelligence failures, the military decisions, before I’m willing to say, “You could have done this,” or “You should have done that,” or pass judgment.

再说一次,我在看事实。我还没有得出自己的结论,因为我没有……通常会有事后报告。而我最批评的一点是:关于10月7日之前、10月7日当天以及10月7日之后发生了什么,没有事后报告。所以我们没有我个人想看到和了解的所有信息。原罪是:10月7日为什么会发生?哪些信号被忽略了?本可以采取哪些不同的做法?比比·内塔尼亚胡让卡塔尔每月支付哈马斯数百万美元,目的是——按照他的想法——削弱巴勒斯坦权力机构,他以为他在做什么?他以为会发生什么?所以我想我的意思是,大卫:我想知道我能知道的一切。我想知道关于情报失误、军事决策的一切,然后我才愿意说,“你本可以这样做,”或者“你本应该那样做,”或者做出评判。

I received a text today from one of the best journalists I know in Israel, a very keen defense analyst, and he said that this memo of understanding [between the U.S. and Iran] is the end of Bibi. I think a lot of people have gone broke predicting the political end of Bibi Netanyahu. Are you willing to go broke?

我今天收到一位我认识的以色列最优秀的记者之一、一位非常敏锐的国防分析人士的短信,他说这份[美伊之间的]谅解备忘录是比比的末日。我想很多人都曾因预测比比·内塔尼亚胡的政治末日而破产。您愿意破产吗?

He has certainly more than nine lives, politically, but I think this is a real defeat for him. He did push Trump into the war against Iran. We didn’t gain anything of real importance and we may have lost a lot, but that means Bibi also lost. Because to go into that kind of alliance, and to push Trump to do something that I’m not sure even Trump understood the implications of, and then for Trump wanting to get out of it, because—what did he say a few weeks ago? “I’m bored. This is boring. Trying to make peace is boring.” So Bibi’s left out there by himself.

他在政治上肯定不止九条命,但我认为这对他来说是一次真正的失败。他确实推动了特朗普对伊朗开战。我们没有获得任何真正重要的东西,而且我们可能失去了很多,但这意味着比比也输了。因为结成那种联盟,推动特朗普去做一件我不确定连特朗普自己都理解其含义的事情,然后特朗普又想脱身,因为——他几周前说什么来着?“我厌倦了。这很无聊。试图缔造和平很无聊。”所以比比被独自晾在那里了。

And there are several really serious questions. What he’s doing in Lebanon now is, to me, counterproductive. He has never had, Israel has never had, in as long as I can remember, a government that started out more open to working with Israel to try to disarm Hezbollah. And rather than trying to be, in my view, kind of smart about how to build up a Lebanese government for the purpose of disarming and neutering Hezbollah, which is definitely in Israel’s interest, Israel has been engaged in this bombardment of Lebanon. So they’re fighting on that front. I think their turning a blind eye to the settler violence in the West Bank is extremely dangerous. I think Netanyahu believes that war is his friend, because he wants to contain the opposition by creating conflict so that he tries to rally the country behind him. I think this Iran deal may be the straw that finally breaks that, and creates an opening for his departure in the upcoming elections.

还有几个非常严重的问题。在我看来,他现在在黎巴嫩做的事情适得其反。据我所知,他从未有过,以色列也从未有过一个一开始就更愿意与以色列合作以试图解除真主党武装的政府。在我看来,与其试图聪明地思考如何建立一个黎巴嫩政府以达到解除和瘫痪真主党的目的——这绝对符合以色列的利益——以色列反而一直在对黎巴嫩进行轰炸。所以他们在那个战线上作战。我认为他们对约旦河西岸定居者暴力行为的视而不见是极其危险的。我认为内塔尼亚胡相信战争是他的朋友,因为他想通过制造冲突来遏制反对派,从而试图团结国家支持他。我认为这份伊朗协议可能是最终打破这一切的最后一根稻草,并为他在即将到来的选举中下台创造机会。

But I’m worried that, if you don’t see a government that understands the importance of tending to Israel’s economy and future, you’re going to see a big exit by, particularly, young Israelis, and there is some evidence of that.

但我担心的是,如果你看不到一个理解维护以色列经济和未来的重要性的政府,你将会看到大量以色列人,特别是年轻人,离开这个国家,而且已经有一些证据表明这一点。

A few weeks ago, the Democratic National Committee released an autopsy report on the 2024 election. It satisfied nobody. Not one person did it satisfy, except for maybe the Bidens, because it didn’t mention Joe Biden’s decision to run. But, when you look back on his decision to run, did he make a terrible mistake?

几周前,民主党全国委员会发布了一份关于2024年大选的验尸报告。它没能让任何人满意。除了拜登一家,没有一个人满意,因为它没有提到乔·拜登决定参选。但是,当您回顾他参选的决定时,他是否犯了一个严重的错误?

He made a terrible mistake. He made a terrible mistake for himself, his legacy, and for the country. He had said that he would not run again, and counterfactual narratives are always a bit tricky, but I believe that if he had kept to that plan, that he wasn’t going to run, that he was going to pass the torch to the next generation, we would have had a real contest. And very sadly I believe whoever emerged from that contest—whether it was the Vice-President or a governor or a senator or anybody else—would have beaten Donald Trump. I think it was a terrible miscalculation on the part of President Biden, but once he held on for as long as he did we were in a terrible dilemma.

他犯了一个严重的错误。他为自己、为他的政治遗产、也为这个国家犯了一个严重的错误。他曾说过他不会再次参选,而反事实的叙述总是有点棘手,但我相信,如果他坚持那个计划,不参选,将火炬传递给下一代,我们本会有一场真正的竞争。而且非常可悲的是,我相信无论谁从那场竞争中脱颖而出——无论是副总统还是州长或参议员或任何其他人——都会击败唐纳德·特朗普。我认为这是拜登总统的一个严重误判,但一旦他坚持了那么久,我们就陷入了可怕的困境。

Why didn’t anybody say so? You’re a powerful figure still—a powerful voice in the Democratic Party. There are a lot of people that are powerful—not a lot, a select group of people with powerful voices—whether Nancy Pelosi, Barack Obama, et cetera, et cetera. Nobody said this [before the Trump-Biden debate]. Why was it so difficult to speak about this?

为什么没有人说出来?您仍然是一个强有力的人物——民主党内一个强有力的声音。有很多有权势的人——不是很多,是一小群有强有力声音的人——无论是南希·佩洛西、巴拉克·奥巴马,等等,等等。[在特朗普-拜登辩论之前]没有人说过这个。为什么谈论这件事如此困难?

I think there were a lot of conversations going on behind the scenes. I certainly am aware of that, and participated in a number of them, but there was no way to convince him by going public. And eventually what convinced him was—

我认为幕后有很多对话在进行。我当然知道这一点,并参与了一些,但通过公开方式是无法说服他的。而最终说服他的是——

The debate.

那场辩论。

—polling information.

——民调信息。

But after a horrendous public disaster.

但那是在一场可怕的公共灾难之后。

Well—

好吧——

But were there private discussions? Were there people on your level, of your eminence, that went to Joe Biden and said, “Look, Joe, we love you, but it’s time. You’re not the guy you were fifteen years ago. Enough already.”

但是否有过私下讨论?是否有您这个级别、您这种声望的人去找乔·拜登说,“听着,乔,我们爱你,但时候到了。你已经不是十五年前的那个人了。够了。”

I know of a few people who tried that, and they were met with total denial. And not just from him but from the people around him who were—

我知道有几个人尝试过,但他们遇到的是完全的否认。不仅来自他,也来自他身边的人,他们——

Jill Biden, in particular?

特别是吉尔·拜登?

Before the debate, before what happened at the debate, there was a belief—and it was strongly held inside the White House—that he would win again. After the debate, I think they were in a state of disbelief about what happened, and kept trying to explain it, rationalize it, justify it. There were a lot of people who publicly and privately then said, “That’s not recoverable.” Initially, that was denied. But, look, it happened. It’s over. It’s behind us. I don’t think it’s useful to keep beating that horse.

在辩论之前,在辩论发生的事情之前,有一种信念——而且在白宫内部被坚定地持有——认为他会再次获胜。辩论之后,我认为他们对所发生的事情处于一种难以置信的状态,并不断试图解释它、合理化它、为它辩护。有很多人当时公开和私下都说,“那是无法挽回的。”最初,这被否认了。但是,你看,事情发生了。结束了。过去了。我认为继续鞭打那匹死马没有用。

Well, one other retrospective question.

嗯,还有一个回顾性的问题。

O.K., beat one more horse.

好吧,再鞭打一匹马。

No. A different horse.

不。另一匹马。

It’s a donkey!

那是一头驴!

I know that joke. It’s a good joke. . . . But did Kamala Harris lose solely because she only had a hundred days to run?

我知道那个笑话。是个好笑话。……但是,卡玛拉·哈里斯失败仅仅是因为她只有一百天的时间竞选吗?

I think that was definitely a factor. I think she also found herself in a difficult position trying to run as the sitting Vice-President but to separate herself from the sitting President. There was no gap between her service, as there was with mine, and her campaign. So I think that was a real problem.

我认为那绝对是一个因素。我认为她还发现自己处于一个困难的境地,试图以现任副总统的身份竞选,却又要与现任总统切割。她的服务期与她的竞选活动之间没有间隔,不像我当年那样。所以我认为那是一个真正的问题。

And then there’s the other thing. I can’t tell you how many people—people on the left, people who consider themselves good feminists, enlightened about identity in all senses—will say to me, “Next time, in ’28, we cannot take the risk. It can’t be a woman. It can’t be African American, et cetera, et cetera.” And I find this shocking. We’re a quarter of the way through the twenty-first century, and we’re still having this conversation. You’ve lifted the microphone and you’re ready to go. I don’t need to continue.

然后还有另一件事。我无法告诉你,有多少人——左翼人士,那些自认为是好女权主义者、在身份认同各方面都很开明的人——会对我说,“下次,在28年,我们不能冒这个险。不能是女人。不能是非裔美国人,等等,等等。”我觉得这很令人震惊。我们已经进入二十一世纪四分之一了,我们还在进行这样的对话。你已经举起了麦克风,准备开始了。我不需要继续说了。

Well, first of all, there is a global pushback on women’s rights. And part of that is being led by this Administration. [Shortly after returning to office] Trump fired the woman commandant of the Coast Guard, the Black combat-veteran Air Force general who was the chair of the Joint Chiefs, and the first woman to be the chief of naval operations. And we’ve seen what just happened, with [Secretary of Defense Pete] Hegseth removing women and Black military officers from promotion. We’ve seen them taking down pictures of the first woman who flew with the Thunderbird formation. The Black general [Daniel] (Chappie) James, who was an incredibly effective fighter pilot. There is an unabashed campaign to undermine both minority leadership and women’s leadership in public spaces. There’s no doubt about that. And not only is it happening in so-called IRL, in real life; it’s happening online, to an extraordinary extent, where the threats against women, the attacks on women, [are so prevalent].

嗯,首先,全球范围内存在对妇女权利的反扑。其中一部分就是由这届政府领导的。[重返白宫后不久]特朗普解雇了海岸警卫队的女司令、担任参谋长联席会议主席的黑人空军退伍女将军,以及首位海军作战部长女性。我们已经看到了刚刚发生的事情,[国防部长皮特]赫格塞斯将女性和黑人军官从晋升名单中移除。我们看到他们取下了第一位随雷鸟飞行队飞行的女性的照片。黑人将军[丹尼尔](查皮)詹姆斯,一位极其出色的战斗机飞行员。这是一场毫不掩饰的运动,旨在削弱公共空间中的少数族裔领导力和女性领导力。这毫无疑问。而且这不仅发生在所谓的IRL,即现实生活中;也发生在网络上,达到了非同寻常的程度,对女性的威胁、对女性的攻击[如此普遍]。

So this is a moment where we are seeing the firing of women, not men. I mean, for heaven’s sake—I’m not going to make any brief for the women whom he fired from his Cabinet, I didn’t agree with any of them, but Hegseth is still there! And so you think about the way that this man is treating women, the way he talks to women journalists. His whole behavior toward women is so disdainful. So I think that’s in the culture. It’s not made up when people say, “Well, I don’t know. I don’t know if we could vote for a Black candidate or a woman candidate.” But my ultimate answer to that is it depends upon the candidate.

所以,这是一个我们看到女性被解雇,而非男性的时刻。我的意思是,看在老天份上——我不会为他从内阁中解雇的那些女性辩护,我不同意她们中的任何一个,但赫格塞斯还在那里!所以,你想想这个男人对待女性的方式,他与女记者说话的方式。他对女性的整个行为举止是如此轻蔑。所以我认为这存在于文化中。当人们说,“嗯,我不知道。我不知道我们是否能投票给一个黑人候选人或一个女性候选人”时,这并非空穴来风。但我对此的最终答案是,这取决于候选人本身。

Well, let me ask you about one. The candidate that’s polling now the highest, among women certainly, is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. How would you feel about her as a standard-bearer for the Democratic Party nationally?

那么,让我问您关于其中一位。目前在民调中领先的,尤其是在女性中领先的,是亚历山德里娅·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯。您对她成为民主党全国性的旗手感觉如何?

Well, those are not the same polls that I’ve seen. Look, she is a very talented politician, and she is, like, in the top five. But so is Kamala Harris, and depending upon the poll, sometimes Gavin Newsom. So it’s a—

嗯,那和我看到的民调不一样。听着,她是一位非常有才华的政治家,她排在前五名。但卡玛拉·哈里斯也是,而且取决于不同的民调,有时是加文·纽森。所以这是一个——

I mean among women. Gavin Newsom is not that.

我是指在女性当中。加文·纽森不是。

I’m talking about what I consider to be reliable polls of voter sentiment, which is both men and women, because you’re not going to win with just women. I wish that would be someday possible, but it’s not. So I don’t know. It’s way too soon, but here’s what I really think. No. 1, stay focussed on the midterm elections. We have to win the House, and hopefully the Senate, O.K.? And we have some really good chances of doing that in the House, and I think we have a fifty-fifty chance in the Senate.

我说的是我认为可靠的选民情绪民调,既包括男性也包括女性,因为你不可能只靠女性获胜。我希望有一天那成为可能,但现在不是。所以我不知道。现在还为时过早,但这是我真正的想法。第一,专注于中期选举。我们必须赢得众议院,希望也能赢得参议院,好吗?我们在众议院有一些非常好的机会做到这一点,我认为我们在参议院有五成的机会。

To win the Senate, one of the seats that the Democrats have to win is in Maine. How do you feel about [Graham Platner]?

要赢得参议院,民主党必须赢得的席位之一在缅因州。您对[格雷厄姆·普拉特纳]感觉如何?

I feel about him the way I feel about any candidate. I want to see what kind of candidate he actually turns out to be. The bumps on the road that he has experienced, and some of the things he has said—

我对他的感觉和我对任何候选人的感觉一样。我想看看他最终会成为一个什么样的候选人。他所经历的道路上的颠簸,以及他说过的一些话——

“Bumps on the road”?

“道路上的颠簸”?

Yeah. Clearly, bumps on the road, in terms of some of his prior behavior, some of his prior statements. And, I will tell you, I served with Susan Collins. She is going to be very hard to beat, and it’s going to be a tough election. So I’m reserving—

是的。显然,道路上的颠簸,指的是他之前的一些行为,之前的一些言论。而且,我告诉你,我曾与苏珊·柯林斯共事。她将非常难以击败,这将是一场艰难的选举。所以我保留——

But, if you were a Mainer, where would you pull the lever?

但是,如果您是缅因州人,您会把票投给谁?

But I’m not a Mainer. I’m a New Yorker. But seriously—

但我不是缅因州人。我是纽约人。但说真的——

You’re going to let that pitch go by?

您要让这个球溜过去吗?

But David, look, I think this election has to be about affordability and accountability, and we need to start holding the people around Trump accountable, and we’re going to see whether we can take the Senate. But I think the House has to be the primary objective. And then, once that election is behind us, you’re going to have ten or twelve pretty good candidates, in my view, running in 2028. And I don’t know who’s going to emerge, because I don’t know who’s going to catch the moment. I don’t know who’s going to be able to convince the various factions of the Democratic Party to support him or her. But I wouldn’t rule out any woman who wants to run or any African American or any Latino or anybody else. If they want to get into the arena, get in the arena, show us what you can do, and see whether people will vote for you.

但是大卫,听着,我认为这次选举必须关乎可负担性和问责制,我们需要开始追究特朗普身边人的责任,我们将看看我们能否拿下参议院。但我认为众议院必须是首要目标。然后,一旦那次选举过去,在我看来,你会有十到十二个相当不错的候选人在2028年参选。我不知道谁会脱颖而出,因为我不知道谁能抓住那个时机。我不知道谁能说服民主党的各个派系支持他或她。但我不会排除任何想参选的女性,或任何非裔美国人,或任何拉丁裔,或任何其他人。如果他们想进入竞技场,就进入竞技场,向我们展示你们能做什么,看看人们是否会投票给你们。

Do you think the Democratic Party has an “élites problem”?

您认为民主党有“精英问题”吗?

No. I think some people believe it does. And that, I think, is somewhat amusing, because our élites are not stealing money from the Treasury to pay off the insurrectionists who attacked the Capitol, and our élites are not going around the world making business deals for their children, at least so far as I know. And so, when people say that, they’re really saying, “Well, you guys, you’re in blue cities and blue states, and you don’t relate to us.” And so I think that’s the problem. I think it’s more of a political-identification problem. So you just have to take what people say about your candidates and be ready to fight back. That’s a false equivalence a lot of the time.

没有。我认为有些人相信它有。而我认为这有点可笑,因为我们的精英没有从财政部偷钱去支付袭击国会大厦的叛乱分子的费用,我们的精英也没有在世界各地为他们的子女做商业交易,至少据我所知没有。所以,当人们这么说时,他们实际上是在说,“嗯,你们这些人,你们在蓝色城市和蓝色州,你们不体谅我们。”所以我认为这才是问题所在。我认为这更像是一个政治认同问题。所以你只需要接受人们对你们候选人的评价,并准备好反击。这在很多时候是一种错误的等同。

I lived in Moscow for four years during the collapse of the Soviet Union and then thereafter. And I would often think to myself, What would it be like to actually live in a society like this, where I loathe my government? And would I be someone who, in order to keep my family together or to preserve my bank account, would collaborate? And I have to say, I hope not with a minimum of righteousness, it has shocked me to see the level of acquiescence in our society, among élites who have turned on a dime—on a dime!—in order to preserve their immense fortunes and to make them greater.

我在苏联解体期间及之后在莫斯科住了四年。我常常想,真正生活在一个我厌恶自己政府的社会里会是什么样子?我会不会是为了维持家庭或保住银行存款而合作的那种人?我不得不说,我希望不是——带着一丝微弱的正义感——看到我们社会中精英阶层的默从程度,那些为了保住他们巨额财富并使其增值而瞬间转变——瞬间转变!——的人,这让我感到震惊。

Well, I’m afraid you’re right in terms of the acquiescence. So, for some people, it’s simply staying in power, being able to feel like they are important. But the people who are in positions of great economic power, like the tech companies and other large businesses, have been so disappointing in the way that they have basically aligned themselves with Trump, Trump policies—and in large measure, I guess, because they think, quote, “It’s good for their business.” But what they’re not appreciating is that this kind of unchecked, unaccountable power can turn and bite them just as easily. You saw it. You saw it in Russia. You saw the transition from the collapse of the Soviet Union, and you saw the oligarchs being formed, the privatization. But then when Putin came along, it was “I want five per cent. No, I now want twenty-five per cent. I want fifty per cent.” And that’s why people say he’s the richest man in the world, because he’s basically—

嗯,恐怕在默从这一点上你是对的。所以,对一些人来说,这仅仅是为了保住权力,能够感觉自己很重要。但那些处于巨大经济权力地位的人,比如科技公司和其他大企业,他们基本上与特朗普、特朗普的政策结盟的方式,令人如此失望——我猜,很大程度上是因为他们认为,引号,“这对他们的生意有好处。”但他们没有意识到的是,这种不受制约、不负责任的权力同样可以轻易地反噬他们。你见过。你在俄罗斯见过。你看到了苏联解体后的转型,你看到了寡头的形成,私有化。但当普京上台后,就变成了“我要百分之五。不,我现在要百分之二十五。我要百分之五十。”这就是为什么人们说他是世界上最富有的人,因为他基本上——

I must say, he loves you. I have never seen somebody speak so harshly of anyone as to watch Putin speaking about Hillary Clinton.

我必须说,他爱你。我从未见过有人像普京谈论希拉里·克林顿那样,如此严厉地谈论任何人。

Well, I wear it as a badge of honor. Contrary to what you hear from Donald Trump, he did help Donald Trump win, and partly because he knew what kind of leader I would be compared to Donald, who he knew would not.

嗯,我把它当作荣誉徽章佩戴。与唐纳德·特朗普说的相反,他确实帮助了唐纳德·特朗普获胜,部分原因是他知道我会成为什么样的领导人,相比之下,他知道唐纳德不会。

I want to ask you two quick questions about the law. On a scale of one to ten, how worried are you about being “locked up”?

我想快速问您两个关于法律的问题。从一到十,您有多担心被“关起来”?

Well, it’s not for lack of trying that I’m not. They continue to not only go after me but go after all kinds of people that Trump considers his “enemies.” I’m not worried about it if the law matters, and if the facts matter—I have nothing to worry about. And what I’ve been slightly reassured about in the past couple of months is the way the courts are actually enforcing their orders. So the name is off the Kennedy Center! The $1.776-billion fund is enjoined. And so there is, finally, the pushback. Our big problem has been the Supreme Court. The Supreme Court has enabled and approved so much of what he’s done on the so-called shadow docket, and that is what has given him the permission to go forward with a lot of the things that he has pursued without there being yet any kind of final adjudication.

嗯,我没被关起来,不是因为他们没尝试。他们不仅继续针对我,还针对特朗普视为“敌人”的各种人。如果法律重要,如果事实重要,我并不担心——我没什么可担心的。而过去几个月让我稍微安心的是,法院实际上正在执行他们的命令。所以肯尼迪中心的名字被去掉了!17.76亿美元的基金被禁止了。所以,终于有了反击。我们的大问题一直是最高法院。最高法院在所谓的“影子案卷”上纵容并批准了他所做的那么多事情,而这正是给了他许可,让他得以推进许多他所追求的事情,而无需任何最终的裁决。

So when I think about the law personally, I’m not that worried for myself, but I do see him continuing to unleash his private law firm—which used to be called the Justice Department—against people and forcing them to be investigated, spend money, everything to just put them at risk. So, yeah, I do think that he is going to continue to do that, and we unfortunately are going to have to continue to fight back.

所以,当我个人思考法律时,我并不那么担心自己,但我确实看到他继续释放他的私人律师事务所——以前被称为司法部——来对付人们,强迫他们接受调查、花钱,做一切让他们处于风险之中的事情。所以,是的,我确实认为他会继续这样做,而我们不幸地将不得不继续反击。

Has John Roberts, in particular, as Chief Justice, failed the law?

特别是约翰·罗伯茨,作为首席大法官,是否辜负了法律?

I voted against him as a senator. I met with him. I voted against [Samuel] Alito, and Alito was a much more obvious movement conservative, a results-oriented judge. And so I had no doubt about what he would do, and I gave a speech on the floor.

作为参议员,我投票反对了他。我见过他。我投票反对了[塞缪尔]阿利托,而阿利托是一个明显得多的运动保守派,一个结果导向的法官。所以我对他会做什么毫不怀疑,我在参议院发表了演讲。

John Roberts, though, as I looked into his past, he wrote a memo about reversing the Voting Rights Act back in the nineteen-eighties. So he has been a known commodity to some of us who paid attention for some time, but he comes across as more affable—a kind of country-club person who you’d have a nice dinner with. But make no mistake about it—he led the charge against the Voting Rights Act. He led the charge against campaign-finance reform. He has been on the side of the sort of federalist agenda since he was a young lawyer, a young law clerk. And this is his Court. And I think they have concluded, led by him—the majority, certainly—that their job is to turn the clock back, as much as possible, on the twentieth century. They believe in the height of corporate power. They believe in the role that corporations should play in our politics and basically undisclosed, unlimited money. Plus, then things like the Voting Rights Act, which they view as, in the way they describe it, unnecessary in a, quote, “colorblind society” that’s gotten beyond race. I don’t know where they live. I don’t know who they talk to. I don’t understand it, but that is their stated view.

然而,约翰·罗伯茨,当我深入了解他的过去时,他在八十年代写过一份关于推翻《投票权法案》的备忘录。所以,对于我们这些关注了一段时间的人来说,他早已是已知数,但他给人的印象更和蔼可亲——那种你可以愉快共进晚餐的乡村俱乐部式人物。但别搞错了——他领导了反对《投票权法案》的行动。他领导了反对竞选财务改革的行动。从他是一名年轻律师、一名年轻法律助理时起,他就一直站在那种联邦主义议程的一边。而这是他的法院。我认为他们已经得出结论,由他领导——当然是多数派——他们的工作就是尽可能地将时钟拨回到二十世纪。他们相信企业权力的巅峰。他们相信企业应该在我们的政治中扮演的角色,以及基本上不受披露、不受限制的金钱。此外,还有像《投票权法案》这样的事情,他们以他们描述的方式来看待它,认为在一个引号的“色盲社会”中,它是不必要的,这个社会已经超越了种族。我不知道他们住在哪里。我不知道他们和谁交谈。我不理解,但那是他们公开宣称的观点。

I went to law school with Clarence Thomas, and he just gave a speech for the two-hundred-and-fiftieth commemoration—I think at Texas or somewhere—he gave a speech basically saying that the progressive movement had destroyed America and it needed to be reined in.

我和克拉伦斯·托马斯一起上的法学院,他刚刚为二百五十周年纪念活动发表了一次演讲——我想是在德克萨斯州或什么地方——他发表演讲,基本上是说进步运动摧毁了美国,需要加以遏制。

Secretary Clinton, thank you so much.

克林顿国务卿,非常感谢您。

Thank you, David. ♦

谢谢你,大卫。♦

The New Yorker Radio Hour is a co-production of WNYC and The New Yorker.

《纽约客广播时间》是WNYC和《纽约客》的联合制作。

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